North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[raul_sbd]

That will b the radar projected at 2.45 what do u think guys?

[weathermadbarnsleylad]

4 minutes ago, Summerstorm said:

Not sure really but sounds like it @CreweCold could you help me out here? I'm a bit of a noob really when it comes to this so don't necessarily take what I am saying as true 

Lol ha ha no worried

[Backtrack]

1 minute ago, raul_sbd said:

That will b the radar projected at 2.45 what do u think guys?

They’re about as useful as a chocolate fire guard 

[Barry12]

Guys it's over NI, looks like game on too me.

[Summerstorm]

For what it's worth it's around 20 miles south of where the GFS predicted it to be on it's 18z at 3am and doing some maths it's moved 32 miles or so over the last hour so theoretically if I keeps moving at the same speed then at 3 am it should be around 60 miles north of where it is now. Which could put it as far north as Omagh or Armagh big emphasis on COULD though! Sorry got the ruler out there 

Edited December 10, 2017 by Summerstorm

[Snowjokes92]

Hows the low looking? Is it a push north still

[shaky]

Yup that band is still pushing north and east!!

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Seems to be more ppn that. Thought

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Latest fax

[Chris.R]

I now have my first air frost since February. -0.1°C. 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Just now, Chris.R said:

I now have my first air frost since February. -0.1°C. 

What r your thoughts with whats happened so far?

[Chris.R]

10 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

What r your thoughts with whats happened so far?

 Don’t know really. If it’s still going north east then surely it’s game on. Not far from crossing the border now, or has it already? 

Edited December 10, 2017 by Chris.R

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

No it sort of stalled over ireland but is much further north east that it should be

[Chris.R]

Just now, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

No it sort of stalled over ireland but is much further north east that it should be

 That’s great then. Should be interesting later then. 

[Chris.R]

This is a nice sounding forecast  imho. 

Headline:

Cold for all. Possibly disruptive snow in the south.

Today:

It will be cold and dry with bright spells for many, but cloudier across southern parts with snow at times, which could possibly lead to significant accumulations in places. Maximum temperature 2 °C.

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

5 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

This is a nice sounding forecast  imho. 

Headline:

Cold for all. Possibly disruptive snow in the south.

Today:

It will be cold and dry with bright spells for many, but cloudier across southern parts with snow at times, which could possibly lead to significant accumulations in places. Maximum temperature 2 °C.

Wheres that from?

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Still cant get to grips on xcweather pressure obs and how wrong they are lol elongated weongly

[wrightc23]

Looks a bit further north than expected to me, it's started to pivot. My location has had an upgrade from the met over the last  few hours.

[Chris.R]

5 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Wheres that from?

Met office

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/regional-forecast/nw

Edited December 10, 2017 by Chris.R

[Sara_south_yorks]

7 minutes ago, wrightc23 said:

Looks a bit further north than expected to me, it's started to pivot. My location has had an upgrade from the met over the last  few hours.

wish mine had an upgrade, just keeps downgrading! Posting in here as no one in yorkshire thread 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Jeez its crawling

[Had Worse]

Geographically, I'm in the East Midlands even though I'm less than a mile from Woolley Bridge  (Derbyshire/Tameside border). The regional forecast is;

East Midlands

Headline:

Long periods of snow, heavy at times.

Today:

Cloudy with periods of snow, heavy and prolonged in places with significant and disruptive accumulations likely. The snow will tend to ease later in the day from the north. Very cold with the temperature staying below freezing in places. Maximum temperature 1 °C.

 

I wish

Edited December 10, 2017 by Had Worse

[Cheshire Freeze]

The GFS is 50 miles out even on its latest run.

Much further NE already at 4am than the GFS 0z suggests

[Chris.R]

 My Rain Alarm app says there’s something 30 miles to myself. Is it coming this way? 

[SP1986]

The caveat is that it is stalling now I believe as progression is now very slow. It's a matter of whether it begins its slide without much pivot or whether the pivot provides northern areas with light snow. It's still possible there will be no snow for anywhere in the region.

Met-office probably right on with the southern trend outcome despite it being further north at this point.

Edited December 10, 2017 by SP1986