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Nick L

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards

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A nice shiny new thread folks :)

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Channel Low - Christmas Day

Don't worry - it will correct south by then :santa-emoji::rofl:

gfs-0-384.png?12

Edited by kumquat

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Quote

 

Have just checked and im in the Not A Chance In Hell warning area

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It’s 1.5c here and my weather station is saying snow. Please let it be true 🙏🏼

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IMG_20171209_165501.thumb.png.1910ac747ed588d6bb922d4432ec1af7.png

From AWD's post in the previous thread - Remarkable, M4 Eastbound hard shoulder = snow, westbound hard shoulder it'll be raining. 

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1 minute ago, swebby said:

IMG_20171209_165501.thumb.png.1910ac747ed588d6bb922d4432ec1af7.png

From AWD's post in the previous thread - Remarkable, M4 Eastbound hard shoulder = snow, westbound hard shoulder it'll be raining. 

Unbelievable. It’s like the models are programmed to pick the M4 up!!

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About as good as it get's on the 12Z NetWx model:

viewimage.thumb.png.0bf9b9f6c4485a2484bbc3d91d01921e.png viewimage2.thumb.png.cc440b7c0190c2d02bd52b0e91aa8d14.png viewimage3.thumb.png.919e065c5fba08afefcd97a629df2458.png

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Southwards shift on the 12z Euro4 too, although not quite as much as the French models;

17121012_0912.thumb.gif.7ddf250ef8dd7944f609bb4203ed9d19.gif

17121018_0912.thumb.gif.8efbecd3612a9fe0cf10b6ea40c54d6e.gif

Brings Gloucestershire, North Wiltshire in with a shout.

Edited by AWD

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BBC having non of it for anywhere South of the M4, pretty much rain all the way for me according to them.:sorry:  

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4 minutes ago, SteveB said:

BBC having non of it for anywhere South of the M4, pretty much rain all the way for me according to them.:sorry:  

South of the M4 is still forecast to be rain, and very likely to be.  The southwards adjustments by some 12z models bring areas just north of the M4 like Gloucs, North Wiltshire, Oxfordshire into play that weren't really before.

Edited by AWD
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How about this one? Maybe later in the week? :unknw:

B58DD824-34E5-402F-BBE8-9780ABA72DA5.jpeg

Edited by matt111
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1 minute ago, AWD said:

South of the M4 is still forecast to be rain, and very likely to be.  The southwards adjustments by some 12z models bring areas just north of the UK like Gloucs, North Wiltshire, Oxfordshire into play that weren't really before.

Soooooo close though.....

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Just now, SteveB said:

Soooooo close though.....

I know.  Lol.  According to some models, I could cycle a few miles up the road and be in heavy snowfall.  

The PPN/wave on the radar will be the only reliable internet data really now.

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2 minutes ago, AWD said:

I know.  Lol.  According to some models, I could cycle a few miles up the road and be in heavy snowfall.  

The PPN/wave on the radar will be the only reliable internet data really now.


I live in north Yate and I'm considering taking a drive if it's as close as the models suggest.

Edited by MidnightSnow

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Just now, MidnightSnow said:


I live in north Yate and I'm considering taking a drive if it's as close as the models suggest.

Minchenhampton might be a good bet.  Get a Winston's ice cream at the same time.  Lol.

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Anyone near North Tawton area - are those showers rain or sleet  moving into that neighbourhood

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7 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

24586508-212B-482C-B36C-BE4144B33458.jpeg.382c73041dc45021a3a0ae34f8aef866.jpeg

according to that chart I've got 2-10cm ...................the wife still laughed :80:

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22 minutes ago, SteveB said:

BBC having non of it for anywhere South of the M4, pretty much rain all the way for me according to them.:sorry:  

The M4 was built after many years of meteorological study. Studying Wikileaks it becomes obvious that the UK Met Office in collaboration with the UK governments determined the best siting of a motorway that would act as a snow shield to the Southern UK, to enable business development in an area that remained snow free during the winter It has proven that over the years,and wintery outbreaks that the UK suffers are now well contained by the M4 motorway.

It is to be noted that the concept is not new, and was based on Hadrian's Wall, and it's ability to prevent  the outbreak of war from the Scots..

Edited by Dorsetbred
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My Meto App is now forecasting 11hrs of light snow for me, from 2pm tomorrow afternoon to 1am Tuesday morning.  :pardon:

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