South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards

[Dorsetbred]

4 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

...whilst further south the frontal systems already giving rain in the SW approaches and over NW france will encroach into southern counties as we move towards morning...The exact track of this is open to question but could give additional rain/sleetsnow to parts of the region

Rain you say, oh well that’ll be a change then..

[matt111]

Temperature not moving at all here at the moment. It's been stuck on 1.2°C for a while now.

[karlos1983]

I am at 1c  

what will be will be 

[Dorsetbred]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

I am at 1c  

what will be will be 

Me too, no sorry what I mean is yup 1C here with a DP of -0.9C

[matt111]

Just now, Dorsetbred said:

Me too, no sorry what I mean is yup 1C here with a DP of -0.9C

So 0.2°C lower than me yet my DP is 0.8°C. 

[EllyTech]

There are a mesmerising number of things going on here.  Good Job MetO for the forecast... very complex day.

Satellite showing latest developments quite nicely.

 

https://en.sat24.com/en

[Man With Beard]

Evening all, tomorrow morning's potential snow event is one of the hardest to call I've ever seen, particularly for Dorset and Hampshire. It is baffling that even the 18Z models are up to 50 miles too far south (maybe more) with the rain band over Brittany at just T3. The rain is heavy.  I'm seeing modelled temperatures for my area about 1.5C out at just T3 on some models too. The Met Office say only settling over 100 metres - well there's always 100 metres margin for error with these things. Winds are from the north, so coastal influence less of a problem. So I see perhaps a 30% chance of a substantial snow event even by the time we wake up.

[Mapantz]

Look at the first 3 forecast icons on my home page:

https://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/

Are they taking the pith, or what?

[matt111]

Just now, Mapantz said:

Look at the first 3 forecast icons on my home page:

https://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/

Are they taking the pith, or what?

Snow and 9°C? 

[karlos1983]

Precip near North Somerset coast expanding.... interesting radar watching coming up me thinks 

Edited December 10, 2017 by karlos1983

[Mapantz]

10 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Snow and 9°C? 

lol

I think they are using the salt that is used to stop ice forming on roads, to rub in to my wounds.

[matt111]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Precip near North Somerset coast expanding.... interesting radar watching coming up me thinks 

Best Sunday night entertainment there is. 

[MP-R]

6 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Precip near North Somerset coast expanding.... interesting radar watching coming up me thinks 

Just hope it's actually snow, not sleet.

[Nights King]

Wont the approaching front draw in colder air from midlands  and wales for us?

Its the least they can do after our poor attempt at a snow fall 

[ARTDEMOLE]

Foggy. 0.5c. Dew point-0.8c. Apparent  -1.5c.  pressure  958.1 hPa. 

[Frosty_wsm]

That area of of precipitation around North somerset seems to be decaying. 

[karlos1983]

My bloody temp has gone from 1c to 1.3  

[matt111]

Risen to 1.7°C in the last few minutes. 

[Nights King]

Just now, karlos1983 said:

My bloody temp has gone from 1c to 1.3  

don't worry karlos once the wind kicks in ill export my chilly air towards you if i can 

Joking aside though it looks like temperatures drop after midnight again,  just hope we get some ppn with it.

[Singularity]

Very impressive looking storm to the SW on IR satellite... hopefully it won’t intensify faster than expected having absorbed the weak secondary low several hours ahead of schedule, as that could bring more in the way of milder air around the circulation... although if the convergence line to the N was able to hold its ground that could simply serve to increase precipitation intensity while cold air feeds in from the NE... hmm yes I see why MWB considers this one of the trickiest forecasts in many a year!

[Somersetwatcher]

1.2 degrees just outside Glasto , but steady, light to mod snow atm. Hoping to wake up to at least a light covering...❄️

[Somersetwatcher]

Nah....it's looking like drizzle again. Time 4 bed...

[wallopweather]

Last lamp post look of the night here.... light drizzle

[Frosty hollows]

I think snow might be a non event here tomorrow.  Its the potential for a very severe frost tomorrow nigjt that interests me. ( I'm in a frost hollow and we have lying snow )

[Nights King]

ppn in somerset is starting to pep up slightly... bed or shall i wait..