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Hurricane Maria


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Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District

Just to correct myself, both ST Croix youtube cams ar on the North of the island, one to the West and one to the East.

Just noted that the airport is on the South Side about 500m from the shore. Could feel the full force and prevent aid getting in if theres catostrophic damage.

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Posted
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
I wonder if the NHC are reading this thread 
Quote

After smoothing out the trochoidal wobbles of Maria's eye, the initial motion estimate remains west-northwestward, or 300/8 kt.

 

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Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian
25 minutes ago, FetchCB said:

I wonder if the NHC are reading this thread 

 

love that image, really tough shift at NHC with all the data from MAria and a bit of a coffee break, to peruse the Netwx hurricane thread to make sure they are keeping it real. HELLO!! HELLO NHC . Loving your work 

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Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District

 From Puerto Rico where they are preparing for a flood.

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Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: The more the merrier.
  • Location: Staffordshire

Did the pilot just have a brown trouser moment there?

maria mis4 ir 19-9-17 1315gmt.JPG

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Posted
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives

This buoy will not be that far from the eye if the current track remains as is

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42060&unit=M&tz=STN

already showing sharp drop in pressure and increase in winds

image.thumb.png.672b7c7246fcb68b16f5dd2a918a7db0.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

Our ex William Grimsley is posting in the chat on this live feed:D

 

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Posted
  • Location: Bramley, Hampshire, 70m asl
  • Location: Bramley, Hampshire, 70m asl
12 minutes ago, Had Worse said:
 

 From Puerto Rico where they are preparing for a flood.

Maria currently on track to hit the most densely populated eastern end of Puerto Rico with more than 1 million living on this corner of the island. Unfortunately this path might also mean less reduction in the strength of the hurricane from the  mountainous central areas

populations;  San Juan 390,000     Bayamon 206,000     Caguas 142,000    etc

puertoricoPOP1.thumb.jpg.ec016954ac215e89551e2bfb02dc85f9.jpg

puertorico-map.thumb.jpg.1e866364a0f235c5f136c2cdaa7dbf52.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
20 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

 

Wow it looks like the eye is missing every where which is good, but that will give it a lot of strengthening time before getting to pr, what are the two little islands just before, they are in very big trouble. Hope we here something from dominca soon.

Edited by alexisj9
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Posted
  • Location: Bramley, Hampshire, 70m asl
  • Location: Bramley, Hampshire, 70m asl
15 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Wow it looks like the eye is missing every where which is good, but that will give it a lot of strengthening time before getting to pr, what are the two little islands just before, they are in very big trouble. Hope we here something from dominca soon.

St Croix, One of the US Virgin Islands and Vieques, part of Puerto Rico

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Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)

Ugh. Just caught up on this as I'm on holiday... well let's just say sometimes it's not nice at all to have called something right; my points a couple of days ago about the underlying structure concerning me have unfortunately proved highly applicable to this particular TC (I've seen a few break the rules in seasons past).

It just seems that once a broad rotation with some spiral banding establishes, any system that is expected to encounter more favourable conditions ahead of it than were in place during the establishment of structure is liable to intensify rapidly unless a combination of dry air and moderate-to-strong wind shear can tear into its core. We had the former two days ago but wind shear was insufficient to drive that into the core of Maria.

So it is that we are again faced with a destruction-laden recent past and events equally or perhaps more so to come depending on whether Maria weakens much (if at all) before then next landfall (assuming no major deviations from NHC guidance on track).

 

There may be an EWRC getting underway at the mo. If so the duration will be important - worst case scenario is a fast replacement leaving time for full utilisation of oceanic heat content plus low shear and decent humidity prior to landfall, having expanded the wind field during the EWRC. Here's hoping such efficiency is not achieved. 

Edited by Singularity
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Posted
  • Location: Bratislava, Slovakia
  • Location: Bratislava, Slovakia
2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

 

https://tunein.com/radio/Wice-QFM-951-s89626/

This online radio station is co-ordinating a lot of information. Everyone calling in is either an Dominican expat or from a nearby island (the host himself is in Texas).

Hearing accounts of tornado-like wind as well as now-countless reports of roofs blown off.

Edited by AderynCoch
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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
5 hours ago, Allseasons-si said:

Our ex William Grimsley is posting in the chat on this live feed:D

 

Noticeable how over the last 20mins the wave-height has increased and the webcam is beginning to wobble..

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Posted
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
13 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Noticeable how over the last 20mins the wave-height has increased and the webcam is beginning to wobble..

What is interesting is that I was watching this feed a couple of hours ago and the wind doesn't seem to have noticeably picked up but the sea has appreciably, obviously being driven by Maria. 

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Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District

I make that 167mph sustained

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Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Brighton
18 minutes ago, FetchCB said:

What is interesting is that I was watching this feed a couple of hours ago and the wind doesn't seem to have noticeably picked up but the sea has appreciably, obviously being driven by Maria. 

I've been watching 10 mins and I see a difference in the sea.  It appears to be rising.  I read that the eye is about 100 miles out from St Croix.. is this correct?

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
6 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

I make that 167mph sustained

I think the official is 165mph but they work in units of 5mph and 5kts at a time. 

To be fair recon had a touch higher so room for it to go higher. 

Ec is coming out and is interesting....

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Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Brighton

There has been a 7.1 Mag earthquake in Mexico City too.. I wonder if this is anything to do with Maria?  http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/mexico-earthquake-today-city-latest-updates-today-magnitude-damage-a7956251.html

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Posted
  • Location: New Zealand
  • Location: New Zealand
Quote

000 URNT12 KNHC 191816 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL152017
A. 19/17:52:00Z

...

L. CLOSED
M. C5
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 0515A MARIA OB 04 MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 153 KT 040 / 7 NM 17:54:00Z CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 245 / 6 KT ;

That was about 50 mins ago...

A closed eye just 5 miles wide.

This doesn't feel good :nea:

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset

Ec at t168 is clearly a us conus hit. 

Very different trough pattern over the north east etc.  It could be an anomaly or could be a new trend. 

Regardless the pattern change is at t120 and you would be foolish to discount the ec at that timeframe. 

IMG_1332.PNG

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