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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    3 minutes ago, Nights King said:

    5a2c37301c3f0_weatherwarning.thumb.jpg.d8b0dd8c395d11c52b31f9fc2a299af6.jpg :wallbash::angry:

    Yay i'm in that one just.

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    I’ve seen lightning to the SW from up here in NE Somerset. We have had a few sleety snowy showers over recent hours when the wind really whips up but nothing of note. Incidentally I am not a lover of

    MORNING GANG ,i have not posted much lately ,recently lost my lovely wife of 38 yrs married .Up till about 10 minutes ago i was sat watching the pouring rain and watching the trees swirl in the wind ,

    hi gang ,our local yard where they keep the gritters opened up about two hours ago ,they are loading up as i type ,gone much colder last thirty minutes ,think higher elevations could get a good coveri

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Considering the rain isn’t too far away, it’s still freezing here 0.1c DP -1

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    No rain IMBY yet, 2.4c, rising but only very slowly. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
    Just now, khodds said:

    Considering the rain isn’t too far away, it’s still freezing here 0.1c DP -1

     

    I think I give up even with the wiggle room for 0 - 7cm we are south of that line even if it is only by a few miles.

    Sundays a bust and Mondays a french fancy. :closedeyes: unless pub run improves then I might be back :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
    11 minutes ago, Nights King said:

    5a2c37301c3f0_weatherwarning.thumb.jpg.d8b0dd8c395d11c52b31f9fc2a299af6.jpg :wallbash::angry:

    Hmm, I'm in that thin yellow bit with the ??? Knife edge, tantalising, frustrating etc. But nearer the orange than the grey, so there is hope!

    Edited by noggin
    A bit of positivity inserted
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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
    10 minutes ago, Nights King said:

    5a2c37301c3f0_weatherwarning.thumb.jpg.d8b0dd8c395d11c52b31f9fc2a299af6.jpg :wallbash::angry:

     Firmly in the question mark zone. Never seen a 0-7cm prediction before.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Not a good sign that the PPN is further north than what the 12z French models were suggesting for this stage.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    23 minutes ago, carl79 said:

    Im hoping im in a good spot.. fingers all crossed :)

    Brackley south Northamptonshire 

    Screenshot_20171209-180900.jpg

    I was just looking at Brackley on my site..

    https://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/ewn/forecast.php?en|2655012|GB|Brackley

    You lucky #@*&$%! :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    1 hour ago, Waay to much Wetness said:

    I’d vote for this as well = if we get enough votes for Snow will it help 

    You've got my vote! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    43 minutes ago, CRU said:

    Hi everyone, newbie to the site.... :D 

     

    What is the prognosis for north gloucestershire tewkesbury area tomorrow? snow or no snow..... :cold-emoji:

    I would say "Snow, then rain, then back to snow"

     

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    Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
    8 minutes ago, musician said:

    I would say "Snow, then rain, then back to snow"

     

    that was our forecast 24 hours ago but now all snow, so good luck.

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    1 hour ago, AWD said:

    Minchenhampton might be a good bet.  Get a Winston's ice cream at the same time.  Lol.

    I'm 2 mins from Minch....though I don't fancy an ice cream hahah. Maybe some sledging ;) 

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    Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
    23 minutes ago, AWD said:

    Not a good sign that the PPN is further north than what the 12z French models were suggesting for this stage.

    Looks on target to me - what site are you viewing them on as the time stamps on that site are an hour ahead of GMT?

    Edited by Singularity
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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    10 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

    I was just looking at Brackley on my site..

    https://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/ewn/forecast.php?en|2655012|GB|Brackley

    You lucky #@*&$%! :)

    My old school pal lives near you in Greatworth. He'll be leaping up and down with joy. When he tells me its snowing I usually have to tell him that its raining here!

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    2 minutes ago, Singularity said:

    Looks on target to me, possibly even a bit south of those models - what site are you viewing them on as the time stamps on that site are an hour ahead of GMT?

    Yep, noted that afterwards so forget previous post.  :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome, Somerset
  • Location: Frome, Somerset

    Hi All,

    Been viewing the threads for a while now, this is my first post - so please be gentle :D

    I must say the South-West, Central-Southern England is the place to be

    I have a couple of questions, that I'm sure you'll be able to answer (I'll be honest - all this is quite new to me)

    I'm slightly confused on how this weather is tracking, I'm viewing the radars and it seems all the PPN is moving from the Irish Sea over Cornwall / Devon then over to NW France, I'm assuming this will some way change track??

    image.thumb.png.0e134d4aa611f32ef451fcd5a4388180.png

    Also, I've noticed the BBC graphics seem to changing virtually on an hourly basis, for example IMBY (just outside Frome) it's now changed from heavy rain from 02:00 Sunday to Sleet starting at midnight, then changing to rain, then sleet back to light snow from 14:00 tomorrow, Just curious as normally the Beeb only really change 2 or 3 times a day 

    Many Thanks

    Black Rat

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Think it’s the second batch off the Irish coast that’s the menace in terms of snow, the band over the southewest is going to slip off se I think 

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    EC 12z Control run;

    IMG_20171209_200945.thumb.png.08a574140733d55045e5a4299d649efe.png

    IMG_20171209_201003.thumb.png.f45ee73699cc1a606d52a79d49e18151.png

    A lot of Eps members bring the snow line down to Bristol/Bath/Swindon etc with a modest batch down to Somerset/Mendips/Newbury etc.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    9 minutes ago, Black Rat said:

    Hi All,

    Been viewing the threads for a while now, this is my first post - so please be gentle :D

    I must say the South-West, Central-Southern England is the place to be

    I have a couple of questions, that I'm sure you'll be able to answer (I'll be honest - all this is quite new to me)

    I'm slightly confused on how this weather is tracking, I'm viewing the radars and it seems all the PPN is moving from the Irish Sea over Cornwall / Devon then over to NW France, I'm assuming this will some way change track??

    image.thumb.png.0e134d4aa611f32ef451fcd5a4388180.png

    Also, I've noticed the BBC graphics seem to changing virtually on an hourly basis, for example IMBY (just outside Frome) it's now changed from heavy rain from 02:00 Sunday to Sleet starting at midnight, then changing to rain, then sleet back to light snow from 14:00 tomorrow, Just curious as normally the Beeb only really change 2 or 3 times a day 

    Many Thanks

    Black Rat

    Hi. Welcome to the forums.

    That's the first warm front which is sliding NW to SE. The second set of fronts will pivot across  the South, leaving the occluded front wiggling in a line from East Anglia to South Wales- that is the boundary between the colder and milder air, and where the precip will linger.

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
    8 minutes ago, AWD said:

    EC 12z Control run;

    IMG_20171209_200945.thumb.png.08a574140733d55045e5a4299d649efe.png

    IMG_20171209_201003.thumb.png.f45ee73699cc1a606d52a79d49e18151.png

    A lot of Eps members bring the snow line down to Bristol/Bath/Swindon etc with a modest batch down to Somerset/Mendips/Newbury etc.

     

    If that was indeed correct and came to pass... just another 30 mile sw adjustment would give most of region something to play with.... :cold-emoji:

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    Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
    1 hour ago, Mapantz said:

    It's a shame that the large pressure drop occurs halfway through my stations midnight to midnight reset. It would have been close to 35mb in 24 hours, but it looks to be around 1001mb by midnight and perhaps 977mb by midday. 24mb in 12 hours is pretty good going though! Possible wind speed/gust record may go if I am lucky, and then the windchill record on Monday morning. That should keep me entertained while other parts of the country are getting smothered in that horrible white stuff. :D

    Would this be classed as a 'bomb"?

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    Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire

    I live slap bang in between the M40 and the M4. Any snow coming from the north is mopped up by the Chilterns to the north. I'm not going to get too excited as the forecast is changing from hour to hour but I'd be delighted to wake up to a few inches. Fnarrr

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    5 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

    Would this be classed as a 'bomb"?

    Unfortunately not. That's because the area of low pressure itself doesn't actually drop by 24mb. I should have probably not been so vague, but the large pressure drop is due to the fact that we're under a ridge of high pressure, before the low pressure moves in. It's still quite an impressive change in pressure in a short space of time though. :)

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