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Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn


Paul
Message added by Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread. 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

Thank you!

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Posted
  • Location: Southside Glasgow (135m)
  • Weather Preferences: Beginning with S ending with W ;)
  • Location: Southside Glasgow (135m)

Possibly same thoughts over on other side of pond, with cold over in US also taking a temporary breather for coming week or so. 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
47 minutes ago, The Enforcer said:

Or in other words, the strat would be taking a battering if we got to Xmas day and the stratospheric pattern was still as shown on that chart.

no, the strat is taking a battering now-

npst30-2.thumb.png.76906eef7346edbbc5d4284bb0908de3.png

this chart is showing it on the ropes being pummelled, with the referee about to step in-

gfsnh-10-384-27.thumb.png.6b3561fd73e769e568fbc54e23eb7241.png

Edited by bobbydog
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20 minutes ago, Draig Goch said:

Can anyone tell me has the track of the low changed? Latest Arome run: gone is the milder air across South Wales tomorrow (initially for example Swansea was showing 10C and heavy rain) but if this is right, it would be 0-2C with snow or sleet! Look at the blues across Somerset & parts of north Devon too, again these areas looked milder on yesterday's runs as well! 

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Small nudge south by the look of it but a big difference showing there, interestingly the severe gales are also showing too, could be a potent snow storm somewhere if these combine! 

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

FWIW, the earlier NMM in house hi-res model had more of the south midland and central southern England in play.......a case of nowcasting and lamp post watching me thinks....no more posts on tomorrow from me after my earlier moan about the amount of them! :wink:

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