Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
    4 minutes ago, OPHELIA said:

    I didn't say it would be a hurricane, but in nature it will stay out at seas to live(no I'm not saying this is a living organism), I already know weather systems can change it, but you seem to be treating it as a tropical storm in your comment, I don't believe it has to be over 26c water, it just needs to be over water no matter the temperature because that is how most storms like this form and live may it be hot or cold, and let me warp your mind even more...please do remember we are in a severe climate change so you and I both don't know what the hell we are talking about....the fact is...can you accept this ;).

    What a load of tosh.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 2.5k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    their armoured vehicles are being made ready-

    I'm pretty sure the sky turning yellow is the met office trying out a new warning system after some backlash. 

    Looking forward to my trip to #Ireland

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
    1 minute ago, OPHELIA said:

    Ok please do stop, you guys keep forgetting the climate is changing, you have to accept this.....wow.

    Haha I do kinda agree with that, everyone saying it's "impossible" etc.. 

    Whilst Ophelia probably wont be a hurricane when it hits Ireland, it's got damn closer than any other storm has. I wouldn't be surprised if the UK does get hit by a true hurricane at some point in the future.

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
    1 minute ago, Nick F said:

    I think we have to accept you are trolling the thread with incorrect statements about how meteorology works.

    It's a pity Nick, this thread is a wonderful opportunity for a good discussion to bring understanding to folks in the UK on the way these storms transition from hurricane to extra tropical, why we can never get a true hurricane ( well, not until our sea temps rise quite a bit!) and the fact we can, and often do get the remnants of hurricanes and every so often one of quite severe intensity if we get an Atlantic wanderer such as Ophelia.

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wellington, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/Snow/Hail & Strong Winds
  • Location: Wellington, Somerset
    1 minute ago, OPHELIA said:

    Really? Is this how you treat people with open minds who have studied the weather since child birth :(, I am not a troll I promise you this....Go ahead do your research, come on prove me wrong...what happens when water becomes warmer. I'm not a conspiracy theorist, the only thing that is stopping these storms from becoming more powerful is in fact....salt and maybe just maybe the tilt of the earth during autumn.   

     

    I've had enough already. I thought this generation would be more open minded.

     

    Depressions will increase, ex tropical storms can or could increase again it depends on the salt deposits in the atlantic and currents.

    Please stop. This forum is predominantly good with discussion, there will always disagreement but your taking it to a new level. Your essentially saying those whom do research in these fields (Likely have PhD's) are completely wrong and in denial? 

    • Like 7
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle
  • Location: Carlisle
    9 minutes ago, Nick F said:

    Any more spamming or trolling of this thread will be removed ... so be warned. Let's keep discussion civil and sensibly reasoned  plz, this is not the place for trashing well known science with climate change as an excuse.

    Oh at last Nick :), current posting by an individual has stopped me visiting this topic :)

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
    5 minutes ago, MattTarrant said:

    Please stop. This forum is predominantly good with discussion, there will always disagreement but your taking it to a new level. Your essentially saying those whom do research in these fields (Likely have PhD's) are completely wrong and in denial? 

    I'm asking all to do research.....with a please. no matter of education.

    Edited by OPHELIA
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean

    2017-10-15 22:00 Local ⇄ UTC   I am reading 139 kph in the atlantic.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    14 minutes ago, OPHELIA said:

    Really? Is this how you treat people with open minds who have studied the weather since child birth :(, I am not a troll I promise you this....Go ahead do your research, come on prove me wrong...what happens when water becomes warmer. I'm not a conspiracy theorist, the only thing that is stopping these storms from becoming more powerful is in fact....salt and maybe just maybe the tilt of the earth during autumn.   

     

    I've had enough already. I thought this generation would be more open minded.

     

    Depressions will increase, ex tropical storms can or could increase again it depends on the salt deposits in the atlantic and currents.

    You’re being childish you’re doing the right thing if you want your account to cease to exist. Get a grip the UK will never be able to get a hurricane which makes landfall yes never, we can certainly have hurricane force winds, but not a hurricane with an eyewall and tropical convection bands - our northerly latitude simply does not allow it. 

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

    A Category 1 strength post tropical storm making landfall in Ireland is good enough for me.

     

    ICOOPEU18_72_1.png

    Edited by The Eagle
    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
    10 minutes ago, The Eagle said:

    A Category 1 strength post tropical storm making landfall in Ireland is good enough for me.

    Humm  2017-10-16 01:00 Local ⇄ UTC

    Seems interesting 

     

    Notice how it is absorbing the warm air from land.

    Edited by OPHELIA
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

    Newest advisory - strength (surprisingly) stays Category 2. Likely to remain a hurricane for at least 48 hours after which becomes extra tropical just as hitting Irish coast.

    023933_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

    023933.png

     

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/140233.shtml?

     

     

    Edited by The Eagle
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth

    This morning's ECM appears further west to me. Most of the others keep pretty much the same track as they had yesterday, with some building up the windfield so that Cornwall and Pembrokeshire get clipped at 70-80mph. Gust generally pushing 100mph on arrival to Ireland, ECM would appear slightly less.

    Now getting to the stage where short-term models are the best to follow (ARGEPE, AROME, NNM, WRF, EURO4). I've always thought the GFS did pretty well with storms inside of T72.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Still it good shape. GFS has the wind speed down but then more wide spread. Nothing special for us still but may now hit 50 mph gusts

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    Interesting stuff but potentially quite damaging in some locations, will post the live pressure charts link when I get back on the computer, as ever we won't know the exact track until this storm is knocking on the door but I really wouldn't fancy myself on the south Irish coast Monday 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
    5 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

    Dare I say the ECM is the odd one out this morning. Looks potentially rough for you, Knocker.

    Yes I'm keeping a beady on it

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...