SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

[Dami]

I only care'cos we were going out. Not to say if i get rain now i'm won't be disappointed.  It's fun watching your chance go up and down. Doesn't happen that often why not enjoy the ride?

[Jimmyh]

Ahh the silly season has arrived... 18 pages in a day. Must be a chance of snow in our depyived world.... i javent posted aince start if this thread as got model fatigue...

All to play for but lets wait and c lol

[bluearmy]

Still not told the wife and kids .....

and no one in the predicted snow zone is alllowed to unless the tv forecast shows it in which case you have to come clean 

[Stuie]

1 minute ago, Jimmyh said:

Ahh the silly season has arrived... 18 pages in a day. Must be a chance of snow in our depyived world.... i javent posted aince start if this thread as got model fatigue...

All to play for but lets wait and c lol

A little harsh mate, considering this hardly ever happens, you have to expect it?

[yamkin]

1 minute ago, CanadaAl said:

I'm sure there will be some surprising totals to account for especially with evaporation cooling,e.t.c 

A few years ago rain was forecast and snow started to fall and got heavier and caused chaos in the Croydon area

[Alpine glow]

6 minutes ago, John Hodgson said:

Oh this is just getting silly now. Lets just wake up in the morning and see what happens lol. 

Obvs not a snow crazed, chart obsessed, on the edge of your seat, emotional rollercoaster lover

[snowray]

13 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Frustratingly, the 18z UKV has budged it north.

All the weather forecasts I've watched have the snow well north of the London area, oh well, winter is over for me then!

[essexweather]

18Z UKMO actually shows snow falling into North Kent. While overall totals are less on this run, more in our region should see snow falling at some point

[shaky]

8 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Shouldn't really divulge this info, but our forecast for TfL has been updated to include snow accumulations for northern and western areas.

Nick if you dont mind me askin how far north has it budged north!!am in the midlands but its nerve wrecking cos evrything seems to have shifted south on the 12z!!

[Nick L]

5 minutes ago, CanadaAl said:

I'm sure there will be some surprising totals to account for especially with evaporation cooling,e.t.c 

Too windy for evaporative cooling. You need calm conditions.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

32 minutes ago, Nick L said:

If there's more support from other folks in East Anglia we can certainly consider it.

I'd like it just for the next couple of days.

[Sno' problem]

8 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Shouldn't really divulge this info, but our forecast for TfL has been updated to include snow accumulations for northern and western areas.

Northern and Western areas of the Transport for London network? 

[Daniel*]

7 minutes ago, Nick L said:

On closer inspection it's barely north at all, the snow accumulation chart is basically identical to the 15z. All to play for.

You swine 

i still think the best of the models can be up to 50 miles off - nowcasting will be of help.

[snowking]

2 minutes ago, essexweather said:

18Z UKMO actually shows snow falling into North Kent. While overall totals are less on this run, more in our region should see snow falling at some point

Looks much more akin to the 12z EC det. Tom, lovely stuff

[snowray]

8 minutes ago, Nick L said:

On closer inspection it's barely north at all, the snow accumulation chart is basically identical to the 15z. All to play for.

Ohhh how very cheeky...... you wind up merchant you

[Nick L]

1 minute ago, Sno' problem said:

Northern and Western areas of the Transport for London network? 

Yup, which remember does run a long way out of London to the NW.

[Southender]

4 minutes ago, essexweather said:

18Z UKMO actually shows snow falling into North Kent. While overall totals are less on this run, more in our region should see snow falling at some point

Blimey even Sarfend in the game. That’s jinxed it

[Sweetdream]

It is meant to pivot and go through Norfolk. I think all this shifting south are the models working out the track but I think the met o warning this morning is where it is going to be. With a slight shift in either direction but a 20/30 miles max. They have had most in yellow warning including myself since Thursday with Peterborough only 25 miles above me on an amber. Then it changed this morning to include Cambridgeshire.  I might be wrong but I think the track will be the same almost as this ornings warning. The reason behind this is that they have been sitting on the fence before dishing out the warnings.    Unlike  in 2010 when I was issued heavy snow days before hand and 6 hours before the event I got nothing not even a flake London got dumped on.  I hate an easterly as it misses my location and it's bloody freezing cold and dry. I do better on a north north east. 

[snowking]

30 minutes ago, Stuie W said:

Think this might be our 1st hello of 2017, hope you are well matey and looking forward to tomorrow.

Good to speak to you again! Hope all is well with you

I'm actually primarily based in Greenwich now - but hoping you guys get something nice and picturesque tomorrow. I'm not expecting all that much here sadly, I should have gone back and visited my folks this weekend!

[bluearmy]

4 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

You swine 

i still think the best of the models can be up to 50 miles off - nowcasting will be of help.

Really - the ecm has barely moved twenty miles south on its last three runs 

the other models have just played catch up

if anything I would expect a slight northward correction as much as I would further south 

[snowray]

6 minutes ago, essexweather said:

18Z UKMO actually shows snow falling into North Kent. While overall totals are less on this run, more in our region should see snow falling at some point

Luvly Jubly..... So why are the weather forecasts not reflecting this then? Still showing London at 7/8c!

[bluearmy]

Just now, snowray said:

Luvly Jubly..... So why are the weather forecasts not reflecting this then? Still showing London at 7/8c!

The tv forecasts take some time to catch up 

[North London Hotspur]

10 minutes ago, yamkin said:

A few years ago rain was forecast and snow started to fall and got heavier and caused chaos in the Croydon area

I remember that night, was that the Thames Snow Streamer where South London received a foot of snow in one night?

[Britneyfan]

My bbc weather app has updated for my location (Brentwood) now showing heavy snow from 9am right up until 8pm!!

[Sno' problem]

4 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Yup, which remember does run a long way out of London to the NW.

Very true... Still on a knife edge here. Thanks for the reply!