SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

[crazysnowcatz4]

1 hour ago, alexisj9 said:

People from east kent, need to go canterbury soon, are conditions ok on the roads or should I cancel?

 

Roads seem to be fine, not really very much snow fell just a bit which melted instantly

 

[Daniel*]

Permission to get a little excited.. granted.

[Spikey M]

6 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Permission to get a little excited.. granted.

I have to drive both this evening and before sunrise tomorrow, having only passed my test this summer. But still. Bring. It. On!

Edited November 30, 2017 by Spikey M

[Captain Shortwave]

Just a couple of light flurries so far, a really cold feeling day with a high of just 3C. It is clouding over quite a bit, oddly it doesn't feel like we are going to see some active and frequent showers with a lot of low cloud floating around.

[Daniel*]

32 minutes ago, Nick L said:

To illustrate my point, here is the UKV for 07:00 tomorrow morning, really the peak of shower activity for the SE...

And the corresponding dew points, sadly on the wrong side of marginal...

You show this but all those rash of showers up north are coming S considerably before that and pose greater interest than that snap you provided..

[Nick L]

3 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

You show this but all those rash of showers up north are coming S considerably before that and pose greater interest than that snap you provided..

You'll get one or two drifting through, sure. Not a great deal though.

If you're happy with a snow flurry then you're likely to be pleased tonight, if you want settling snow then almost certainly not. Depends on what you're looking for!

Edited November 30, 2017 by Nick L

[Daniel*]

Just now, Nick L said:

You'll get one or two drifting through, sure. Not a great deal though.

I think you’re going to be wrong here, the beeb has these showers of a quite widespread nature later this evening.

[Nick L]

1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

I think you’re going to be wrong here, the beeb has these showers of a quite widespread nature later this evening.

There'll be a lot of unhappy London councils based on what we're going for then

No models have frequent/widespread showers this evening, none of the UKMO models either.

Edited November 30, 2017 by Nick L

[steveinsussex]

With all due respect Daniel, I’ll trust the netweather forcaster here 

[Nick L]

Just now, steveinsussex said:

With all due respect Daniel, I’ll trust the netweather forcaster here 

I don't work for Netweather (Just a moderator) but thanks haha. Not saying I'm going to be right, Daniel may well be right, but if the BBC are saying widespread snow showers over the London area tonight then I'm at a loss as to where they're getting that from. I'm just going by what the models are showing and discussions with my superior this morning. As we saw last night though, things can go off-plan...

[throwoff]

I am a tad shocked we are all getting so caught up on 'what the models say' when most of us have had snowfall today that was on 0 models...

 

[Daniel*]

16 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

With all due respect Daniel, I’ll trust the netweather forcaster here 

Well I don’t overly care! Proof is in the pudding especially when it’s staring in your face look at the radar. No way to the extent did the models forecast the heavy snows some have seen in NE England for instance.

[Nick L]

6 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Well I don’t overly care! Proof is in the pudding especially when it’s staring in your face look at the radar. No way to the extent did the models forecast the heavy snows some have seen in NE England for instance.

They did. Looks pretty bang on to me. Even has the Pembrokeshire dangler!

 

Edited November 30, 2017 by Nick L

[steveinsussex]

21 minutes ago, Nick L said:

I don't work for Netweather (Just a moderator) but thanks haha. Not saying I'm going to be right, Daniel may well be right, but if the BBC are saying widespread snow showers over the London area tonight then I'm at a loss as to where they're getting that from. I'm just going by what the models are showing and discussions with my superior this morning. As we saw last night though, things can go off-plan...

My bad

[Daniel*]

4 minutes ago, Nick L said:

They did. Looks pretty bang on to me. Even has the Pembrokeshire dangler!

 

+10hrs need I say more? Well, I’ve seen similar set ups to what we’ve seen now and thus that’s where I’m going from I expect for folk to be surprised.  

[Nick L]

Just now, Daniel* said:

+10hrs need I say more? Well, I’ve seen similar set ups to what we’ve seen now and thus that’s where I’m going from I expect for folk to be surprised.  

+10hrs is the supposed London widespread snow showers, what's your point?

If you want to go on blind faith then by all means do so, as a professional I'll stick with what's shown on the models.

[Daniel*]

Not seen the latest but this model may be in fact closer to the mark than most.

[Katrine Basso]

It's getting colder in Thurrock, the temperature now is 2.4 °C and with the wind chill makes it feel more like -0.9 °C .  The apparent temperature is -3.0 °C and the -2.9 °C .  The wind speed and direction is 7.4mph NNW.  I am more likely to wake up to a frosty morning than a snowy one.

[Methuselah]

Scattered sleet showers, moderate WNW (still no sign of it veering NE) and 1C...

[Daniel*]

8 minutes ago, Nick L said:

+10hrs is the supposed London widespread snow showers, what's your point?

If you want to go on blind faith then by all means do so, as a professional I'll stick with what's shown on the models.

I can extrapolate further on these showers will work their way south. Not blind faith. 

[Methuselah]

Correction...it's turned back into snow.

[Daniel*]

The latest 5CM over parts of the North Downs. 

Methinks the yellow snow warning needs to cover London and the Home Counties.

[SMU]

Exactly over me-

I think 5cm is optimistic

I would be over the moon with North of +1cm !

S

[Radiating Dendrite]

Just don't see it myself.

Maybe a light dusting, but will quickly melt in the morning.

[CK1981]

4 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

The latest 5CM over parts of the North Downs. 

Methinks the yellow snow warning needs to cover London and the Home Counties.

Looks like I’m too far west