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Roger J Smith

October 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

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October C.E.T. averages and extremes (now includes all years 1981 to 2016)

 

20.2 ... warmest day, 1st 1985

20.1 ... second warmest day, 1st 2011

 

13.3 ... warmest Oct 2001

13.1 ... second warmest Oct 2005

13.0 ... third warmest Octs, 1969 and 2006

12.9 ... fifth warmest Oct, 1995

12.8 ... sixth warmest Oct 1921

12.7 ... seventh warmest Oct  and warmest of 19th century 1831

12.6 ... eighth warmest Octs 1959, 2011

12.5 ... tenth warmest Octs 1968, 2013, 2014

12.4 ... has never occurred in all 358 years

12.3 ... tied 13th and warnest of 18th century 1731 (with 1811)

12.1 and 12.2 ... have never occurred in all 358 years

12.0 ... only occurrence was 1818

11.9 ... 1990 (from here down to coldest months,  occurrences including ties before 1981 are not listed)

11.8 ...

11.7 ... 1989, 1996

11.6 ... 

11.5 ... 

11.4 ... 

11.3 ... mean 2001-2016

11.2 ...

11.1 ... 1984

11.0 ... 1985, 1986, 2015

10.9 ... mean 1986-2015 and 1987-2016 and 1991-2016 ,,, ,,, ,,, 2007, 2016

10.8 ...

10.7 ... mean 1981-2010 ... ... ... 1999

10.6 ... mean 1961-1990 ... ... ... 1998

10.5 ... 1983, 2004

10.4 ... mean 1971-2000 ... ... ... 1988

10.3 ... 2000, 2010

10.2 ... mean 1901-2000 ... ... ... 1991, 1994, 1997

10.1 ... 1982, 2002

10.0 ...

 9.9 ...

 9.8 ...

 9.7 .... mean for all years 1659-2016 ... ... ...  1987, 2008, 2012 

 9.6 ...

 9.5 .... mean 1801-1900

 9.4 .... mean 1701-1800

 9.3 .... mean 1659-1700

 9.2 ... 2003

 

 8.6 ... 1981

 8.5 ... 1993

 

 7.8 .... tied 26th coldest Oct, coldest Oct recent past, 1974 and 1992

 7.5 .... tied 8th coldest Oct, coldest Oct 20th century 1905

 6.9 ... fifth coldest Oct 1896

 6.5 .... tied 3rd coldest Octs, 1683 and 1692

 6.4 .... second coldest Oct 1817

 5.3 .... coldest Oct 1740

 

 0.3 .... coldest day (since 1772, guessing some subzero days in 1740) 29th, 1895

___________________________________________________________________________

Enter your October forecast in this thread before end of Saturday 30th September without penalty, or during the first three days of October with increasing late penalties applied. Good luck. 

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10.4c please.

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15.5C.  :(  Last sub 6C October in 1740.  Last sub 7C October in 1896.  Last sub 8C October in 1992.  Last sub 9C October in 1993.

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Will go for 10*C, hopefully with a very early snowfall just like what happened on 28th October 2008 :cold: 

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10.2C please I feel much of the month is going to be mild and stormy month for the north especially settling down in the second half anticyclonic with increasingly chilly nights. 

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