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SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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lawrenk Veteran

lawrenk

Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and ice days
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
Posted
8 minutes ago, Rob Deacon said:

us_model-en-087-0_modez_2017120712_99_4855_215.png.d01fe4b9903151d47902400ba8af5a5a.png

 

just saw this posted in the MOD thread, not a bad snow accumulation chart for Monday from the ECM :) Getting on for 12 inches in the south lol, or am i reading that wrong?

 

That would suggest some of us might do as well or even better than some in the north west.

I’m not laughing, really I’m not.

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
Just now, Kent Blizzard said:

I'd say slightly further South? Agree?

fax72s.gif

More than slightly. But still needs a bit more. Mind you then Monday's low will be in France. Not sure what I want now.

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Rob Deacon Enthusiast

Rob Deacon

Posted
  • Location: Home = Haywards Heath. Work = Burgess Hill
  • Weather Preferences: snow, storms or both at same time..
  • Location: Home = Haywards Heath. Work = Burgess Hill
Posted
3 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

That would suggest some of us might do as well or even better than some in the north west.

I’m not laughing, really I’m not.

LOL i know, i couldn't believe my eyes when i first saw the chart.

Just goes to show what still could happen... I know it's unlikely but you never know

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JennyJane1 Experienced

JennyJane1

Posted
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
Posted
5 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

That would suggest some of us might do as well or even better than some in the north west.

I’m not laughing, really I’m not.

I'm laughing. Map shows snow everywhere in East Anglia. Then look more closely oh look how much snow there is for The Triangle, that's right, its the only place on the map which is completely clear.

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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted

Is it just me or is there more PPN than forecast towards the North-West?

5a2991eac9bc3_ScreenShot2017-12-07at19_08_54.thumb.png.7a66b989f1f79725be4976606d9fe5be.png

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Rob Deacon Enthusiast

Rob Deacon

Posted
  • Location: Home = Haywards Heath. Work = Burgess Hill
  • Weather Preferences: snow, storms or both at same time..
  • Location: Home = Haywards Heath. Work = Burgess Hill
Posted
5 minutes ago, Danny* said:

Is it just me or is there more PPN than forecast towards the North-West?

5a2991eac9bc3_ScreenShot2017-12-07at19_08_54.thumb.png.7a66b989f1f79725be4976606d9fe5be.png

that does look quite a lot, lets hope some finds its way down here

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, Danny* said:

Is it just me or is there more PPN than forecast towards the North-West?

5a2991eac9bc3_ScreenShot2017-12-07at19_08_54.thumb.png.7a66b989f1f79725be4976606d9fe5be.png

I Don't mind as long as it doesn't die before reaching here. Even Cornwall has some ppm, it' probably not snow just yet though at 6c here.

Edit could it be that trough for tomorrow a bit early, or another developed in short notice this evening as they can do sometimes.

Edited by alexisj9
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Number 23 Aficionado

Number 23

Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything interesting!
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Posted

I'd be surprised/amazed if those accumulation charts verify!

If I had to bet I'd say we'll see something wintry but nothing settling. 

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
1 minute ago, Number 23 said:

I'd be surprised/amazed if those accumulation charts verify!

If I had to bet I'd say we'll see something wintry but nothing settling. 

Just about where I stand.

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lottiekent Experienced

lottiekent

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
Posted (edited)

http://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/point-de-rosee.php?region=uk

Current dew points. Same as those showing on local weather stations on Wunderground

Edited by lottiekent
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shotski Seasoned

shotski

Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Just about where I stand.

Personally I think some of us may do better from a Cheshire gap streamer in the next 48 hours. 

Edit; north Home Counties. 

Edited by shotski
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Sparky68 Community Regular

Sparky68

Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Frosty Mornings
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
Posted

It's not often we get this sort of prospect, even if it fails to materialise I am happy with the build up events. 

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted
34 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

I'd say slightly further South? Agree?

fax72s.gif

That’s considerably further south than the last set of fax charts. Interesting..

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Whether Idle Contributor

Whether Idle

Posted
  • Location: Dover. Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, sun, thunder, storms, frosts, summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Dover. Kent
Posted
3 minutes ago, Sparky68 said:

It's not often we get this sort of prospect, even if it fails to materialise I am happy with the build up events. 

Hi.  The key thing in these scenarios is to expect nothing.  That's usually what transpires.  My rule of thumb for the veracity of snow-casts over the years has been 4 days out - no clue, misleading. Ignore.  3 days - ditto.  2 days dangerous but tempting to believe.  1 day - 50/50 correct. 12 hours - better. 3 hours - worth taking serious notice of, and in combination with radar and satellite, can be very exciting if things have a chance of going your way. 0 hours - reliable, look out the window.

In other words, only take seriously within 24 hours, up to that point best to take with a giant pinch of salt, and disregard any expectations.  

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted

Just had a heavy shower here, still of rain at the moment.

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Rob Deacon Enthusiast

Rob Deacon

Posted
  • Location: Home = Haywards Heath. Work = Burgess Hill
  • Weather Preferences: snow, storms or both at same time..
  • Location: Home = Haywards Heath. Work = Burgess Hill
Posted

I get the sneaky feeling this time we going to get snow, maybe even tonight or tomorrow, but Sunday and Monday could still upgrade yet for us, and i think it might lol :)

and to think it's only 7th december, we could have 3 plus months of these fun and games yet...

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Guess which idiot left their keyfob on her desk when she popped to the ca and had to stand in torrential rain for 5 minutes to be let back in?:oops:

 

As always, as I learnt so painfully, fun as ramping is, I shall stick to nowcasting and lamposts as my snow forecasters rather than going by charts and hope.

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Sparky68 Community Regular

Sparky68

Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Frosty Mornings
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Just had a heavy shower here, still of rain at the moment.

That has just come through here, must be windy higher up still

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Just had a heavy shower here, still of rain at the moment.

Off the north sea or from the west?

 

Edited by alexisj9
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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted
3 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Off the north sea or from the west?

 

From the west I believe given the winds are from that direction.

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Sparky68 Community Regular

Sparky68

Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Frosty Mornings
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
Posted

Wind has really got up here in the last 10 minutes 

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