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It's has taken a while for power to be restored and proper wifi connectivity here in Antigua, but we're now back to normal.  Looking back at some posts on here and also the local 3 hourly Irma fo

Seems Global Warming was in effect in the early 20th Century as well. The 1900 Galveston Hurricane being one of the worst but also 3 Miami Strikes in years 1926, 1928 and 1935 Link to the worst a

It would appear that trumps resort on the smaller islands already impacted is devastated and now his beloved Mar a lago id in line for a pretty strong hit. It would be the irony of ironies if he

Posted Images

5 minutes ago, Barking_Mad said:

Not good :(

Pere the data posted above, and reposted here...
59b45a302692d_ScreenShot2017-09-09at22_11_17.thumb.png.8c9a6fdad9c05c4091ffa27eceaa803a.png
... it's also not true.

Bus as the data isn't necessarily the first thing people want to look at, here's a pretty picture... :p
 

 

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10 minutes ago, crimsone said:

Our buoy in KWest only says 1ft higher than predicted.

One of these things is not like the other.

Screen Shot 2017-09-09 at 22.11.17.png

Message says 'and the hurricane still goes by cuba'

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Interesting to read what some people on twitter via this thread have been saying in regards to intensity or at least casting doubt on its ability to regain cat 5 status. 

Historically what they say is probably true but we are in uncharted waters so to speak. Model dynamics follow rules that are based on observations from the past along with science that helps predict the future. To date we have seen a number of firsts for a hurricane season and for a storm that to me indicate that the models have not had a good handle of Irma..

Whether you believe in global warming or not the world is warmer than it used to be, the SSTs are higher than normal and in a chaotic model such as the weather these small changes may have significant impacts. These impacts are not likely to be known until the NHC reanalyse the data and then tweak the model further. 

In terms of Irma yes it could explode again to Cat 5 to say otherwise with any definitive voice seems foolhardy to me 

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Less talked about is the potential for ground-flooding due to the rainfall forecast, FL has a aquifer-system beneath the state not only potentially raising the ground-water upwards but also stopping any rain-water from easily draining away due to the combination of the both.

With that in mind, is there any potential for a 'brown-ocean' effect to happen over FL due to the everglades and swamplands.

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4 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Less talked about is the potential for ground-flooding due to the rainfall forecast, FL has a aquifer-system beneath the state not only potentially raising the ground-water upwards but also stopping any rain-water from easily draining away due to the combination of the both.

With that in mind, is there any potential for a 'brown-ocean' effect to happen over FL due to the everglades and swamplands.

Looking at local news sites there are a few that have storm surges warnings that are quite a way inland separate from the sea. Not sure if this is just due to rainfall flooding lakes/rivers or the surge from the sea pushing back up through the underground water system?

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The lightning strike was believed to be minor and hit the front end of the modified C130 aircraft leaving some damage. The aircraft will be grounded for some time to be fixed for the damage, but it is unknown how long.

http://wkrg.com/2017/09/09/lightning-strikes-hurricane-hunter-plane-mid-flight-with-news-5-aboard/

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