SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

[Daniel*]

We tend to see these southern adjustments makes it really interesting for us.

 

[shotski]

25 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Just imagine if this all goes t*** up and something totally different than predicted happens like South west end up with snow lol improbably I know 

Or no one gets any snow 

just saying........

[username home]

I have told my wife that she could be getting a couple of inches tomorrow morning. She is very excited!

[Daniel*]

4 minutes ago, username home said:

I have told my wife that she could be getting a couple of inches tomorrow morning. She is very excited!

She might not get as much as she thought was coming! 

[steveinsussex]

16 minutes ago, username home said:

I have told my wife that she could be getting a couple of inches tomorrow morning. She is very excited!

do people really think they are making a ground breaking original joke when they post this?

[PLANET THANET]

summer sun over on the mad thread has just quoted this...".Arpege looks the best call for Monday with the rain restricted to the south and SE on Monday", best call ! I dont know about that

[Daniel*]

18 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

summer sun over on the mad thread has just quoted this...".Arpege looks the best call for Monday with the rain restricted to the south and SE on Monday", best call ! I dont know about that

Heavy back edge snow is a distinct possibility as advertised by GFS 06z. What happens on Monday is a direct knock on effect from Sunday’s slider so until then who knows what’s coming.

[ReindeerMarmalade]

10 hours ago, ReindeerMarmalade said:

Sleet's back for Monday, and this time it's for a full 12 hours. And a bit early Sunday morning. It'll change again shortly ?

Downgrade again on MetO and NW now in line too - brief amount of sleet Monday. Interestingly, the forecast for my workplace in Wilts no longer has any sleet at all. I daren't check the models today.

[sunnijim]

1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

Heavy back edge snow is a distinct possibility as advertised by GFS 06z. What happens on Monday is a direct knock on effect from Sunday’s slider so until then who knows what’s coming.

The ECM  and GFS  both touting back edge blizzard conditions down on the SE coast Monday afternoon,might not stick,but going from expecting nothing to this is quite somehing!.

[Daniel*]

1 minute ago, sunnijim said:

The ECM  and GFS  both touting back edge blizzard conditions down on the SE coast Monday afternoon,might not stick,but going from expecting nothing to this is quite somehing!.

With heavy snowfall I’m rather certain it will stick readily once the transition occurs it may be the most memorable event of the winter here’s hoping!  

Edited December 9, 2017 by Daniel*

[snowblind]

Temp here still -1.6c up from a low of -2.0 despite the wall to wall sunshine.

if there is enough snow here tomorrow to build a modest snowman with my 5 year old daughter I will be happy and she will be ecstatic. A couple of cms should do it. The only snow she's experienced was the very thin icy covering we got last Jan from the brief back edge snow and she got really excited then. It's looking tantalisingly close and I think tomorrow is the best chance all the forecasts I've seen for Monday suggest rain. Things keep changing so who knows, going to be a now cast job.

[sunnijim]

10 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

With heavy snowfall I’m rather certain it will stick readily once the transition occurs it may be the most memorable event of the winter here’s hoping!  

Haha,well certainly better than anything last winter which was a borefest from start to finish if you like any sort of extreme weather!

I'm hoping it won't be the most memorable event of this Winter though, (I'm sure you meant winter so far....)

[PLANET THANET]

16 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

With heavy snowfall I’m rather certain it will stick readily once the transition occurs it may be the most memorable event of the winter here’s hoping!  

its lovely to be so optimistic, lets hope it happens

[Daniel*]

3 minutes ago, sunnijim said:

Haha,well certainly better than anything last winter which was a borefest from start to finish if you like any sort of extreme weather!

I'm hoping it won't be the most memorable event of this Winter though, (I'm sure you meant winter so far....)

Yep although last winter there were plenty of frosts, bit strange to say considering winter up to now is in the newborn stage. Coldest night of the winter this is good for the day(s) ahead. 

[Daniel*]

8 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

its lovely to be so optimistic, lets hope it happens

‘Tis hard to be optimistic when you’ve pulled a muscle in your back. Agony. Glass half full sort of person I am. 

[Spikey M]

1 hour ago, Daniel* said:

We tend to see these southern adjustments makes it really interesting for us.

 

Gales and Ice cold rain. Who’s laughing now, Midlanders?

[Daniel*]

A right mess comes to mind NetWx-MR looking rather good for northern Home Counties. 

[Daniel*]

The higher resolution NetWx-SR similarly a mess looking interesting however! Leading edge sleet and snow which turns to rain and then back to snow for some..

Edited December 9, 2017 by Daniel*

[snow freak]

Northampton missed out completely on the midlands snowfest yesterday so i am hoping we will get something out of sundays snowfall.....please.  i dont think i could take another disappointment.  at least we've got an upgrade from yesterdays forecast which was heavy sleet and now its heavy snow.  Please come to fruition and dont downgrade now.

[snowbob]

Hoping elevation in biggin Hill may keep it as sleet instead of rain

but I fear it will be too warm sadly

[Britneyfan]

Going to be watching the radar closely tonight, I think everyone will see a spell of snow before it turns sleety and wet

[alexisj9]

9 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

The higher resolution NetWx-SR similarly a mess looking interesting however! Leading edge sleet and snow which turns to rain and then back to snow for some..

I'm liking the fact the bottom model gives us snow and then sleet, Don't mind that as ong as it' the type of sleet where you get snowflakes mixed with rain as opposed to wet ice plopping down. Bet it will be the latter though, if this is what happens.

[huntso]

Met Office graphics give us snow of varying degrees from 06.00 to 22.00

Believe that when I see it or not!!

<5% 20% 10% 10% 10% 70% 90% 90% 90% 90% ≥95% ≥95% 90% 80% 60% 60% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 20% Temperature (°C) -2 ° -2 ° -2 ° -2 ° -1 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 1 ° 0
	%			10%	70%	90%	90%	90%	90%	≥95%	≥95%	90%	80%	60%	60%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	20%
	-	-2 °	-2 °	-1 °	0 °	0 °	0 °	0 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	1 °	0 °

 

Edited December 9, 2017 by huntso

[Daniel*]

15 minutes ago, snow freak said:

Northampton missed out completely on the midlands snowfest yesterday so i am hoping we will get something out of sundays snowfall.....please.  i dont think i could take another disappointment.  at least we've got an upgrade from yesterdays forecast which was heavy sleet and now its heavy snow.  Please come to fruition and dont downgrade now.

Yesterday was pretty localised just persistent showers, It’s looking great all models bring significant snowfall to your area, are you not in the Amber? Looking good for you too @huntso believe! 

[Long haul to mild]

HIRLAM 06Z still keen on a period of heavy sleet or snow for East Anglia during Sunday morning. The further inland you are the more likely it is to be snow. Still likely to be that dreaded "wintry mix" for locations like mine which are quite close to the coast.