The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion - 07/12/2017 Onwards

[mildmuck]

2 minutes ago, DIS1970 said:

-0.8C in Wolverhampton at the moment, cloud is breaking up here now, temp has dropped 0.3C in the last 15/20 mins, so it's just patchy cloud.

A little high for my liking hopefully we get some clearer skies before front arrives.  

[Snowy L]

Quoting from NW thread, which wa quoted from the Yorkshire thread:

 

"as mentioned in yorks forum that ppn for tomorrow is 100miles more north than forcast  "

[Dancerwithwings]

1 minute ago, Diamond Joe said:

We can but dream lol

"DREAM"....Absolutely that's why I'll be retiring soon and doing a bit of that....be back at 5 to 6ish

[kmanmx]

2 minutes ago, MKN said:

Gfs for nearly the same time...

EURO4 does better.

 

[Dancerwithwings]

12 minutes ago, Gustywind said:

I’m sure this is nothing to worry about but temps seem far higher than forecast, 1.6c in Solihull currently, supposed to be -1 at 9pm according to original forecast earlier??

We have a little cloud cover ATM was colder earlier when skies where clear.

[cyclonic happiness]

3 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

We have a little cloud cover ATM was colder earlier when skies where clear.

0.5'c here was sub zero an hour ago, dew points are -2.5'c so that's fine *shrugs*

[fizz511]

Someone was asking about Bish earlier....

He says to say Hi to everyone, and he will be lurking (his words ?), but not posting as he’s in the middle of a difficult family time at the moment.

So, Bish, will be thinking of you tomorrow when the snow starts! ?

[MKN]

For anyone with time on their hands to get an idea of which output maybe close to the mark compare 9pm radar to the model predictions unfortunately im not in reach of a pc atm.

[Backtrack]

Just now, MKN said:

For anyone with time on their hands to get an idea of which output maybe close to the mark compare 9pm radar to the model predictions unfortunately im not in reach of a pc atm.

It’s about 75-100 miles further north than models at this moment in time 

[Snowyowl9]

How much snow is in shrewsbury now?

They maybe dreaming the unthinkable again tomorrow.

[shaky]

Hmm that chart looks like the gfs!!precipitation indeed looks further north!!if gfs stays the same as the 12z then we gona have some really happy northern midlanders!

Edited December 9, 2017 by shaky

[Snowy L]

Hard to tell if it is further North or its just moving in a bit quicker than expected. The thing to watch out for is the North Irish border at 3.am. GFS expecting the most northerly extent is the North Irish border before it starts moving south. If it reaches the border we should be fine.

Edited December 9, 2017 by Snowy L

[ChezWeather]

Current Radar looking very similar to GFS and EURO4 

[jimben]

Met office has heavy snow starting here in Northants an hour earlier at 0500 and lasting through to 1100

[snowstorm27x]

1 minute ago, shaky said:

Hmm that chart looks like the gfs!!precipitation indeed looks further north!!

Yh unfortunately it looks bang on the Met predictions. North and central Mids will get thumped hope the wind direction brings it bk south a bit.

[Dancerwithwings]

8 minutes ago, fizz511 said:

Someone was asking about Bish earlier....

He says to say Hi to everyone, and he will be lurking (his words ?), but not posting as he’s in the middle of a difficult family time at the moment.

So, Bish, will be thinking of you tomorrow when the snow starts! ?

Ive seen Bishop Brennan popping in and out Yes for some of us that have been on here for a few years now I think we have an idea

Nice for you to take time in mentioning Good old Bish

Edited December 9, 2017 by Dancerwithwings

[Midlands Ice Age]

19 minutes ago, Gustywind said:

Hope so, it’s warmer now than it was at 3pm! Dew points still sub zero though.

Gusty,,

 I had noticed the same effect here as cloud has floated across this evening.

I was at -0.9C at 17:30, but it has moved up to 0.9C now at 21;15.

Dew point still fine at -2.3C though. 

Hope the clearance from Wolv comes   this way.

MIA

[I remember Atlantic 252]

not seen gordon on here for a bit, 205m asl guy, from Stourbridge area

[MKN]

7 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

It’s about 75-100 miles further north than models at this moment in time 

No way is it gonna be that much further north any adjustment at this stage would likely be a max of 50 miles.

[SalopWatcher]

5 minutes ago, Snowyowl9 said:

How much snow is in shrewsbury now?

They maybe dreaming the unthinkable again tomorrow.

Still lots on the ground everywhere. If we get what we had Friday again (or more potentially) people will be stuck for sure. Already a layer of thick ice on most ungritted surfaces. 

However in good news I reclaimed my children’s sledges from parents today. WE ARE READY 

 

 

[Sparkiee storm]

1 hour ago, Walsall Wood Snow said:

When should I expect any snowfall then? Tonight, tomorrow morning, tomorrow afternoon?

We now have an upgrade, even better lol 

[Dancerwithwings]

Model thread.... Midlands is looking

CLICK ON ARROW TOP RIGHT AND TAKE NOTE EACH CHART IS 6 HRS

Edited December 9, 2017 by Dancerwithwings

[kmanmx]

3 minutes ago, MKN said:

No way is it gonna be that much further north any adjustment at this stage would likely be a max of 50 miles.

Agreed probably just coming in faster than expected, does not mean northern extent will be further north. Anyway when I compare it to EURO4, i'd say it was closer to 50m than 100m...

Edited December 9, 2017 by kmanmx

[MattStoke]

5 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Model thread.... Midlands is looking

CLICK ON ARROW TOP RIGHT

All south of Stoke. Wonderful.

[andy_leics22]

21 minutes ago, fizz511 said:

Someone was asking about Bish earlier....

He says to say Hi to everyone, and he will be lurking (his words ?), but not posting as he’s in the middle of a difficult family time at the moment.

So, Bish, will be thinking of you tomorrow when the snow starts! ?

Sending my regards to Bish. Lets get a dumping of snow for him to enjoy!