North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, WillinGlossop said:

This would be nice ? will keep an eye on it... two amber warnings that went Pete tong in December.... 

Your more likely to have the snow piling up than me due to your extra elevation.

Next week looks alot more promising and has been very consistent for a while so i'm expecting disruption over the hills and down to lower levels at times is we get into a streamer situation.

[northwestsnow]

4 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Your more likely to have the snow piling up than me due to your extra elevation.

Next week looks alot more promising and has been very consistent for a while so i'm expecting disruption over the hills and down to lower levels at times is we get into a streamer situation.

Well i think you are correct

.Gfs and Ecm look very wintry..esp high ground..

The mod thread is actually making me hope the south remains snowless.

[Day 10]

17 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

** sst watch. 

 Crosby is down to 6.7°C today which is 0.5°C lower than this time yesterday. Running 0.9°C below the long-term average.

Anyone know when the last time they were this far below average was? It could make all the difference next week.   

Blimey that's a good drop in 1 day, considering we were running at 8.9c a month ago and 7.2c only yesterday that is good news.

[WillinGlossop]

13 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Well i think you are correct

.Gfs and Ecm look very wintry..esp high ground..

The mod thread is actually making me hope the south remains snowless.

It is getting bad in mod thread.... models wrong because it says it won’t snow here or there etc.... oh well.... one reason I moved up here from Kent, abysmal winters where a dusting causes utter chaos on roads, trains etc.... at least Glossop train keeps going when it snows... look at December where everything closed up down south when 1-5cm lay in places.... laughable..

[Day 10]

Chris, looks like the lowest SST for Crosby in January is 5.9C.

[WillinGlossop]

Bbc automated going for snow Monday night through Thursday now too.... upgrade? They are as useful as chocolate tea pot most of the time...oh well off to droylsden I go... 

[Day 10]

Snow watch.

Northwest Tues am

All of the region (I hope) Tues pm

[Snow free zone]

Can't at the moment see what all the fuss is about.  Looks like a fairly standard cold NW with the usual places inland and with a bit of height in line for some snow.

[Day 10]

Also with the Irish Sea now running at 6.7C maybe -7 uppers will be enough near the coast. Certainly an interesting looking setup now, considering we had hail/sleet from last months setup with the SST running at 8.9C.

[Chris.R]

38 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Blimey that's a good drop in 1 day, considering we were running at 8.9c a month ago and 7.2c only yesterday that is good news.  Yes, all this cold calm weather might be boring but it certainly helping ssts to drop. 

 

[Chris.R]

5 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Also with the Irish Sea now running at 6.7C maybe -7 uppers will be enough near the coast. Certainly an interesting looking setup now, considering we had hail/sleet from last months setup with the SST running at 8.9C.

  Do you remember what day that 8.9°C last month was recorded on? I reckon you could  roughly use  the sst figure as the 850s figure so we needed -8.9 850s last month now we only need -6.7 850s. 

 I got snow from the last one anyway. 

[Day 10]

6 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

  Do you remember what day that 8.9°C last month was recorded on? I reckon you could  roughly use  the sst figure as the 850s figure so we needed -8.9 850s last month now we only need -6.7 850s. 

 I got snow from the last one anyway. 

I think it was the 8th, uppers were -8 sst's were 8.9. we had hail/sleet & wet snow in heavy showers.

[swainclubber]

aye early next week is most certainly looking very interesting, i do hope it doesnt get watered down as per!!

[frosty ground]

By next Thursday according to the GFS 06z Run....

[Day 10]

8 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

By next Thursday according to the GFS 06z Run....

Lol sweet f.a on the Wirral (as usual). Hope it's very wrong!

[Iceaxecrampon]

06Z

More altitude required.

 

[Iceaxecrampon]

2 hours ago, Day 10 said:

Snow watch.

Northwest Tues am

All of the region (I hope) Tues pm

....even Salwick?

[Had Worse]

2 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

Well i think you are correct

.Gfs and Ecm look very wintry..esp high ground..

The mod thread is actually making me hope the south remains snowless.

You mean Southern Britain or the or any where 75 miles from the English Channel?

[Snow free zone]

21 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

06Z

More altitude required.

 

Will this do ?

[Day 10]

On 1/8/2018 at 19:32, pip22 said:

The real reason our Winters rubbish is due to the quietness of the volcanic activity. Theres being no large scale eruptions recently.

I am from now on gonna rely on volcanoes to make our weather colder. Hopefully this year will bring huge change to volcanic activity - more eruptions preferably large scale!!

 

 

You might get your wish Pip, spotted this from the Met Office site

The 2018 forecast is based on the key drivers of the global climate, but it doesn’t include unpredictable incidents such as a large volcanic eruption which would cause a temporary cooling. Professor Scaife added: “For example, Bali’s Mount Agung, which has recently experienced modest eruptions, could cause a temporary but significant drop in global temperatures if it undergoes a major eruption in the coming year.”

[itsnowjoke]

Still very cold here

[pip22]

The todays 12z is looking good snowwise!!

In fact it this could be better than 2010 if this keeps upgrading.

If this goes well by Sunday then I'm confident.

Edited January 11, 2018 by pip22

[WillinGlossop]

1c foggy.... woodburner on and cooking chicken jalfrezi.... 

[Day 10]

Snow Watch.

Still on target...

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, pip22 said:

The todays 12z is looking good snowwise!!

In fact it this could be better than 2010 if this keeps upgrading.

If this goes well by Sunday then I'm confident.

There must have been a volcanic eruption