Hurricane Irma

[alexisj9]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

 

That's going to be under water soon.

[ThundersnowDays]

3 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

It weaken near pr although the eye didn't go over it. It regained cat 5 again between pr and cuba.

It did weaken but it was still a Cat 5 until near Great Inagua Island near Cuba.

[toggerob]

Apparently this is the situation on the Key West shoreline currently

https://www.instagram.com/p/BY1aBjhAKjj/?taken-at=213444877

[crimsone]

2 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Apparently this is the situation on the Key West shoreline currently

https://www.instagram.com/p/BY1aBjhAKjj/?taken-at=213444877

Our buoy in KWest only says 1ft higher than predicted.

One of these things is not like the other.

[stratty]

3 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Apparently this is the situation on the Key West shoreline currently

https://www.instagram.com/p/BY1aBjhAKjj/?taken-at=213444877

..............I think that is Cuba?

[Allseasons-Si]

3 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Apparently this is the situation on the Key West shoreline currently

https://www.instagram.com/p/BY1aBjhAKjj/?taken-at=213444877

And you see a dinghey at the end of the clip with no one in it thank god.

[Barking_Mad]

5 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Apparently this is the situation on the Key West shoreline currently

https://www.instagram.com/p/BY1aBjhAKjj/?taken-at=213444877

Not good

[toggerob]

1 minute ago, stratty said:

..............I think that is Cuba?

You could be right, seems a bit too much of a swell/surge for the Keys so early in this stage of events.

[Allseasons-Si]

 

[crimsone]

5 minutes ago, Barking_Mad said:

Not good

Pere the data posted above, and reposted here...

... it's also not true.

Bus as the data isn't necessarily the first thing people want to look at, here's a pretty picture...
 

 

Edited September 9, 2017 by crimsone

[Yarmy]

10 minutes ago, crimsone said:

Our buoy in KWest only says 1ft higher than predicted.

One of these things is not like the other.

Message says 'and the hurricane still goes by cuba'

[Allseasons-Si]

 

[Ice Day]

4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

 

The storm surge is going to be so dangerous to anyone who stays behind.  Only needs around 3 feet of water to float a car away!

[matty40s]

...and another loose yacht gets blown past...

[Allseasons-Si]

2 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

The storm surge is going to be so dangerous to anyone who stays behind.  Only needs around 3 feet of water to float a car away!

Yes and is forecast for 5-10 ft isn't it.

[FetchCB]

Interesting to read what some people on twitter via this thread have been saying in regards to intensity or at least casting doubt on its ability to regain cat 5 status. 

Historically what they say is probably true but we are in uncharted waters so to speak. Model dynamics follow rules that are based on observations from the past along with science that helps predict the future. To date we have seen a number of firsts for a hurricane season and for a storm that to me indicate that the models have not had a good handle of Irma..

Whether you believe in global warming or not the world is warmer than it used to be, the SSTs are higher than normal and in a chaotic model such as the weather these small changes may have significant impacts. These impacts are not likely to be known until the NHC reanalyse the data and then tweak the model further. 

In terms of Irma yes it could explode again to Cat 5 to say otherwise with any definitive voice seems foolhardy to me 

[toggerob]

Less talked about is the potential for ground-flooding due to the rainfall forecast, FL has a aquifer-system beneath the state not only potentially raising the ground-water upwards but also stopping any rain-water from easily draining away due to the combination of the both.

With that in mind, is there any potential for a 'brown-ocean' effect to happen over FL due to the everglades and swamplands.

[Ice Day]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Yes and is forecast for 5-10 ft isn't it.

Indeed and that's excluding wave height on top of that.

[BA Baracus]

4 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Less talked about is the potential for ground-flooding due to the rainfall forecast, FL has a aquifer-system beneath the state not only potentially raising the ground-water upwards but also stopping any rain-water from easily draining away due to the combination of the both.

With that in mind, is there any potential for a 'brown-ocean' effect to happen over FL due to the everglades and swamplands.

Looking at local news sites there are a few that have storm surges warnings that are quite a way inland separate from the sea. Not sure if this is just due to rainfall flooding lakes/rivers or the surge from the sea pushing back up through the underground water system?

[crimsone]

934 mb
Closed concentric, 12-25

... as of 15 mins ago.

Currently 2 Special Maritime, and 2 tornado warnings in effect over s. Florida.

Edited September 9, 2017 by crimsone

[toggerob]

The lightning strike was believed to be minor and hit the front end of the modified C130 aircraft leaving some damage. The aircraft will be grounded for some time to be fixed for the damage, but it is unknown how long.

http://wkrg.com/2017/09/09/lightning-strikes-hurricane-hunter-plane-mid-flight-with-news-5-aboard/

[crimsone]

This guy thinks he'll be staying until Monday.

I cannot comment to tell him how bad a plan that is.
 

 

[Allseasons-Si]

 

 

[Hurricane Andrew]

3 hours ago, crimsone said:

#ThatPhotographerIsNeverGettingPaid

http://southernmostpointwebcam.c

[crimsone]

3 minutes ago, Hurricane Andrew said:

I still can't believe people are going there as a photo-op... even now.