Hurricane Ophelia

[niconpat]

1 minute ago, The Eagle said:

The timing of her reaction is perfect

[crimsone]

Well, there you go...
 

 

... in case anybody wondered.

[Daniel*]

She definitely looks like she has a stinger reports of the wind picking up in Cork after an eerie calm..

Edited October 16, 2017 by Daniel*

[January Snowstorm]

No wind in Cork right now.

Re protocols and constant warnings on TV. ....A step too far I think by whoever called for that 

[crimsone]

I don't see it on their website, so this may just be breaking news? Or not!
 

 

 

[Daniel*]

Just now, January Snowstorm said:

No wind in Cork right now.

Re protocols and constant warnings on TV. ....A step too far I think by whoever called for that 

Well I stand corrected hard to authenticate tweets. I agree but does more good than harm to folks safety.

[niconpat]

For the record, Met Éireann warnings are both threshold and impact based. 

"Given that the thrust of the Weather Warnings service is on potential “Impacts” of weather rather than on the numerical values attained by the weather elements themselves, it may on occasion be appropriate to issue warnings at a level higher than that strictly justified by the anticipated weather elements."

https://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/warnings-explained.asp

 

 

Edited October 16, 2017 by niconpat

[The Eagle]

[Daniel*]

5 minutes ago, crimsone said:

I don't see it on their website, so this may just be breaking news? Or not!
 

 

 

Well there is nothing to read concerning Wales! Meaningless now too late. 

[crimsone]

2 minutes ago, niconpat said:

For the record, Met Éireann warnings are both threshold and impact based. 

"Given that the thrust of the Weather Warnings service is on potential “Impacts” of weather rather than on the numerical values attained by the weather elements themselves, it may on occasion be appropriate to issue warnings at a level higher than that strictly justified by the anticipated weather elements."

https://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/warnings-explained.asp

 

 

I'd argue that point with them, but as they've been good enough to talk to me, I'd like not to annoy them ~too~ much. 

I've just informed them that I can't see their amber alert on their website, and we'll see what happens.

Either they've mis-stated their Amber alert for Wales to me, or their website hasn't updated for some reason.

[crimsone]

1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

Well there is nothing to read concerning Wales! Meaningless now too late. 

Still early enough to get the local authorities on the task, so at least something could come from it... if such a warning gets out.

[Hirudine]

2 minutes ago, The Eagle said:

One of the joys of being self employed- I took the decision last Thursday to take Monday off. Too many roadworks/ building works/ scaffolding along my walk in to risk.

[Met4Cast]

I’m about 100 miles away from Prembrockshire/Monorbier Beach, should be there for around 4am or so. Probably get a few hours sleep in the car then get out & watch it all roll in.  

[The Eagle]

Met Eireann, Met Office and NOAA worked together on this. So how is we have a red warning in the Republic and Amber in the north? Email, pick up the phone? Co-ordinate?

Edited October 16, 2017 by The Eagle

[crimsone]

Just now, The Eagle said:

Met Eireann, Met Office and NOAA worked together on this. So how is we have a red warning in the Republic and Amber in the north? Email, pick up the phone?

I could concede that am Amber warning from the Met could be equivalent to the red warning from Eireann... different assessment thresholds for both likelihood and impact in the different warning systems could be a thing...

... but that tweet about issuing the Amber warning for Wales leaves me wondering whether such a warning exists but is somehow not showing, or doesn't exist and has been mis-reported. It's gone from a Yellow warning to Schrodingers Amber.

 

[crimsone]

... and there you go...
 

 

So... it's clear that the Met Office, at this stage, doesn't think a significant impact anywhere in Wales is likely enough to warrant an Amber warning.

[The Eagle]

 

[Daniel*]

A more defined hook signature, trouble incoming I think she looks more west of her projected track?

 

[crimsone]

1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

A more defined hook signature, trouble incoming I think she looks more west of her projected track?

 

When in doubt, go to the storm floater and check the forecast point box.

She looks on-course to me.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/17L/html5-vis-short.html

[Roger J Smith]

Not significantly west, reorganization due to rapidly developing upper low has caused a brief jog to NNW but NNE track will resume now to landfall in western Ireland. K1 buoy dropped almost 16 mbs from 21z to 00z as centre very close to there now (around 49N 12W). 

[crimsone]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/17L/flash-rbtop-short.html

... and a small movie showing a couple of loops for future reference...

(please excuse the naming. It is actually the RBTOP loop, not the Rainbow.)

Ophelia ExTrop Rainbow.mov

Edited October 16, 2017 by crimsone

[thetipster]

Latest image

[Summer of 95]

What a surprise. Our good old Met Office, what do they do with a hurricane heading for Ireland, potential for F12 winds in Wales and western England, even gales possible in the Midlands and Scotland?

They tweet a map with Southeast England highlighted and say "Take a look at this. Bye"......

[The Eagle]

Are we going to have a live update thread for this?

[SeaBreezes]

Rain and gentle wind rising in Kinsale. Here we go.