North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[cheshire snow]

Hhmm i wonder another correction south tomorrow and this place would be

Weeing in tbere trousers.

Can it surely not...

C.S

[Winter Hill]

Icon 12z the low is exiting through north east England. We need it to exit through east anglia to get us in the game imo 

[Daniel*]

Just now, northwestsnow said:

Guess i will have to make do with tomorrows heavy snow showers

I still wouldn’t rule out some of you getting disruptive snowfall from the low.

And 2-6cm for high ground I think is way conservative...

[chicken soup]

At this rate it will end up to far south...plenty of runs to get through yet.

[northwestsnow]

Would it be fair to say these southerly corrections if they happen will mean the colder air swings in quicker thurs..

[karyo]

Nice developments from the ICON. It makes an attempt to build a ridge in the Atlantic at the end of the week. Also pressure a bit lower in Iberia which is important.

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

I still wouldn’t rule out some of you getting disruptive snowfall from the low.

And 2-6cm for high ground I think is way conservative...

Think a lot depends on shower distribution Daniel 

[frosty ground]

1 minute ago, karyo said:

Nice developments from the ICON. It makes an attempt to build a ridge in the Atlantic at the end of the week. Also pressure a bit lower in Iberia which is important.

Pressure rising over Ibrea is a direct result of the low pulling further north so as it sinks south therefore pressure to the south must fall

[Weather-history]

Never heard of this model before but here is COAMPs. 

[Eskimo]

Just now, Weather-history said:

Never heard of this model before but here is COAMPs. 

Exiting through the wash area would put much of northern england, at least the higher parts, into the game!

[itsnowjoke]

Raining here but then it's not 8.51pm

Edited January 15, 2018 by itsnowjoke

[karyo]

4 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Pressure rising over Ibrea is a direct result of the low pulling further north so as it sinks south therefore pressure to the south must fall

At 93 hours the ICON phases the two lows in northeast Canada which slows down their progress eastwards and allows some kind of ridge in the Atlantic. Northwesterly for us.

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/icone_cartes.php?&ech=93&mode=0&map=0&archive=0

[northwestsnow]

5 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Never heard of this model before but here is COAMPs. 

neither have i but im of the opinion its a tremendous model.

[Weather-history]

NAVGEM 06z

[frosty ground]

Unless I'm mistaken the GFS has shifted south.....

[frosty ground]

Just now, Weather-history said:

NAVGEM 06z

Not even developed at that point.

[karyo]

1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

Unless I'm mistaken the GFS has shifted south.....

Definately! Great news!

[northwestsnow]

MUCH further south on GFS!!!!

[frosty ground]

Hmmmmmm

Edited January 15, 2018 by frosty ground

[pip22]

Bring it on!!

[chicken soup]

Looks a heck of a lot weaker.

 

 

[Weather-history]

HIRLAM at 44hrs (3am Wed) has an interesting feature passing through the region. 

Edited January 15, 2018 by Weather-history

[itsnowjoke]

I'm mixed up with all this is great then it's weaker 

[northwestsnow]

This is suddenly looking VERY interesting peeps, GFS precip charts now show a lot less rain..

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Weather-history said:

HIRLAM at 44hrs (3am Wed) has an interesting feature passing throught the region. 

Things seem to be FINALLY moving in the right direction for us Kev