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phil nw.

Model Output Discussion 01/09/17

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synoptic Nirvana 

D338DBB7-18B7-4E99-B44C-71C565DC6576.thumb.png.47d372db73e0f896b9b64a907f7157e8.png055E72E9-80BB-4CBC-B0A2-77921C6A7F58.thumb.png.53884756eac6a785186e4834b751ee85.png

Edited by karlos1983

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Western Greenland is the part to watch. We want the isobars here to go vertical (pretty much as circled) to get the WAA up into Greenland. If this happens then the high inflates and we get decent blocking.

The next step is for the high to "topple" but with low pressure over the UK/to the East, it has Scandinavia in it's sights.

WAA.png

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The NE'ly train coming in:yahoo:

ECH1-192.GIF?21-0anigif_enhanced-buzz-29543-1390483960-3.

Edited by Allseasons-si

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The ecm has the first wave running along the Channel Friday 00 with rain along the SW and S which clears east by Friday morning leaving the UK in a cold, unstable north westerly and wintry showers, Meanwhile the next front tact east through central France and into Germany Saturday morning bringing some very inclement weather there and into norther Italy.

Needless to say a very nast looking day tomorrow in many places.

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If I could some the ecm up in one word I’d say Belter... (and it’s not even winter yet) ?

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1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

Beautiful run..

Evolves into a peach!!!

ECM1-192.gif

Yes gets better every frame.

This is as close as we have been to getting a cut off Greenland/Icelandic high.

Stella run.

Edited by Mucka

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1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Nirvana 

D338DBB7-18B7-4E99-B44C-71C565DC6576.thumb.png.47d372db73e0f896b9b64a907f7157e8.png055E72E9-80BB-4CBC-B0A2-77921C6A7F58.thumb.png.53884756eac6a785186e4834b751ee85.png

This would be proper cold if it was late December or Jan, the cold uppers may be hitting the UK by 216 however.. in an Arctic feed I'm not sure you need -6/-8 uppers to see snow falling at lowers altitudes though!!

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1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Kurt Cobain? and smells like teen spirit

an ideal or idyllic state or place

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I can smell an atlantic undercut on that op run ........

or not ......

Edited by bluearmy

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Sorry, can't post charts but this is a superb run with so much promise down the line. Setting up for a prolonged cold spell 

To coin a phrase from my youth....'flippin' 'eck Tucker'!

Edited by Ice Day

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2 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

This would be proper cold if it was late December or Jan, the cold uppers may be hitting the UK by 216 however.. in an Arctic feed I'm not sure you need -6/-8 uppers to see snow falling at lowers altitudes though!!

Forgetting the detail, it’s pretty darn beautiful to look at! 

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ECH1-192.GIF?21-0

 

Can I get some cold uppers to go with that tHigh please

Ah thanks (216 incoming) 

ECH0-216.GIF?21-0

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2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

an ideal or idyllic state or place

Ay, I know really, another 'That ECM' this I think,

ECM1-216.GIF?21-0

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There is of course one problem..........How on earth do we top that in the morning :rofl:

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Good looking run from ecm this evening without doubt.imo its too clean in its building of heights intowards the greenland area.looking across the output today across the board and id say ecm is at the extreme end regarding amplification ete.middle ground prob for me which would be still pretty good going into winter.

 

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1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

There is of course one problem..........How on earth do we top that in the morning :rofl:

Nevermind in the morning,wake me up now as i am dreaming:rofl:

stunning run from the ecm,and bonkers at the same time:shok:

ECH1-216.GIF?21-0

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Is this not a Greenland block on EC at 192?

Either way the Atlantic is closed for business until further notice :)

Edited by northwestsnow

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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

ECMOPEU12_192_1.png

Always looks better on Wetter! :D

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3 minutes ago, swfc said:

Good looking run from ecm this evening without doubt.imo its too clean in its building of heights intowards the greenland area.looking across the output today across the board and id say ecm is at the extreme end regarding amplification ete.middle ground prob for me which would be still pretty good going into winter.

 

Tbf im slightly with you here.

Its evolvement' was very direct...perhaps to direct after 96hrs   

But i'll gladly be proven wrong!!

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