North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[SP1986]

Heswall is 90-111m above sea level but even 111m can be iffy here because the dewpoints tend to be higher here at relative elevation on the coast than at sea level. It sounds impossible but I've seen snow on lower ground whilst standing on the top of Poll Hill in Heswall..

[Weather-history]

Tomorrow night but is subject to change

[severe snowstorm]

4 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Tomorrow night but is subject to change

Appreciate that this is subject to change of course, but presumably this indicates a prolonged period of snow, assuming the conditions are favourable for snow?

[Weather-history]

The potential storm, similar track to the Burns' Day storm but not quite as deep. The concern to me looks likes that SW quadrant where the winds swing to the NW that looks really nasty, it could be a sleepless night but it doesn't half zip through though 

[karyo]

33 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

Manchester piccadilly is 42m 

Thanks, that's really poor and if you add Manchester's horrendous heat island effect you get the picture.

 

Still I wouldn't live anywhere else in the region. I love the city life. 

[Barmada_Casten]

16 hours ago, shadowfax said:

Swing hammock has just flipped over in a big gust and will have to stay there until tomorrow 

Just thought I'd throw my two penneth in and say I am not expecting any snow in my location south lakes. Expecting a lot of wind and rain though!! Maturity and experience has tought me that 99% of any potential snow forecast results in a major let down.

Edited January 15, 2018 by Barmada_Casten

[Chris.R]

TAF update. 

 Liverpool just rain showers and heavy rain showers.

Manchester  heavy rain showers until midnight; rain/snow showers until 06:00; snow showers after 06:00. 

 Cumulonimbus only for Manchester which surprises me a bit. 

[Bury88]

Snowfall for areas over 100M from tommorow according to itv regional weather just then.

[Deep Snow please]

2 minutes ago, Bury88 said:

Snowfall for areas over 100M from tommorow according to itv regional weather just then.

Starting to feel a bit more hopeful, now if that low can just keep sliding south.

[northwestsnow]

9 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

TAF update. 

 Liverpool just rain showers and heavy rain showers.

Manchester  heavy rain showers until midnight; rain/snow showers until 06:00; snow showers after 06:00. 

 Cumulonimbus only for Manchester which surprises me a bit. 

O dear...sounding more and more like its an east of manchester and with altitude jobby again.

Further away from the bath the  better!

[northwestsnow]

11 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

TAF update. 

 Liverpool just rain showers and heavy rain showers.

Manchester  heavy rain showers until midnight; rain/snow showers until 06:00; snow showers after 06:00. 

 Cumulonimbus only for Manchester which surprises me a bit. 

Sounds bleak chris.

Is that for later tonight / tomorrow or tomorrow / wed..

[northwestsnow]

7 minutes ago, Bury88 said:

Snowfall for areas over 100M from tommorow according to itv regional weather just then.

Thats manchester out of the game then.

[frosty ground]

15 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

TAF update. 

 Liverpool just rain showers and heavy rain showers.

Manchester  heavy rain showers until midnight; rain/snow showers until 06:00; snow showers after 06:00. 

 Cumulonimbus only for Manchester which surprises me a bit. 

The airport is sheltered by the Wirria...... Storms will break out to the north surley. 

[northwestsnow]

Just now, frosty ground said:

The airport is sheltered by the Wirria...... Storms will break out to the north surley. 

Is this Taf for tonight/ tomorrow or tomorrow/ wed?

[frosty ground]

Just now, northwestsnow said:

Is this Taf for tonight/ tomorrow or tomorrow/ wed?

they are 24 hour forecast I think.

http://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/united-kingdom-ireland.php?icao=EGCC

[Joe Bloggs]

7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Thats manchester out of the game then.

Not necessarily. 

[northwestsnow]

7 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Not necessarily. 

Hope not mate..if im reading it right manchester airport taf has snow showers by 6am tomorrow morning.

Sorry joe i was replying to the itv forecast about 100m needed.

Edited January 15, 2018 by northwestsnow

[cheshire snow]

17 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Thats manchester out of the game then.

Manchester Airport is only 69m ASL So Manchester not out of the Game

C.S

[northwestsnow]

While tomorrow holds most interest im still clinging to the hope this low can shift 100miles south come wed night...

Sounds a lot but its still forming and 100miles isnt a lot in the grand scheme of things..

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

Manchester Airport is only 69m ASL So Manchester not out of the Game

C.S

Sorry CS i was replying to the itv forecast of 100m being needed.

[Chris.R]

23 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

O dear...sounding more and more like its an east of manchester and with altitude jobby again.

Further away from the bath the  better!

 Bear in mind, Liverpool only goes out to 12:00 tomorrow; Manchester to 18:00. 

[captaincroc]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

While tomorrow holds most interest im still clinging to the hope this low can shift 100miles south come wed night...

Sounds a lot but its still forming and 100miles isnt a lot in the grand scheme of things..

The trend is on our side (shifting southwards), I am with you and hope it does. The 12z's will be interesting for sure.

[Joe Bloggs]

7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Hope not mate..if im reading it right manchester airport taf has snow showers by 6am tomorrow morning.

Sorry joe i was replying to the itv forecast about 100m needed.

I know mate :-) 

Just not sure how much faith you should have in Granada weather. 

There’s way too much conflicting info at present. I’ve seen enough now to suggest that most inland areas will get snow, but any serious accumulation will probably be reserved for 150m plus..

Now is the time to just sit back and wait and see I reckon. 

Edited January 15, 2018 by Joe Bloggs

[Chris.R]

The definitive TAFs will be the ones issued at 6 AM tomorrow covering the period until Wednesday morning. 

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, Joe Bloggs said:

I know mate :-) 

Just not sure how much faith you should have in Granada weather. 

There’s way too much conflicting info at present. I’ve seen enough now to suggest that most inland areas will get snow, but any serious accumulation will probably be reserved for 150m plus..

Now is the time to just sit back and wait and see I reckon. 

Yup...

Im with you..its a long time since we had some interest.

Could be a fun day..one things for sure, any showers will rattle thru at a rate of knots!!