Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
Sign in to follow this  
phil nw.

Model Output Discussion 01/09/17

Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

ECM1-144.GIF?20-0

Nice area of high pressure above Iceland 

 

The fabled Murr Sausage?!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

168

ECH1-168.GIF.thumb.png.9111b5a14cdf8ed986fd1525342967e3.png

This could be a really run later on, can we get some Siberian freeze heading our way , warm air flooding into the Arctic 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ECH1-192.GIF?20-0

 

Low pressure to the SW with cold air feeding in from the NE, a recipe for frontal snow if it comes off.

Obviously the boundary between warmer air to the South and colder air to the North will move a lot even if this synoptic is correct.

Edited by Mucka

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

the ECM looks distinctly nippy in the short to mid term time frames.................Our roving reporter asked renowned NetWeather mascot Sidney Squirrel for his snapshot of the upcoming weekend

3252818873_105e82dec3.thumb.jpg.985631e5742a55bb2fe0092cbb7416a0.jpg

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Dancerwithwings said:

Is this for real :shok:

ECM101-192_mts0.GIF

Time to start singing “Black hole sun” or “supermassive black hole” :hi:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Although the ECM does seem to suggest some sort of waving front getting embedded in the westerly flow, it's much further South so less likely of a widespread cold rain event and more areas seeing convective sunnier weather.

Set up wise the ECM is pretty good but uppers are rather modest to put it fairly but the potential is certainly there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Good ECM run so far but we don’t want too much amplification upstream.

This might sound bizarre but you want the shortwave heading se into eastern France to feed low heights over mainland Europe.

If the shortwave heads south too far west it will force a ridge to develop over southern central Europe.

Edited by nick sussex

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Is this for real :shok:

ECM101-192_mts0.GIF

No, it is a computer simulation. :hi:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ecm 12z..

Wants to set up a startling block via waa into greenland..

And wants an'eventual air-source from the siberian bulk!!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

the ECM looks distinctly nippy in the short to mid term time frames.................Our roving reporter asked renowned NetWeather mascot Sidney Squirrel for his snapshot of the upcoming weekend

3252818873_105e82dec3.thumb.jpg.985631e5742a55bb2fe0092cbb7416a0.jpg

 

Surely the ramp and moan thread.... joke has surely run to and end now 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

wowzers EC is a cracker  :yahoo::D

Deep low bay of biscay and massive Greeny block 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

Not a bad chart to end Autumn

ECM1-216.thumb.GIF.e7e2250b0e6569b2b551e4f30cddcef7.GIF

 

Probably one month too early!  But decent nevertheless.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

wowzers EC is a cracker  :yahoo::D

Deep low bay of biscay and massive Greeny block 

Certainly is. If we can just keep that easterly feed for a couple of days we'll see the uppers lower below marginal. Lovely stuff from the ECM tonight

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If anyone is bothered, that ec op doesn't bring snow away from the welsh high ground and Cheshire hills with that diving system. plenty of ground to cover yet. pleased to see that another op fails to blow up an atlantic low exiting the eastern seaboard and heading east around day 6 which was big on the ens spreads

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

wowzers EC is a cracker  :yahoo::D

Deep low bay of biscay and massive Greeny block 

Great anomaly charts showing at 216h....Block and half that :shok:

ECH101-216_yky0.GIF

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

If anyone is bothered, that ec op doesn't bring snow away from the welsh high ground and Cheshire hills with that diving system. plenty of ground to cover yet. pleased to see that another op fails to blow up an atlantic low exiting the eastern seaboard and heading east around day 6 which was big on the ens spreads

Quite a lot of cold rain then! Are we talking about saturday here blue.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Great anomaly charts showing at 216h....Block and half that :shok:

ECH101-216_yky0.GIF

Whats blocked about it?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Decent run from the ecm there Synoptics are lovely just let down by the uppers which are not the coldest at the moment . Still room for upgrades  as we go forward  eyes down for the 18z 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Again take the evolution as a whole..

Not totality of cold impacts ie 850s..

Even as early as the weekend there will be a degree of uncertainty atm . 

This will play out through coming suites and could develop favourably.

Great synoptics 12z..ecm

Edited by tight isobar

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...