SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

[lassie23]

Just now, snowray said:

Its early yet, get some kip and get up for about 6am.

Alarm set

[Sno' problem]

2 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

how is it supposed to flogging snow when it's 7.8c and still flogging rising, for flog sake.

The temps were never going to be right for any of us until at least 3am from any of the models. We are currently getting warmer winds from the SW... as soon as the low shifts Eastwards, it will pull the colder air in behind and then the chances of wintry ppn is on. 

Until then, it is a case of seeing how things are progressing. We MIGHT be in for a surprise IF the cold air digs in fast enough and the precipitation is heavy enough. Otherwise it's yet another near-miss!

[snowfish1]

45 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

The centre of circulation is obvious on this radar grab

so the whole of the SE is being pumped with SW winds ATM

The wrap around is approx Bristol up to Hereford - that’s going to take about 8-10 hours to sweep across to us...

S

So about 9am ish Steve?

[snowray]

3 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Alarm set

Could hit west London slightly earlier though.

18z Arome high res:

[lassie23]

2 minutes ago, snowray said:

Could hit west London slightly earlier though.

18z Arome high res:

 

alarm slightly reset lol

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Cross model agreement on falling snow across 4 models.. Now whether it settles is up for debate 

[snowray]

I think that the times on Meteociel are French time, so they are an hour ahead of us anyway.

[Darkcloud]

34 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

It's the old German DWD model revamped. Often quite close to the ecm output but not as good. I think it verifies below ukmo and similar to gfs 

Thanks BA. Another one to keep an eye on then!

[Cheese Rice]

1 hour ago, Daniel* said:

Speak for yourself lol! 

Wherever I go the snow goes. 

Or at least I hope. 

[Sno' problem]

1 minute ago, Cheese Rice said:

Wherever I go the snow goes. 

Or at least I hope. 

Where are you now? Waterloo I hope??! 

Everything seems to be going slightly ahead of plan, with temps lower than forecast, so all to play for still.

Edited December 26, 2017 by Sno' problem

[Cheese Rice]

3 minutes ago, Sno' problem said:

Where are yoiu now? Waterloo I hope??! 

Up north! 

The winters down south are disgusting you all should be ashamed of yourselves. 

lol

 

Here's an golden oldie of the snow accumulations in the March 2013 slider. Never gonna get that in London. 

 

And I'm technicallly 175m asl, not bad for the suburbs. 

Edited December 26, 2017 by Cheese Rice

[Sno' problem]

1 minute ago, Cheese Rice said:

Up north! 

The winters down south are disgusting you all should be ashamed of yourselves. 

lol

 

Here's an golden oldie of the snow accumulations in the March 2013 slider. Never gonna get that in London. 

You show off you! 

[Cheese Rice]

2 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

 

Deleted 

Edited December 26, 2017 by Cheese Rice

[Badgers01]

1 minute ago, Cheese Rice said:

Up north! 

The winters down south are disgusting you all should be ashamed of yourselves. 

lol

 

Here's an golden oldie of the snow accumulations in the March 2013 slider. Never gonna get that in London. 

 

And I'm technicallly 175m asl, not bad for the suburbs. 

Actually you can 1-02-09 we had level 9” in central London with the Thames Clipper !!

[Cheese Rice]

Just now, Badgers01 said:

Actually you can 1-02-09 we had level 9” in central London with the Thames Clipper !!

That's obviously more snow than 9" in the pic I posted, here's a side view, there was well over 40cm on that day. 

[Tn9]

1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:

The centre of circulation is obvious on this radar grab

so the whole of the SE is being pumped with SW winds ATM

The wrap around is approx Bristol up to Hereford - that’s going to take about 8-10 hours to sweep across to us...

S

Looks like there is two centres of circulation.. Helps or hinders I don't know looks to be paying Exeter a visit 

[Daniel*]

I think I had near 40cm on that date I’m not entirely sure never measured it, all I know there was a crazy amount of snow. London can get a lot of snow if everything falls in place, contrary to popular belief! However that was the most disruptive snow since 1991? So quite a wait I’m waiting for the next big one.  

[danm]

A lot of people on the Midlands thread are reporting very little settling snow. 

[Daniel*]

Poor Leeds 

The wrap around does not favour a lot of the Midlands.. unlike last time those that did very well not so this time. I’m fairly hopeful for us lot for at least some falling snow, will set an alarm for 0700.

ICON 18z recent take

[Daniel*]

Some fairly potent showers in the balmy south east albeit it won’t be balmy for long almost torrential here a short while ago. Seems there’s a bit of instability associated with this system. 

[Eskimo]

Temperature rising to a rather sweaty 5.6C here. Phew! 

[Snoopie42]

There is one reason why we (I) do this......one day in our very small part of the world and even the UK ( South East ) we will experience a weather event that is beyond 'normal'. It maybe beyond normal Wind, rain, heat, cold along with Thunder Storms and Snow Fall but we will all be here, lurking and / or posting because, if we dont, we might not experience an event to share with this great community! Local Knowledge in our 'marginal' location is key! If its rain, snow or slush tomorrow lets raise a glass or two ( or several) to all that contribute on a daily basis in this thread ( Im hoping i have more time to do so now).....Legends! Im not sure what i will be eventually waking to tomorrow morning,  but i know i will be waking several times during the night because i know anything can happen and how marginal things are.....its exciting......bloody weather!?❤

[Cheese Rice]

10 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Poor Leeds 

 

That's a radar error luv. The front is over us I think. 

[alexisj9]

34 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

Up north! 

The winters down south are disgusting you all should be ashamed of yourselves. 

lol

 

Here's an golden oldie of the snow accumulations in the March 2013 slider. Never gonna get that in London. 

 

And I'm technicallly 175m asl, not bad for the suburbs. 

I've seen that much snow in London, right in the centre, although it was in the 80s lol.

[alexisj9]

33 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:

Actually you can 1-02-09 we had level 9” in central London with the Thames Clipper !!

Good point but I was in Croydon then, knee high snow. Not sure I'll ever see that again.