South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards

[Leo101217]

I've looked at this forum for a couple of years now but decided to join.

Heavy rainfall in early hours here but has lightened now,  the met office app is showing some light snow this evening and the wunderground website is showing snow for most of the night, obviously these are changing every time they update. The temperature is currently 7c but is supposed to drop to 2c in the afternoon.

I'm hoping something like the GFS18z last night can come off which showed snow through the whole night here. I'm also hoping that the low tomorrow will correct northwards but i'm unaware what this would require.

I hope many people get snow 

[Ben Sainsbury]

Very windy and all rain has stopped here.

 

Edited December 10, 2017 by Ben Sainsbury

[stratty]

An excited household woke up early for a walk amongst the winter wonderland.........wasn't long before the 5 year old was crying which curtailed our stroll,

............"I've got snow in my eye!"  

 

Edited December 10, 2017 by stratty

[knocker]

Broken cloud with some large Cb,  Cu behind the front

[Ciderwithrosie]

1 minute ago, knocker said:

Broken cloud with some large Cb,  Cu behind the front

Has the wind dropped yet? On the met office warning it was in place until 1500h. 

 

I think the weahr stmation that that I use has had a meltdown . It's showing 3mph for wind speed lol . 

[ARTDEMOLE]

6.1c. Now,  SLEET in with the rain

[SteveB]

Temp finally dropping here, down from 7.0c to 6.1c in about 15mins

[Gas Ed]

It's sunny and calm in NW Bristol - the temp shot up 1 degree to 3.8 in an instant. Is this the eye of it? 

[Polar Bear]

You are kidding me! Now this is ridicously marginal ... 7 miles up the road it’s a different story!

Edited December 10, 2017 by Polar Bear

[Singularity]

Temp was meant to hit 6-8*C in far S this morning and then fall rapidly in the afternoon, the main issue today-tomorrow is less whether it turns cold enough and more whether there’s sufficient precipitation still falling to produce any lying snow once it has done so. Models are 50:50 on this so I’m not daring to expect much down here in the far S.

[Catacol]

Yep - as expected the West Country snow shield going to remain firmly intact. All rain today and then as the system slides away the back edge snow not going to be particularly significant and very unlikely anyway west of Dorset. Sigh. All extremely disappointing for snow hopers... and if my blo*dy roof blows off this morning that will just be perfect. 

Move on to later in the week.

[noggin]

22 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

I hope this metoffice forecast is right showing snow in a hour and then snow on and off for the rest of the day but i'm not confident on that!

And look at the temperature contrast!

 

I'm beginning to lose hope too. We were forecast sleet between 9am and 10am but it's just been rain. So frustrating when the snow is so CLOSE!

[knocker]

4 minutes ago, Ciderwithrosie said:

Has the wind dropped yet? On the met office warning it was in place until 1500h. 

 

I think the weahr stmation that that I use has had a meltdown . It's showing 3mph for wind speed lol . 

Still gusty but I don't have a weather station

[Zephyr]

2 minutes ago, Gas Ed said:

It's sunny and calm in NW Bristol - the temp shot up 1 degree to 3.8 in an instant. Is this the eye of it? 

Temp here in Yate has gone from 1.3c to 4.7c in the space of an hour it seems dew point is currently 4.1c also. Might have to get the bbq out at this rate

[MP-R]

Bristol is in the eye! Temp dropping again here now.

[Uncle Gargy]

3 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

You are kidding me! Now this is ridicously marginal ... 7 miles up the road it’s a different story!

Tell me about it. I'm about two miles from the snow line. Can see it from my window.

[fromey]

I’m assuming as the low goes east it brings in the winds from the north then north east introducing colder air

[Frosty_wsm]

8 minutes ago, stratty said:

An excited household woke up early for a walk amongst the winter wonderland.........wasn't long before the 5 year old was crying which curtailed our stroll,

............"I've got snow in my eye!"  

 

Jammy sod, here's the view outside my window 

[Theresnoway]

I have a 40% chance of sleet tomorrow in Wimborne... Get in there!

[Uncle Gargy]

I see that the snow repellent 'bubble' is active in my area...

[MidnightSnow]

This will be a good test to see whether the MetO app is accurate or not. Uninstalling if its a rain fest lol

Edited December 10, 2017 by MidnightSnow

[SteveB]

3 minutes ago, Smartie said:

Jammy sod, here's the view outside my window 

Temp is dropping here though Smartie, currently 4.8c and still falling. It was 7.0c at 9.15am

Thankfully the wind has died down too.

Edited December 10, 2017 by SteveB

[TropicThunder]

Wind really picking up here now and heavy rain started again.

Meanwhile my brother and sis in law struggling to get out of Northampton, with stranded vehicles blocking roads.

[Mark Neal.]

Still coming down lighter now though! 

[AWD]

W COUNTRY 2/2 Later today & this evening, the 'backwash' weakening remnants of the main occluded front sink S. In turn, this introduces a new or renewed risk of sleet/snow into areas not hitherto affected, eg Bristol, N Som & S'wards: not expected as bad as to N, given weakening

 

 

(from Ian F).

Edited December 10, 2017 by AWD