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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
    1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

    Unfortunately not. That's because the area of low pressure itself doesn't actually drop by 24mb. I should have probably not been so vague, but the large pressure drop is due to the fact that we're under a ridge of high pressure, before the low pressure moves in. It's still quite an impressive change in pressure in a short space of time though. :)

    Ah ok...so the pressure drop has to be in the low pressure system for it to be a bomb? Impressive drop nonetheless. 

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    I’ve seen lightning to the SW from up here in NE Somerset. We have had a few sleety snowy showers over recent hours when the wind really whips up but nothing of note. Incidentally I am not a lover of

    MORNING GANG ,i have not posted much lately ,recently lost my lovely wife of 38 yrs married .Up till about 10 minutes ago i was sat watching the pouring rain and watching the trees swirl in the wind ,

    hi gang ,our local yard where they keep the gritters opened up about two hours ago ,they are loading up as i type ,gone much colder last thirty minutes ,think higher elevations could get a good coveri

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    hmmm...

    https://twitter.com/_chrisfawkes/status/939592080388739072

    Mondays low might still be game?

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    One thing to note is the threat of further snow showers after the main band of PPN has cleared later tomorrow;

    aromehd-42-33-0.thumb.png.6da4180b2e3cef29e7a258fccb1ceb88.png 

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl
    1 hour ago, carl79 said:

    Im hoping im in a good spot.. fingers all crossed :)

    Brackley south Northamptonshire 

    Screenshot_20171209-180900.jpg

    Brackley always used to do really well for snow, many a marginal event was snow when it hit there - I used to live just down the road in Hinton in the Hedges.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    "Really quite incredible looking through the 12Z ECM ensembles - at just 18 hours away, the central front of the "slider" is forecast to stall just about anywhere between Guildford and Cambridge. London is hit by snow in almost all the ensembles now, especially north of the Thames.

    Rapidly becoming an "on" the M4 event, rather than north of it.

    Longer term - more and more charts stalling the Atlantic between 17th and 19th, will cold remaining in place. And with just 6 days until Christmas..."


    Post by Man With Beard in the model thread. "Rapidly becoming an "on" the M4 event, rather than north of it." - Might be the sweetest words I've ever read on this forum. Would love for it to be the case.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    7 minutes ago, Nick_Somerset said:

    Its sooooo cold..if anything fall from the sky right now..surly its not gonna be rain..its bloody freezing?

    Do you have a temperature, humidity and pressure reading handy? I can do some calculations. However, most of the region is under -4 to -5C upper air, and that is slowly being mixed out by the approaching front. :(

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    Temperatures dropping here at the moment. Don't expect that'll last long though. :sorry:

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    I’m at 2.6c temp notvrewlly budging yet

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Still dropping here, too - very close to the precip now. 2.6 °C 

    radar.thumb.png.0fce9f76bbc0a4bd29d4eaa5f1a52058.png

    6 minutes ago, kevvo said:

    Snow just hitting Weymouth & Portland? Meteo radar appears to show it. 

    Showing as plain ol' rain on the NetWx radar.

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    Also 2.6°C here.

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    1.1c here currently but it has climbed over last hour or so. 

    Edited by Nights King
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    Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire

    Been out all day, how is it looking for Oxford tomorrow and into Monday, any snow on offering? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Snow>Freezing Fog; Summer: Sun>Daytime Storms
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness

    As far as I can tell, the 12z Hi-Res suite pads out as follows:

    Significant snowfall on Sunday South of Oxford for at least a few frames:

    - AROME

    - ARPEGE

    - HIRLAM

    - ICON (15z although only included due to heavy snow from undercut/wrap around in pm following rain)

    - NETWX-SR

    Significant snowfall only North of Oxford:

    - NMM

    - EURO4

    Edited by The Enforcer
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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    Holding steady at 1.2c dew -1.0c

    not looking forward to standing on the side lines of the rugby pitch tomorrow 

    fromey

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    Excuse the newbie question... but will the intensity of the PPN increase the chance of it falling as snow? Or will it make little to no difference tomorrow.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    3 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

    Excuse the newbie question... but will the intensity of the PPN increase the chance of it falling as snow? Or will it make little to no difference tomorrow.

    It can do, but you would still need sufficient cold upper temperatures to support it. Heavier precip can help to lower the wet bulb freezing temp, but  not so much in windy conditions.

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    Posted
  • Location: Brackley Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: severe weather
  • Location: Brackley Northamptonshire
    31 minutes ago, jethro said:

    Brackley always used to do really well for snow, many a marginal event was snow when it hit there - I used to live just down the road in Hinton in the Hedges.

    I know hinton very well. Built a house there last year just as you leave the village towards crougton.. im hoping to see some snow tomorrow  been a few snowless years here at the moment.. my son at 2.5 years old has never seen a good dumping of snow or any snow at all come to think of it

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    This is interesting;

    https://mobile.twitter.com/TWOweather/status/939567685381316608/photo/1

    Edited by AWD
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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat, Ice, Freezing Fog. Etc
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

    Hi, am I right in saying the main rain/low pressure is only just showing on the radar in SW Ireland, and to get snow when that arrives you’d want to be in the middle or northern part of the system for highest chance of snow ? Thanks... 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Northant's / North Oxon
  • Location: South Northant's / North Oxon
    5 minutes ago, carl79 said:

    I know hinton very well. Built a house there last year just as you leave the village towards crougton.. im hoping to see some snow tomorrow  been a few snowless years here at the moment.. my son at 2.5 years old has never seen a good dumping of snow or any snow at all come to think of it

    I'm in Charlton, small world eh. So are we gonna get snow???

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    Posted
  • Location: Brackley Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: severe weather
  • Location: Brackley Northamptonshire
    1 minute ago, wilbur said:

    I'm in Charlton, small world eh. So are we gonna get snow???

    Soooo hope so wibur :)

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