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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
1 minute ago, Mokidugway said:

I haven't got a clooney what you're on about  :rofl:

You brought coffee into the mix...that's when stuff becomes a bit wild....that's a whole new level ight there.

Edited by OPHELIA
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
4 hours ago, knightstorm87 said:

I fail to see how it would have lost all the "characteristics" of a hurricane if the winds remain at hurricane-force or there or there abouts and therefore potentially cause equally as much carnage?...

I didn’t say it wouldn’t cause “carnage” did I? Fact is it won’t be a hurricane because it won’t have the “characteristics” of a hurricane. Which.... is what I said. It will be windy, perhaps very windy, so if your being pedantic, is wind a characteristic of a hurricane? yes of course 

Edited by karlos1983
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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean

Anyways....I've noticed some of you have noticed this type of weather is becoming more common, ok yes not every year but the rate has grown, I'm not talking about just tropical storms I'm talking about all storms...(depressions including extratropical storms). It's actually rather easy...sea temperatures,, but there's a catch 22, salt water  and freshwater and water currents.....have fun researching :). I don't want to go of topic. I brought this theory up about 17 years ago not 10 years ago I just remembered by chance of my daughters birth year hahah (such a great father I am). I have noticed my theory has come to light over the past five years. I'm not mad...just a little crazy :p haha.

Edited by OPHELIA
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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
9 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Cat 2 hurricane feeding of coffee ,you are a very caffeine loaded dangerous storm. :help:

You know what? That's the third time this week I've been told that.

 

Ps Cat 4 

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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
23 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Any chance of staying on topic

My location still looks poised.

Hurricane gusts very likely near Cork 

I'm staying on topic..also I'm closer than you know ;). I have recently sent out warnings to people I know ...down there....but Cork floats right? Joke...chill I know Cork people can be a bit well you know :p.

Edited by OPHELIA
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Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

Nearly time for the max red warnings for the south, south west and west assuming things stay on track.

 

Edited by The Eagle
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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
1 minute ago, The Eagle said:

Nearly time for the max red warnings for the south, south west and west assuming things stay on track.

 

Best to wait until Saturday evening for the full or should I say best readings ;).

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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
3 minutes ago, The Eagle said:

Nearly time for the max red warnings for the south, south west and west assuming things stay on track.

 

It's not just the west, the winds will spread out, the Irish sea will see some action if.....IF...all goes to plan :D...I know people who surf in this weather...wait why do I know all the crazy ones?? Humm I better look into that.

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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
12 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Funny , just rememberd I've crossed Ophelia before in 2005 in Florida,briefly a cat 1 on my way from canaveral to the keys .

Sooo...are you gonna tell us? What was it like?

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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
Just now, Mokidugway said:

Lol, very wet ,but TBH it was no worse than the uk though some beautiful barely twist supercells on way to the keys .

I actually like cloud structures,I take a lot of photos of thunderstorms, it can be annoying when shear winds rip apart a storm -_-. I would like to see this with my visit to Ireland but sorry guys the right conditions have not been set, it is disappointing but hey at least for now we have the swell and winds holding up....for now. 

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Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent

Ophelia has increased in strength and now has sustained winds of 100mph around it's core.. 

EDIT: No it hasn't, I'm an idiot and read a day old tweet 

Edited by Daniel Smith
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Posted
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes
  • Location: Atlantic Ocean
9 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

Ophelia has increased in strength and now has sustained winds of 100mph around it's core.. 

Well I did say cat4....some people just don't listen -_-.

 

Ok ok cat 3 on Sunday.. I don't want to scare you :P.

Edited by OPHELIA
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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
5 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

Ophelia has increased in strength and now has sustained winds of 100mph around it's core.. 

I don't believe anything has changed. I know yesterday Ophelia for a time had sustained 105mph winds unless I'm going mad so a slight weakening I would not expect any further increase in strength.

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Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Just now, Daniel* said:

I don't believe anything has changed. I know yesterday Ophelia for a time had sustained 105mph winds unless I'm going mad so a slight weakening I would not expect any further increase in strength.

Yeah.. completely ignore what I said, I read a day old tweet and didn't realise haha

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Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth

The ECM ensembles are particularly x-rated tonight. They're almost all bad for someone, somewhere - back to the extreme wind values from yesterday morning. Here's a selection. First, perhaps the most likely doomsday scenario, which is that the system becomes so intense on arrival to Ireland that the whole Ireland gets hammered. 100mph+ on coasts, 80-90mph generally even inland, very serious. Second, a very strong pulse through the Irish Sea with 90-100mph+ in this zone - quite a few ensembles go this way tonight with very high winds. Finally, a surprisingly high number of members run the strongest winds into the UK, particularly into Wales, the Bristol Channel or Cornwall - maybe as many as 15% - many over 90mph on landfall.

 

Ophelia Ireland.gif

Ophelia Irish Sea.gif

Ophelia Wales.gif

Edited by Man With Beard
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
1 minute ago, Man With Beard said:

The ECM ensembles are particularly x-rated tonight. They're almost all bad for someone, somewhere - back to the extreme wind values from yesterday morning. Here's a selection. First, perhaps the most likely doomsday scenario, which is that the system becomes so intense on arrival to Ireland that the whole Ireland gets hammered. 100mph+ on coasts, 80-90mph generally even inland, very serious. Second, a very strong pulse through the Irish Sea with 100mph+ in this zone - quite a few ensembles go this way tonight with very high winds. Finally, a surprisingly high number of members run the strongest winds into the UK, particularly into Wales, the Bristol Channel or Cornwall - maybe as many as 15% - many over 90mph on landfall.

 

Ophelia Ireland.gif

Ophelia Irish Sea.gif

Ophelia Wales.gif

Form horse still west of Ireland MWB? 

As much is I’d like a track up the Irish Sea, I cant see it

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Posted
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)

@ Jo Farrow 

Is it looking likely that Ophelia will actually make landfall as a hurricane? 

I know you wrote a very detailed account of why this can't happen - technically- but from an Irish point of view?

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