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Posted
  • Location: New Zealand
  • Location: New Zealand
4 minutes ago, coldfingers1 said:

Haha! So says someone who lives in the Midlands and didn't experience the event!

"normal british weather" I don't think so!!! I am undoubtedly far, far older than you and NEVER before was what I experienced that night in any way, shape or form, "normal british weather!" My mother was 60 years old at the time and she would also agree! Never before in LIVING MEMORY had ANYONE in Southern England  experienced winds like that! Maybe in the Highlands of Scotland but NEVER in Southern Britain!

115 mph is NOT normal Southern weather for sure!

No... I say it as someone who knows the mean wind speeds for each storm, and who'd looked at the FAX charts for them.

As it goes, I haven't always lived in the Midlands, but that's by the by.

Yes.. Burns Day Storm... St. Jude Storm... Great Storm of 87 - they are all European Wind Storms, and they all had similarly high winds. They are at the upper end of normal British weather...

... though as you seem to have ignored in my comment, the special features of the Storm of 87 were how quickly it developed and where, I agree. That doesn't make such a strong storm in the UK a freak event... or make it a hurricane.

Next to be added to that list of European windstorms is Ex-Ophelia.

Edited by crimsone
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Posted
  • Location: cambridge - cambridgeshire
  • Location: cambridge - cambridgeshire
1 minute ago, Andy Pepler said:

im in westbury 1 mile below the westbury white horse ...and yes could be fun parakite weather :)

Have family in Westbury and Trowbridge i arrive next friday for 10 days visiting

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Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
4 minutes ago, coldfingers1 said:

Haha! So says someone who lives in the Midlands and didn't experience the event!

"normal british weather" I don't think so!!! I am undoubtedly far, far older than you and NEVER before was what I experienced that night in any way, shape or form, "normal british weather!" My mother was 60 years old at the time and she would also agree! Never before in LIVING MEMORY had ANYONE in Southern England  experienced winds like that! Maybe in the Highlands of Scotland but NEVER in Southern Britain!

115 mph is NOT normal Southern weather for sure!

Have to agree, it was mental, just incredible that night......

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

I am not all that chavved up when it comes to Hurricane's but does that look like a dry slot west of the the center now and is this where a sting jet may occur?

https://en.sat24.com/en/fr/infraPolair

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Posted
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
  • Weather Preferences: Spicy weather
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
Just now, Allseasons-si said:

I am not all that chavved up when it comes to Hurricane's but does that look like a dry slot west of the the center now and is this where a sting jet may occur?

https://en.sat24.com/en/fr/infraPolair

What is a sting jet? 

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Posted
  • Location: Dwyrain Sir Gâr / Eastern Carmarthenshire 178m abs
  • Location: Dwyrain Sir Gâr / Eastern Carmarthenshire 178m abs

And Derek the Welsh weatherman seems more concerned about tomorrow's surfing....you couldn't make it up! 

IMG_0023.PNG

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
5 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Off to Carlisle in the  morning in my scania with a cat D 6 not expecting any problem  :rofl:

You been in an accident;)

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Posted
  • Location: Bethesda NW Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Tropical and Convective Weather
  • Location: Bethesda NW Wales
Just now, Man With Beard said:

Good luck. I have a feeling you're going to need it.

yeah cheers mate. i have never seen wording so strong by NHC shows you how serious it's gone down to 85mph as per 500pm AST Ophelia advisory 27 which is still dangerous with people in its path. One question are we going to see any baroclinic strengthening it seems possible.

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Posted
  • Location: Newbury
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and snow but not together
  • Location: Newbury

Re the lack of BBC coverage... go one someone .. call them now and tell them you’ve heard there’s a hurricane on the way... 

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Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
7 minutes ago, audiotech said:

Is it officially post tropical yet? it still looks like it has a distinct core of high cloud tops and convection.

 

 

ophelia.png

Already almost level with Cornwall too

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
7 minutes ago, audiotech said:

Is it officially post tropical yet? it still looks like it has a distinct core of high cloud tops and convection.

 

 

ophelia.png

The center is actually that dry bit just west. It looks like it's still a hurricane but no longer has a eyewall. As soon as that burst east of the center detaches, it will be declared post-tropical. We are probably 6-12 hours away at most. 

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

Ophelia looks to be tracking straight north now and could miss Ireland all togeather,but it is the sat i am looking at and not winds of which could be a diff story.

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Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

Definitely still a hurricane in my opinion,, still a closed centre. Anyone else have thoughts on this? 

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Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
10 minutes ago, audiotech said:

Is it officially post tropical yet? it still looks like it has a distinct core of high cloud tops and convection.

 

 

ophelia.png

No it remains a hurricane for now.

Edited by The Eagle
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Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

Just a thought - IF it is still a hurricane at next advisory it will officially make landfall as a hurricane.

 

Unlikely but you never know!

Edited by The Eagle
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Posted
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
  • Weather Preferences: Spicy weather
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway

Is it the winds that will push it in an easterly direction?

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4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Ophelia looks to be tracking straight north now and could miss Ireland all togeather,but it is the sat i am looking at and not winds of which could be a diff story.

It does look like there would now have to be quite a sharp eastern diversion in its track for its centre to make a direct hit on the Irish southern coast.  

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Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

Sting jet? 

sketch-1508108114486.thumb.png.caf06b954257e838bd8b26c6846b6810.png

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