North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[frosty ground]

Just now, Had Worse said:

Have you evver whatched a streamer that is about a mile north or south of you and felt

Every Winter...... 
 

[Alister]

Did we just blow the forum servers up??!??

 

[frosty ground]

So whats that little feature ?

[Winter Hill]

22 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Have you evver whatched a streamer that is about a mile north or south of you and felt

Every time the wind is a NNW'ly and the showers skirt to my south and hit south Manchester and Stockport areas lol 

Edited January 15, 2018 by Winter Hill

[severe snowstorm]

9 minutes ago, Alister said:

Did we just blow the forum servers up??!??

 

I assumed the metoffice had just issued a red warning which caused server meltdown! 

[northwestsnow]

Dont think there is going to be any warnings issued for our region.

Too late in the day now for me..

Perhaps they are going off euro4 which again shows little or no lying snow again for us.

Its just an uttetly crap place to live for snow..it really is.

[Alister]

9 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

Every time the wind is a NNW'ly and the showers skirt to my south and hit south Manchester and Stockport areas lol 

I remember back in 2009, went up to Tesco at Whitefields where it was almost clear and you could see the mersey/M62/A580 streamer. Got back to ellenbrook and the streamer sat over us for three hours or so, got battered!

[Winter Hill]

Just now, northwestsnow said:

Dont think there is going to be any warnings issued for our region.

Too late in the day now for me..

Perhaps they are going off euro4 which again shows little or no lying snow again for us.

Its just an uttetly crap place to live for snow..it really is.

If any warning are going to be issued it will be sometime today.. I'm starting to feel a bit like you if I'm honest.

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Dont think there is going to be any warnings issued for our region.

Too late in the day now for me..

Perhaps they are going off euro4 which again shows little or no lying snow again for us.

Its just an uttetly crap place to live for snow..it really is.

I can tell You haven't got the chill factor this morning.

[frosty ground]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Dont think there is going to be any warnings issued for our region.

Too late in the day now for me..

Perhaps they are going off euro4 which again shows little or no lying snow again for us.

Its just an uttetly crap place to live for snow..it really is.

The day is young......

[severe snowstorm]

8 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

Every time the wind is a NNW'ly and the showers skirt to my south and hit south Manchester and Stockport areas lol 

Problem is that unless there are troughs and features in the flow, each part of the region needs a different direction in showery setups for best results. In Manchester and here to the East of Manchester, a WNW flow is perfect. For down in Cheshire, a NW flow is better. For North of Manchester and Cumbria, direct Westerly/WSW is probably better.

[Chris.R]

Any minute now...any moment...surely 

[Alister]

For those feeling snow starved:

http://www.avoriaz.com/en/discovering/interactive-tour/webcams

Looking at the forecast in the Alps there should be some action this week!!!

[Chris.R]

Gfs 06Z; low further south again, upgrades in the midterm as well. 

[Gary L]

4 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Dont think there is going to be any warnings issued for our region.

Too late in the day now for me..

Perhaps they are going off euro4 which again shows little or no lying snow again for us.

Its just an uttetly crap place to live for snow..it really is.

They will look at a range of output. They have their own high resolution model of course that will show accumulations. I expect a warning will be issued this morning, but it's mainly a high ground affair in my opinion, with small accumulations likely later tuesday/overnight to lower levels. 

[severe snowstorm]

3 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Gfs 06Z; low further south again, upgrades in the midterm as well. 

Looks like this now takes the worst of the wind gusts through the Liverpool and Greater Manchester area as a result.

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, Dexter said:

Looks like this now takes the worst of the wind gusts through the Liverpool and Greater Manchester area as a result.

Yes back to the same track a few runs ago.

Speaking of warnings, theres nothing yet on this so confidence must be low on an agreed track.

[frosty ground]

3 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Yes back to the same track a few runs ago.

Speaking of warnings, theres nothing yet on this so confidence must be low on an agreed track.

No warning have been updated yet......  Pretty sure Scotland will turn Amber soon!
 

[Chris.R]

 I will post the moment I get a notification of a warning. 

[severe snowstorm]

2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 I will post the moment I get a notification of a warning. 

I think the server will crash again moments after it is issued! 

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 I will post the moment I get a notification of a warning. 

Cheers as in work, leaving it on this page. Shouldn't be on here in work lol.

[dr snow]

Don’t post often but just had a weekend in Reykjavik. Some blizzard conditions yesterday- will try and post some pics. Hopefully might have our name on next couple of days ?

[frosty ground]

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/guide/weather/severe-weather-advice#Snow

This link should be used for all Warnings.

[Deep Snow please]

Quite a bit of rainfall this morning, temps need to drop for anything exciting.

[Yorkshirepudding]

2 hours ago, cheshire snow said:

Just back from a conference call at work and the latest for the Manchester area is a s follows

Tomorrow showers are expected to turn increasingly to snow from tomorrow afternoon and the over night period into Wednesday morning.

The Wednesday night into Thursday storm is still open to question due to  the uncertainty of the track but current forecast is for Heavy snow over the Pennines with the

snow line around 200m (but again must stress very much uncertainty)on the track of the low,not much detail on Thursday into Friday but suggestions of sleet and snow showers

continuing.

Like to point out this is genuine and not hope casting and obviously subject to change

Enjoy your day

C.S  

Sound a lot like my forecast C.S ?

The lower the low the more it drags colder air to bring us increasing into play. I live on the Pennines above 200m so we will see. But like I said I suspect the lower the low the better for us. Saturday Night it went across southern UK, Sunday night it's to the North across Scotland who the hell knows what exactly it's going to do because the weather forecasters obviously don't that's who much it changed in 24hours. That's why they're reluctant to do a detailed televised weather forcast after tomorrow. Anything is still in the mix. One thing Is for certain in my view a lot of us are going to increasingly get her by heavy showers today/Tomorrow increasingly turning to snow with some potential for accumulations where the bands of shower are more organised and frequent.