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Roger J Smith

November 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

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November CET means and extremes (table now includes all years 1981 to 2016) 

15.4 ... warmest day (5th, 1938)
14.4 ... warmest day in second half (22nd, 1947)

10.1 ... warmest Nov 1994

 9.6 ... second warmest Nov 2011
 9.5 ... tied third warmest Nov 1818 and 2015
 9.4 ... fifth warmest Nov 1938
 9.3 ... sixth warmest Nov 1743

 9.2 ... seventh warmest Nov 1730

 9.1 ... eighth warmest Nov 1817

 8.9 ... ninth warmest Nov 1881 

 8.7 ... tied tenth warmest Nov 1939 and 2009

 8.6 ... tied 12th warmest Nov 2014 (with 1821)

 8.5 ... ... ... ... 2002
 8.4 ... ... ... ... 1997

 8.1 ... ... ... ... 2003, 2006

 8.0 ... ... ... ... 1982, 1984

 7.9 ... ... ... ... 1999

 7.8 ... ... ... ... 1981, 1986

 7.7 ... ... ... ... 1995, 2004

 7.6 ... ... ... ...

 7.5 ... ... ... ... 1983, 2001  ,.. ... ... ---- mean of 2001-2016 ----

 7.4 ... ... ... ... 1992 ... ... ... ... ...... ---- mean of 1991-2016 ----

 7.3 ... ... ... ... 2007 ... ... ... ... ...... ---- mean of 1986-2015 ----

 7.2 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..  ---- mean of 1987-2016 ----

 7.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. ---- mean of 1981-2010 ----

 7.0 ... ... ... ... 2000, 2008
 

 6.9 ... ... ... ... 1990 ... ... ... ... ...... ---- mean of 1971-2000 ----

 6.8 ... ... ... ... 1991, 2012
 6.7 ... ... ... ...

 6.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ......  ---- mean of 1961-1990 ----
 6.5 ... ... ... ... 1987 ... ... ... ... ...... ---- mean of 1901-2000 ----

 6.4 ... ... ... ...

 6.3 ... ... ... ...

 6.2 ... ... ... ... 1989, 1998, 2005, 2013
 6.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean of all years 1659-2016 ----

 6.0 ... ... ... ...

 5.9 ... ... ... ... 1996 ... ... ... ......  ---- mean of 1801-1900 ----
 5.8 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ......   ---- mean of 1701-1800 ----
 5.6 ... ... ... ... 2016 ... ... ...... ..  ---- mean of 1659-1700 ----

 5,2 .... coldest since 1993 were  1988, 2010 (tied 90th coldest)

 4.6 .... coldest since 1985 was 1993 (tied 52nd coldest)
 4.1 .... coldest in recent years (tied 28th overall) 1985

 3.3 .... tied eighth coldest 1740, 1746, 1786, 1919, 1923

 3.2 .... tied sixth coldest 1862 with 1910

 3.1 .... fifth coldest Nov 1851

 3.0 .... fourth coldest Nov 1684
 2.9 .... third coldest Nov 1807
 2.8 .... second coldest Nov 1915
 2.3 .... coldest Nov 1782

--0.6 ... earliest sub-zero mean (7th, 1791)

--2.1 ... coldest in first half (15th, 1965)
--4.6 ... coldest day (24th, 1904)
__________________________________________________

daily records are for the period 1772 to 2016
monthly extreme values are for the period 1659 to 2016

 

Enter your forecast in the thread by end of Tuesday, 31st October or take the increasing late penalties from 1st to the

end of 3rd Nov, This month will end the 2016-17 competition year.  Good luck !! :)

 

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I do not have a scooby doo at present on both sides of the spectrum colder the braver call. :angel:

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6.8c please.

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6.6, the cold has got to start sometime lol. Was thinking of going higher, but something just stopped me.

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6.9.

my b'day month always mild and wet on the day.

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6c please..... It's definetely gonna be colder than average... Brrr

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I think I'll plump for a slightly below the mean, 7C, please.

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6.8 please 

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