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SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: NorthWest Central London, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snowy Winters, Hot and Sunny Summers - Never Mild!
  • Location: NorthWest Central London, United Kingdom

    Good evening all, fellow southerners!

    Are snow chances have upgraded a bit over the past few hours, huh? :)

    This is what BBC are forecasting for my area in Central.North West London.....

    BBCSnowCamden.thumb.png.7d4e3d76bbbf89055e96a047590641ba.png

    A mixture of sleet/rain and to top it off, some heavy snow? :blink2:

    Surely not! :cc_confused:

    Tomorrows gonna be a LONG day and I gotta feeling a few surprises may crop up for our region. :wink:

    Heres to hoping....:drinks:

     

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    Merry Xmas, To all on the South East thread. Didn't think I'd still be here, being able to celebrate Christmas, after suffering a brain haemorrhage/stroke, in September 2015. But fortunately, due

    Snowline has moved back across the water now so north kent / Surrey etc back in the fray - great wrap around as well heavy snow here in Eltham -1cm , wifey just text 0.2c in NAG with heavy snow a

    It is not showing 20cm for Reading whatsoever! I see he's a Reading student, I think he's trying to convince himself...

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    Posted
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers but not too hot and colder winters with frost and snow
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
    1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

    Second 18z run in

    Hirlam - best chart T15

    IMG_2247.thumb.PNG.35c68f449ffc56d0d4d765a03916b172.PNG

    Now that is an interesting chart and puts folk in NW Kent back in the snow game,espicially those with elevation!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire

    HIRLAM looks bloody brilliant!

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
    3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Second 18z run in

    Hirlam - best chart T15

    IMG_2247.thumb.PNG.35c68f449ffc56d0d4d765a03916b172.PNG

    Steve, your phone's fully charged at last....surely a good omen!?

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.

    The Hirlam. How accurate is that though, really?

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
    9 minutes ago, snowray said:

    These supposed experts are only any good these days in winter months when its zonal, mild and damp.:nonono::bad:

    In their defence I don't think they actually forecast the weather, that's what they pay the Met Office for.

    I imagine they produce the reports based on what they are given and with a marginal chargeable hourly (it seems) situation such as this it can't be easy.

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    17 minutes ago, Southender said:

    The Hirlam. How accurate is that though, really?

    Hirlam is dutch for - nonaneigesoufender

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    18 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

    Steve, your phone's fully charged at last....surely a good omen!?

    Yes Ive had it plugged in since 4 - batteries fubared !

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
    4 minutes ago, Nick L said:

    HIRLAM looks bloody brilliant!

    Nick , Thanks for your knowledgeable updates throughout the day , it is much appreciated and please keep them coming , which leads me to one question , are there any more high resolution runs tonight ? . 

    Edited by Mark wheeler
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    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge Kent 75 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Storms
  • Location: Tonbridge Kent 75 asl

    Showers coming into the crawley/sussex area frontal edge is turning to Snow

    qw222.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
    6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Second 18z run in

    Hirlam - best chart T15

    IMG_2247.thumb.PNG.35c68f449ffc56d0d4d765a03916b172.PNG

    That’s looking surprisingly good for our region of north Kent. How likely is that though 

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    Posted
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm dry summers
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich
    4 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Second 18z run in

    Hirlam - best chart T15

    IMG_2247.thumb.PNG.35c68f449ffc56d0d4d765a03916b172.PNG

    I've been following the last few HIRLAM runs and the heavy snow areas have definitely moved South over the course of the day. The 6Z had the heaviest ppn over Suffolk , by the 12Z it was over N Essex, now the 18Z has it over S Essex.

    My experiences with the HIRLAM in the summer were that it was quite good but tended to overstate precipitation amounts. Hopefully it hasn't this time!

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    17 minutes ago, c00ps said:

    That’s looking surprisingly good for our region of north Kent. How likely is that though 

    If im 100% honest its really really borderline - if your south of London then you need elevation

    if your north of london you need elevation but may still see snow - 

    places like High Wycombe - Luton / Dunstable look set here...

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    Posted
  • Location: Heybridge, Essex!
  • Location: Heybridge, Essex!

    -1.3 here at the minute with a fairly thick frost already.

    I'm more optimistic of Snow tomorrow after seeing the latest charts and hearing opinions from those more knowledgeable on this thread, although of course part of me still expects to wake up rain!

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    Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
    3 minutes ago, handler66 said:

    Showers coming into the crawley/sussex area frontal edge is turning to Snow

    qw222.jpg

    Well thats about 5 miles from here so ill turn the lamp post on

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
    4 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

    Nick , Thanks for your knowledgeable updates throughout the day , it is much appreciated and please keep them coming , which leads me to one question , are there any more high resolution runs tonight ? . 

    UKV 18z is just out, really not much change to be honest. We've reached the point now where it's just a case of waiting and hoping.

    I was supposed to be going to the pub at midday tomorrow for the footy, but maybe I won't be able to :pardon:

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
    1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

    If im 100% honest its really really borderline - if your south of London then you need elevation

    So you're saying I should go upstairs? ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
    2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    If im 100% honest its really really borderline - if your south of London then you need elevation

    if your north of london you need elevation but may still see snow - 

    places like High Wycombe - Luton / Dunstable look set here...

    I've got a flight from Luton on Monday morning :pardon:

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
    1 minute ago, Nick L said:

    I've got a flight from Luton on Monday morning :pardon:

    I suspect you don't

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood Kent asl 63m
  • Weather Preferences: cold and hot in summer
  • Location: Strood Kent asl 63m

    the temperature has dropped by 0.3 c to 0.6 . Was at 1.1 a hour ago

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
    2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

    Good luck everyone - let's hope it isn't too frustrating where the snow falls  with snowy skies but wet ground! 

    Having said that, if the snow is heavy enough, it will still accumulate :D 

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