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SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
    The Cheshire Gap Streamer is intensifying and flowing more towards the SE regions.

    Light snow has been reported in Guildford, Reading, Maidenhead, Maidstone, Essex, London - just to name a few :)

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    Merry Xmas, To all on the South East thread. Didn't think I'd still be here, being able to celebrate Christmas, after suffering a brain haemorrhage/stroke, in September 2015. But fortunately, due

    Snowline has moved back across the water now so north kent / Surrey etc back in the fray - great wrap around as well heavy snow here in Eltham -1cm , wifey just text 0.2c in NAG with heavy snow a

    It is not showing 20cm for Reading whatsoever! I see he's a Reading student, I think he's trying to convince himself...

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    Posted
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: snow (but who doesnt like that)
  • Location: Rye East Sussex

    I'm such an interested weather novice but trying to learn. Ive been watching the uk snow map this morning. The line of snow is directly in our line. Is the snow clump to due fizzle put before reaching us/a wind change. I'm right on the coast so I'm in with very little chance but in curious. If its on that path why not us ?????

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    Posted
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic

    Sunday's snow risk has appeared to move a little S, so areas N of London are in with a decent shout of accumulating snow. Monday looks a bit crazy! NE'ly gales and the NW half of our region could get a blizzard, IF these charts are correct.....:)

    IMG_4947.PNG

    IMG_4948.PNG

    Edited by stainesbloke
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    Posted
  • Location: Near Southend, Essex
  • Location: Near Southend, Essex
    1 minute ago, stainesbloke said:

    Sunday's snow risk has appeared to move a little S, so areas N of London are in with a decent shout of accumulating snow. Monday looks a bit crazy! NE'ly gales and the NW half of our region could get a blizzard, IF these charts are correct.....:)

    IMG_4947.PNG

    IMG_4948.PNG

    Pray with me people.

    anyway, it’s feeling no colder than yesterday out there at the moment. Quite nice in the sun actually.

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    21 minutes ago, Uxbridge90 said:

    Doesn't look so good for us for Monday, heavy rain turning to snow later?

    It looks perfect, once it starts moving se look at all the snow north of us to move over. Will be heavy enough to land on wet surfaces. If that happens as modelld we will a get a substantial covering. Problem is the storm force. Winds.

    Edited by alexisj9
    Change an auto correct to right word.
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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
    Possible severe storm coupled with gale force winds for Monday?
     
    As it stands so far, heavy rain will turn to heavy snow Monday afternoon/evening.
     
    If this does verify, structural damage is possible, flooding in low lying areas and then a white out blizzard conditions for a while.
     
    Still room for changes, so let's see how this pans out.
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    Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
    1 minute ago, yamkin said:
    Possible severe storm coupled with gale force winds for Monday?
     
    As it stands so far, heavy rain will turn to heavy snow Monday afternoon/evening.
     
    If this does verify, structural damage is possible, flooding in low lying areas and then a white out blizzard conditions for a while.
     
    Still room for changes, so let's see how this pans out.

    All a matter of temperature - the right one and you've got yourself a blizzard; the wrong one and you've got yourself severe flooding.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    22 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

    Juding by the latest GFS we could be in the firing line but we would need a 50 mile correction south again. 

    Still don't think we'll see snow here. Maybe somewhere like St Albans been the wintry line. 

    If the precipitation is heavy enough IMO it will settle. Could be the best chance we’ve had in shy of 5 years and if that doesn’t deliver we have Monday which looks very promising. :) 

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    Posted
  • Location: Herts
  • Location: Herts
    38 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

    Juding by the latest GFS we could be in the firing line but we would need a 50 mile correction south again. 

    Still don't think we'll see snow here. Maybe somewhere like St Albans been the wintry line. 

    I'm not sure how I feel about being that close to the wintry line!

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    Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
    1 hour ago, yamkin said:
    The Cheshire Gap Streamer is intensifying and flowing more towards the SE regions.

    Light snow has been reported in Guildford, Reading, Maidenhead, Maidstone, Essex, London - just to name a few :)

    Someone must be joking, fairly clear and sunny

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Temps rose to 3.3 here but have dropped back to 2.6c - impressive

    things beginning to get exciting next for the end of the weekend !

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    Posted
  • Location: Harrow (Fulwood), London, (Sheffield)
  • Location: Harrow (Fulwood), London, (Sheffield)

    I'll be travelling back to Harrow from the north midlands on Sunday evening, so with any luck i'll get to see two snow events (that's if the trains are running Sunday evening..)

    GFS is very marginal for Monday, and certainly for my area (Harrow) i can see heavy sleet at best (GFS), although those in the home counties could get a real pasting. To note that the ECM has the precipitation further south, although snow restricted to higher ground

    The ARPEGE has the precipitation clipping Kent - lots of changes to come! 

    arpegeeur-2-72.png?6

    Edited by Mark Bayley
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    Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

    Bit of snow here in Didcot Berkshire where I work !

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    Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
    1 hour ago, yamkin said:
    The Cheshire Gap Streamer is intensifying and flowing more towards the SE regions.

    Light snow has been reported in Guildford, Reading, Maidenhead, Maidstone, Essex, London - just to name a few :)

    Anyone got a updated map

    Its getting more organized now didn't expect this

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    Posted
  • Location: Hockley, Essex
  • Location: Hockley, Essex

    ^^Dunno what happened there ??

     

    Anyway, cold, very bright in Chelmsford!

    Who needs snow, that would be wet and miserable ;)

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.

    The Cotswolds and Chilterns are zapping the energy out of the Cheshire Gap streamer.

    Ox/Berks and points W/NW of there in with a chance of a few showers. Everyone else, sun, clouds and wind.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent

    Yellow warning issued for southern counties for wind on Sunday, surprised it hasn't for rain, as it looks very heavy for down here.

    Edited by warrenb
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    Posted
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic

    Latest Met Office warnings update shows the snow risk to the N of London. Buckinghamshire, Oxfordshire, Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire, parts of Essex, Suffolk and Norfolk are in the warning area with N parts of Bedfordshire in an amber snow warning. The rest of us are to get rain (quite a lot of it, too). Then there is a warning for strong winds over much of our region on Sunday. Monday not mentioned, yet....

    IMG_4949.JPG

    Edited by stainesbloke
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    Posted
  • Location: High Wycombe East
  • Location: High Wycombe East

    Amazing - we are no neither in the snow or wind warning areas, we must be in that tiny slither inbetween! Great Misseneden up the road where the odffice is is under the show warning, though.

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Bare in mind the Met Office warnings are disruption based, you could see snow falling outside of the warning zones, it's just unlikely to settle and thus, wont be disruptive hence no warning

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Re: Mondays snowfall. The GFS has it quite far North and gives our little region rain whilst further North gets dumped on, again.

    GFS.thumb.gif.347d3e1ca7af42647667dca1d71dd667.gif

    The higher resolution models APERGE and NetWx-MR have the system so far South it doesn't even reach England but rather, moves into France

    APERGE.thumb.jpg.2d0bbeec00f5ca6bd818d9ddde04c64e.jpgNetWx-MR.thumb.png.ca143d1d170039ef6ddfe7f45cb69aeb.png

    The FAX has it a little further North than the High-Res models but further South than the GFS and brings in an occluded front across our region, but the 528DAM is well to the North.

    fax84s.thumb.gif.72026afe44b9294a5fb1a82568902f3f.gif

    So in terms of Monday.. no idea. It ranges from dry, wet to snowfest depending on which model you look at. Personally I'd be going with the FAX/High Res models over the GFS

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