By Lincs Observation
New Thread for us souls who live in the East that get a little forgotten in the regional threads, So Its that time again to lamp post watch, whats your thoughs?
I was surprised there was no thread, so here’s one. A thread for all discussion related to the upcoming cold spell.
Try to keep things civil and nice please!...
I bet most folk if not all, never expected for us to be staring down the barrel of a potentially prolonged cold quite wintry pattern. It was only last week when NWP painted a quite sterile picture, with some providing commentary of the fat lady in full voice following the less successful blocking outcome.
ECM / GFS / UKMO @T72 & 96hrs
Universal agreement on a ‘very’ cold sourced northerly airstream a stone’s throw away, it’s been a while, however this may be the appetiser to the main event into week 2 - I’ve seen been thrown about. In recent days we’ve seen the models lower the uppers, thus increasing the chance of wintry precipitation to low levels - mid next week. Our mid Atlantic ridge does not look to persist stationary, there is considerable uncertainty as we enter early December, nonetheless there is certainty that it will be cold & blocked. Indications are it will topple but not as we know it, ultimately cutting off the cold flow, however remaining cold to very cold on the surface. Thereafter, these +ve heights could retrogress to the north west with another Arctic blast or northeast with an easterly flow.
Very interesting times
By Jo Farrow
Would this be the pinnacle of the winter, a covering of white on the 25th, or do you live in an area where you'd be glad to see snow at any point this winter.
It turns out it is quite a complicated business defining a White Christmas, from the observations. A look at various types of frozen precipitation, including those that look like snow but aren't and out in the cold 'sleet'. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8573-wintry-showers-and-what-counts-for-white-christmas-observations
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