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Model Output Discussion 01/09/17


phil nw.

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Posted
  • Location: Addington
  • Weather Preferences: Love a bit of snow
  • Location: Addington
45 minutes ago, draztik said:

Indeed! If the model isnt showing what you want, discard! Tips for winter, folks. 

Not the point frosty was making at all.

The models are doing the usual flip flop they do at this point.

Untill ecm is consistent with a direction of either blow torch or cold, then you can disregard  an outlier.

Edited by snowbob
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Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Sticking to it's guns somewhat 

IMG_1049.PNG

You beat me to it :)

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

While we sit in a benign frost mist laden' atmos...

Romania right into greece take the shield..

And a whole lot of snowfal too!!!

gfs-1-132.png

Screenshot_2017-11-15-22-05-52.png

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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .

Not a bad GFS 18 hrs run so far and quite a bit different from the ECM horror show.

Heights building strongly towards sw Greenland and shortwave energy aligned more favourably  to the west . 

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex

18z certainly looking pretty good, come on my son!

gfs-0-150.png

gfs-1-150.png

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Posted
  • Location: Whitby north yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold , snow . Hot sunny
  • Location: Whitby north yorkshire

Colder air coming in quicker on this run . Doesn't mean it's right mind 

IMG_1796.PNG

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
1 minute ago, Stozzy said:

Colder air coming in quicker on this run . Doesn't mean it's right mind 

IMG_1796.PNG

18z has been the form horse though this last week, in fact this could be better than the 12z.

What are the odds that ECM come on board with this new trend tomorrow?

gfs-0-168.png

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Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands

Here she comes! :cold-emoji:

gfs-0-174.png?18

Edited by PerfectStorm
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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

Gfs 18z..

Much nicer profile of advection.

And would be no doubt A-class text book...

 

gfs-0-168.png

Screenshot_2017-11-15-22-16-54.pngif it wasnt for these numptys!!!

Edited by tight isobar
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Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

p13 all the way!

gfsnh-0-180.png?18

 

Only this is the Op :)

Can we get ECM on board tomorrow?

Probably not 

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Posted
  • Location: Heckmondwike, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Heckmondwike, West Yorkshire

The 72hr fax chart for Saturday is a big improvement on the previous 84hr chart for the same day and a massive improvement on yesterday's 96hr chart for the same day.

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Posted
  • Location: Whitby north yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold , snow . Hot sunny
  • Location: Whitby north yorkshire
4 minutes ago, snowray said:

18z has been the form horse though this last week, in fact this could be better than the 12z.

What are the odds that ECM come on board with this new trend tomorrow?

gfs-0-168.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex

Eye candy time! Cold in the east wins out, lovely scandi high, and snow moving south.:cold:

gfs-0-186.png

gfs-1-186.png

gfs-2-186.png

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Posted
  • Location: Burton-on-Trent (90m), Larnaka most Augusts
  • Location: Burton-on-Trent (90m), Larnaka most Augusts

ECM and GFS now more divided than ever with time running out.

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

Floodgates begin to open...

gfs-1-180.png

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