SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

[Kent Blizzard]

Only -32 in Yakutsk Russia today 

 

[Dami]

41 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

O ye, of little faith. I’ve ordered a red woolly hat.  

I haven’t really, I’m made of hard stuff... your coat would look divine with a white backdrop.  

yes, I'm onto coats now. It was boots last year. keep up!

quite blowy out and cool, but the rain had stopped.

I also wore my new knitted dress, tights and ankle boots. Cos i'm not hard and it's Autumn. 

[Laurence Hill]

Nice app that’s going free on iPhone for today only I think.

 

https://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/weather-now-accurate-forecast/id488674899?mt=8

[shotski]

Just had a look on meteociel and I fear the MOD thread could go into meltdown !!!

[lassie23]

4 hours ago, shotski said:

Just had a look on meteociel and I fear the MOD thread could go into meltdown !!!

at least it will be mild

[bluebell]

4 hours ago, Sharpedge said:

Nice app that’s going free on iPhone for today only I think.

 

https://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/weather-now-accurate-forecast/id488674899?mt=8

Thanks for tip just downloaded this, looks really cool! ??

[Methuselah]

A wee bit on the grey side, light-moderate SW'erly zephyr, and already up to 13C!

[lawrenk]

50 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

A wee bit on the grey side, light-moderate SW'erly zephyr, and already up to 13C!

Not to worry. Weekend here soon and back to cold and bright(hopefully). 

Seems to be a rut we’re stuck in at the moment.

[Kent Blizzard]

Chance of some sleet Saturday morning over high ground, perhaps even ground level in favoured parts of the SE. 

[Dami]

We all know that any snow will be up 'orth and we will get wind and wet and milder here. 

*goes and buys another hat*

[stainesbloke]

1 hour ago, Kent Blizzard said:

Chance of some sleet Saturday morning over high ground, perhaps even ground level in favoured parts of the SE. 

You may be being humorous, but if not, why is sleet exciting? I can understand excitement about snow, but sleet? It's horrible! 

Edited November 21, 2017 by stainesbloke

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

Why is sleet exciting? I can understand excitement about snow, but sleet? It's horrible!

Dare I say it? It's even more horrible than cold rain!

[stainesbloke]

5 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Dare I say it? It's even more horrible than cold rain!

Indeed it is, yucky stuff! 

[Dami]

not if you have a new hat, scarf and gloves to match new coats it isn't.

It's seasonal.

[stainesbloke]

28 minutes ago, Dami said:

not if you have a new hat, scarf and gloves to match new coats it isn't.

It's seasonal.

You must look very trendy in all your new gear? Ready for winter. Sleet will give the new outfit a test, rather it snowed though, much more fun. Sleet is just wet and cold.

[Dami]

44 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

You must look very trendy in all your new gear? Ready for winter. Sleet will give the new outfit a test, rather it snowed though, much more fun. Sleet is just wet and cold.

Trendy? My dear SB a lady of my age isn't 'Trendy' she's 'Stylish'

and warm. 

Of course I would prefer snow, duh, given.

Merry Christmas

[Blessed Weather]

What a bore fest the last 48 hours have been! Grey skies and the temp not moving by day or night, stuck between 11.3C and 11.9C. So personally I'm looking forward to a bit of variety over the coming days. Starting tomorrow with strong winds arriving, and hopefully a surprise flake or two of snow over the weekend. (The weekend will be getting into the range of the high res models soon, starting with the Arpege 12z this evening).

Here's the wind gusts around the Region for the early hours of Thurs:

 

[Dami]

not loving the wind. For many reasons.

[stainesbloke]

14 minutes ago, Dami said:

Trendy? My dear SB a lady of my age isn't 'Trendy' she's 'Stylish'

and warm. 

Of course I would prefer snow, duh, given.

Merry Christmas

Stylish it is, then. My apologies. Enjoy the seasonal weather in your new clothes. Think we might see something wintry this year, Merry Christmas to you, too (you know it's still November, don't you?)!

[Dami]

2 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

Stylish it is, then. My apologies. Enjoy the seasonal weather in your new clothes. Think we might see something wintry this year, Merry Christmas to you, too (you know it's still November, don't you?)!

Never too early, and thanks I shall.

[Kent Blizzard]

3 hours ago, stainesbloke said:

You may be being humorous, but if not, why is sleet exciting? I can understand excitement about snow, but sleet? It's horrible! 

It's a start and it's only November Most of the surprise snowfall events started as sleet.....ok that's a little too far, bit it can sometimes be the first piece of the long puzzle 

[stainesbloke]

10 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

It's a start and it's only November Most of the surprise snowfall events started as sleet.....ok that's a little too far, bit it can sometimes be the first piece of the long puzzle 

There is that hope. I hate sleet though. One excellent snow event I remember from the mid-80's started off as heavy rain, rained for hours before turning to snow in the evening. Snowed all night and there was 6 inches laying by morning....

[lassie23]

SLEET SUCKS

[Daniel*]

5 hours ago, Kent Blizzard said:

Chance of some sleet Saturday morning over high ground, perhaps even ground level in favoured parts of the SE. 

The Arpege shows very slight accumulation over the North Downs, I presume above 200m or thereabouts. Possibly quite a few of us could see some flames following a deluge..

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Interesting, the storm tomorrow doesn't have a name, thus no real mention in fact  everyone I spoke to today didn't believe me when I said it may be a tad windy tomorrow...

I have to say, the weather has been some what "placid?" over the last week or so, although the frosts have been welcome... 

Certainly won't be many leaves left on the trees come Thursday morning..

I always take the Arpege with a pinch of salt on wind speeds as it like to over cook them..

Tomorrow 10am

30-40mph gusts starting to move into western areas of our Region...

By 2pm gusts have increased across the whole region, exposed coasts 50mph inland 40-45mph 

Typical Autumn storm... So far... But overnight as the associated front(s) clear East it gets a tad more blowly... I think some hefty showers ratteling through also

11pm through to around 2am sees a swathe of much stronger winds... which eventually clears out East by Thursday morning.

60-70mph possible along coasts even some inland areas seeing high end 50s

 

Net weathers model does actually follow quite Similar to the Arpege though..

9am                                                           12pm                                                     3pm                                                           9pm (notice that patch of stronger winds around the south coast)     midnight

 

So my general thought is 40mph in the morning inland increasing to around 55mph MAX evening time... possible a 60mph somewhere probably over my house, seems I live in some kind of giant wind tunnel 2 storms ,some how, Heathrow has taken top wind speed inland

Along the coast 50mph in the morning increasing to mid 60s by evening may be right out in the most exposed needle 70mph..

So generally not to bad, but we are talking about high winds for a long period of time which could cause a bit of trouble...