SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

[JennyJane1]

3 minutes ago, Danny* said:

Drew this quickly, parts of East Anglia look like getting a good covering!

Thank you, nice map.

[Southender]

3 minutes ago, snow freak said:

the only time we are more or less guaranteed any worthwhile snow event in our region is when we get a north easterly or easterly.....and they are both a rarity, so basically we end up with crap.  for such a small island its ridiculous how the weather is each region is totally different.  An island this small should have the same weather across the board.

There is our problem. We are a little bit of rock surrounded by water at the wrong end of the jet stream. Shut the jet stream off and we are in business ?

[Met4Cast]

18z has Mondays low further South.. this keeps the PPN mostly away BUT! Less warm sector, possible snow showers coming in from the NE

A touch further South to get that -6c isotherm over us and we could be in light streamer territory..

[Delka]

11 minutes ago, Danny* said:

Drew this quickly, parts of East Anglia look like getting a good covering!

loving this visual for my area! Look's like you extended it to cover my neck of the woods just for me though 

[Mark wheeler]

Deleted 

 

 

Edited December 8, 2017 by Mark wheeler

[Mark wheeler]

Still in the game Monday . 

Uppers at the same time frames.

Edited December 8, 2017 by Mark wheeler
Correction

[WeatherMoose]

1 hour ago, EJA said:

Come on Brighton ?

I have a feeling we're going to be waiting a while. snow seems to fall everywhere but this little bay between Selsey and Eastbourne! 

Maybe I should visit my family in Norway again... the only way i'll be seeing snow this winter!

[Gretal]

1 hour ago, Danny* said:

So those of us South of London are again hoping for a Southerly correction for Monday..

Always hoping.  Tomorrow never comes. ?

[Delka]

2 minutes ago, WeatherMoose said:

I have a feeling we're going to be waiting a while. snow seems to fall everywhere but this little bay between Selsey and Eastbourne! 

Maybe I should visit my family in Norway again... the only way i'll be seeing snow this winter!

You never know, it is only December and if i remember correctly most snow events we've had the past few decades in the south-east have occurred rather late in the winter, plus snow is always more magical when it's at home!

[Met4Cast]

1 hour ago, Danny* said:

So those of us South of London are again hoping for a Southerly correction for Monday..

No! Too far South, come back

 

[Long haul to mild]

Not sure I like the idea of a huge area of Yellow Snow.....I'd prefer the white stuff. 

[snow freak]

25 minutes ago, WeatherMoose said:

I have a feeling we're going to be waiting a while. snow seems to fall everywhere but this little bay between Selsey and Eastbourne! 

Maybe I should visit my family in Norway again... the only way i'll be seeing snow this winter!

at least you have that luxury of having family in a snowy clime so can just nip off there for free board and lodging. i wish i was as lucky.

[WeatherMoose]

20 minutes ago, Danny* said:

No! Too far South, come back

 

 

 

[WeatherMoose]

5 minutes ago, snow freak said:

at least you have that luxury of having family in a snowy clime so can just nip off there for free board and lodging. i wish i was as lucky.

that is true, however its harder to nip off than you'd think. I fly from stansted and with ryanair, so the 9AM flights are hard to get to via public transport from worthing. Also fitting it into college timetables are tricky too, so I usually tag along with my dad who has a car and lives much closer to stansted so i can pop up the night before

Edited December 8, 2017 by WeatherMoose

[ReindeerMarmalade]

2 hours ago, ReindeerMarmalade said:

MetO has now removed even the traces of sleet for me for Monday, whereas NW has me with 57% of snow for most of the day ?

Sleet's back for Monday, and this time it's for a full 12 hours. And a bit early Sunday morning. It'll change again shortly ?

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

10 minutes ago, Long haul to mild said:

Not sure I like the idea of a huge area of Yellow Snow.....I'd prefer the white stuff. 

I'm a few miles inside the area shown!

[Long haul to mild]

20 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

I'm a few miles inside the area shown!

It's going to be knife edge stuff! I'm about 10 miles outside it  

[Donna3397]

Just seen the forecast  for Monday and she said there is a lot of uncertainty about the snowfall 

[Southender]

Well the ITV weather was awful. Wet, windy and chilly Sun & Mon sums it up.

[Britneyfan]

I hate these marginal events, never good for this region, we really need north east winds and a themes streamer! Then we’re in business 

[Met4Cast]

Latest NMM brings it further South, as does the APERGE

If the shift South continues on the 00z, 06z and tomorrows 12z, it could put the South-East into an all snow event.. It's not over yet

Edited December 8, 2017 by Danny*

[Kent Blizzard]

Still keeping a slimmer of hope here for Monday morning here, the wind switches for a time to a NE'ly.

[Frostbite1980]

7 minutes ago, Danny* said:

Latest NMM brings it further South, as does the APERGE

If the shift South continues on the 00z, 06z and tomorrows 12z, it could put the South-East into an all snow event.. It's not over yet

Although a couple of models bring it south i would say Sunday is a dud for most in this area and think Monday has more chance of delivering but the problem i see is if the low moves too far north most will get rain and south....most will see snow but with limited precipitation. If i am totally honest i think this possible snow event for us is going to be meh but really do believe we will drag in those easterlies around new year and then we can stick our fingers up to those up north

[Met4Cast]

Just now, Frostbite1980 said:

Although a couple of models bring it south i would say Sunday is a dud for most in this area and think Monday has more chance of delivering but the problem i see is if the low moves too far north most will get rain and south....most will see snow but with limited precipitation. If i am totally honest i think this possible snow event for us is going to be meh but really do believe we will drag in those easterlies around new year and then we can stick our fingers up to those up north

I think Monday probably wont be an event to be honest, most of the high res models already shifting it into France and barely have it scraping the South coast - If anything it's likely to correct further South too. I'd put the high res models ahead of the GFS/ECM/UKMO in these situations.

However. The North-Easterlies *could* drive some shower activity if we can get the -6 isotherm over us, uppers look just a little too warm for any significant shower activity.

[Frostbite1980]

1 minute ago, Danny* said:

I think Monday probably wont be an event to be honest, most of the high res models already shifting it into France and barely have it scraping the South coast - If anything it's likely to correct further South too. I'd put the high res models ahead of the GFS/ECM/UKMO in these situations.

However. The North-Easterlies *could* drive some shower activity if we can get the -6 isotherm over us, uppers look just a little too warm for any significant shower activity.

Totally agree with you, nothing significant in our neck of the woods....just yet but this winter is far from over! Who wants wet slushy snow any way..... lets get the roaring E/NE winds, streamers and troughs coming in where there is no marginality and for the first time in 4 years i believe we will get that at some point