Hurricane Ophelia

[Matthew.]

2 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Could result in freak gusts which is worrying.

Yes these areas could get a real surprise thinking they're safe

Edited October 15, 2017 by Matthew.

[Polar Maritime]

Net-Wx hi rez 

[The PIT]

2 minutes ago, Matthew. said:

Yes these areas could get a real surprise thinking they're safe

The Sheffield gale was made worse by there being a layer of cold air which bounced the strong winds back down to the ground. Not sure we have an area of cold air above us this time.

[Man With Beard]

So we've now got this down to T24 on ECM, and it looks worse than ever. Hard to believe it got to this.

  

[Mokidugway]

1 minute ago, Man With Beard said:

So we've now got this down to T24 on ECM, and it looks worse than ever. Hard to believe it got to this.

  

Sadly this system will likley leave our islands  as a killer 

[crimsone]

48 minutes ago, Squall said:

Wish I knew what these charts meant 

They mean there's lots of dry air around (the chart with the brown), it's a very deep depression (the chart with the lines), It's going to be really quite windy (the chart with the read streak), but it's not going to be especially wet considering it was a Cat 3 hurricane not long ago (the charts with the green and yellow)

I sometimes take a very simplistic view

No... seriously. @knocker usefully told you what they meant - I figured I'd offer a brief, if simplistic, description of what they are.

Edited October 15, 2017 by crimsone

[January Snowstorm]

Red alert now gone nationwide in Ireland 

[weirpig]

6 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

Net-Wx hi rez 

Mmm 60mph over large areas of England at some point   Just shows the strength of this storm  could be carnage in many areas 

[J-Man]

2 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Sadly this system will likley leave our islands  as a killer 

It will because some people will take risks. Stay in doors is best option to limit risk but people are people and will go out unnecessarily.

[The Eagle]

 

[pip22]

 

[Jo Farrow]

2 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Red alert now gone nationwide in Ireland 

my goodness

[Man With Beard]

4 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Red alert now gone nationwide in Ireland 

Thought this would happen. Stay safe and get those batteries ready!

In addition, I would be advising anyone on the W Wales coast not travel tomorrow morning until they've checked the forecast as it's still too close. But our Met Office always seem to be very late with things like this.

Edited October 15, 2017 by Man With Beard

[draztik]

3 minutes ago, The Eagle said:

 

Expecting the MetOffice to redesignate NI the same way, soon.

[crimsone]

5 minutes ago, The Eagle said:

 

Damn!

I don't expect to see that again any time soon! Just goes to show how serious it is, and how seriously it should be taken. Literally - that's what it's for... but DAMN!

[Mokidugway]

Crewecolds in Belfast,I bet he wasn't expecting this 

[pip22]

I bet by this time tommorow it be in the main headlines for sure.

 

[The Eagle]

STATUS RED

Wind Warning for Ireland

Ex-Hurricane Ophelia is forecast to track directly over Ireland during daytime Monday. Violent and destructive gusts are forecast with all areas at risk and in particular the southwest and south in the morning, and eastern counties in the afternoon. Also heavy rain and storm surges along some coasts will result in flooding. 
There is potential risk to lives.

Issued:

Sunday 15 October 2017 20:00

Valid:

Monday 16 October 2017 06:00 to Monday 16 October 2017 23:59

[Paul T]

Question: Where will the centre of the depression (or "eye") be when it makes landfall on Ireland?

Well, comparing latest radar tracking with the high res models (12z) it suggests it could be between Bantry (SW tip of Ireland) and Cork. This would be an Easterly shift of around 50 miles as most models suggest the very tip of SW Ireland being where the "eye" will be positoned. It will be a proper nowcast event tonight!!

[January Snowstorm]

Hi Jo 

 

You wrote extensively about why hurricanes can't make landfall here. As you look at tonight sat are you having second thoughts?

[booferking]

Somebody in here early said this is just your normal Autumn stormit's far from it very serious this is going to be we might be comparing this to the great 1987 storm.

[Daniel*]

20 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

So we've now got this down to T24 on ECM, and it looks worse than ever. Hard to believe it got to this.

  

I've never seen isobars so tightly packed so near to fruition this is going to down millions of trees methinks rather alike to thirty years ago on the day.  

[Met4Cast]

1 minute ago, January Snowstorm said:

Hi Jo 

 

You wrote extensively about why hurricanes can't make landfall here. As you look at tonight sat are you having second thoughts?

Probably not. It's not a hurricane. You can have hurricane force winds without the storm being an actual hurricane/

[The Eagle]

9 minutes ago, draztik said:

Expecting the MetOffice to redesignate NI the same way, soon.

I suspect so.

[Mokidugway]

Just now, booferking said:

Somebody in here early said this is just your normal Autumn stormit's far from it very serious this is going to be we might be comparing this to the great 1987 storm.

For Ireland the worst storm since the night of the big wind