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Hurricane Irma

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Love Snow Experienced

Love Snow

Posted
  • Location: Morley Leeds (West Yorkshire) 166m
  • Location: Morley Leeds (West Yorkshire) 166m
Posted (edited)
13 minutes ago, cheese said:

And of course, Cat 4 hurricanes are extremely destructive. Hurricane Wilma in 2005 was a Cat 3 at landfall in Florida and that was certainly very powerful..

 

I was in Orlando in 2004 during Hurricane Jeanne. The place was under curfew and the power was off for 15 Hours. Most of damaged was trees and signs extra. It was quite an experience at the time it's like you can see feel the wind. Sounds crazy but it's not like your normal UK windstorm.

This was a weak storm thankfully in the end I wouldn't want to imagine what a high cat 4 storm feels like and the destruction it will bring.

Edited by Love Snow
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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

Slight westward shift again from the GFS. Still shows near continuous strengthening before landfall though.

gfs_mslp_wind_seus_9.png

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Polar Bear Community Regular

Polar Bear

Posted
  • Location: Newbury
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and snow but not together
  • Location: Newbury
Posted
11 minutes ago, Hurricane Debby said:

Link to Mike Theiss and his twitter feed who's in Key Largo for Irma

 

https://twitter.com/miketheiss

Do they honestly think the boats will be safer there? ....Why would anyone want to wait out Irma in Largo?... Surely that is madness?

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Iceberg Seasoned

Iceberg

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
Posted
31 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

 

I think he spoke a bit too soon, the inner eye had partially reformed so erc still ongoing. 

Weve seen this supported by vortex drop where it's gone from c20 to c40-20 to c40 and the back to c40-20. 

Latest slider shows it quite messy fragments all over the place. 

IMG_1228.PNG

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Fred Sykes Contributor

Fred Sykes

Posted
  • Location: Warminster (Wiltshire)
  • Weather Preferences: what's the bloody point when you live in Britain
  • Location: Warminster (Wiltshire)
Posted

I spoke to my uncle in Florida yesterday. He's really worried. He lives near Naples (east coast) and can't get away now. The highways are clogged and there's no fuel in the gas stations and water is sold out in the supermarkets It's not just the wind that's so worrying. The storm surge will be like the sea coming into the towns. I have a very bad feeling about this storm, I really fear for a great loss of life and catastrophic destruction

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Iceberg Seasoned

Iceberg

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Just looking at the recon they are currently doing. The lower pressures have expanded dramatically during the erc so far. 

Also the new larger outer wall in the ne quad has some very strong surface winds 137kts. 

In the sw it's 132kt in the outer. 

The inner is still at 50-70kts. 

If it can clear out that eye a push to 160kt+ looks certain. 

Howeve in case you missed it Irma is now a cat 5 again according to recon expect nhc to update accordingly. 

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chillyblast Contributor

chillyblast

Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder / lightning, Freezing rain, snow, ice and blizzards!
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
Posted (edited)

So on the latest recon it states:

Highest Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s Avg.) 144 kts (165.7 mph) (USAF)

What exactly do this mean, is it the actual eye wall wind speed?

Edited by chillyblast
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Just looking at GFS and they show Irma ploughing northwards into the high pressure to the north. I wouldn't be surprised if actually tracked more westward as that would seem the line of least resistance. Then what do I know.

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Iceberg Seasoned

Iceberg

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
Posted
15 minutes ago, chillyblast said:

So on the latest recon it states:

Highest Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s Avg.) 144 kts (165.7 mph) (USAF)

What exactly do this mean, is it the actual eye wall wind speed?

It's the wind speed at the height of the aircraft. This is different to the Surface speeds. 

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milkmaid Contributor

milkmaid

Posted
  • Location: Evanton ,highlands ,scotland
  • Location: Evanton ,highlands ,scotland
Posted

watching a live facebook feed not sure how to share it on here but wow that wind ,cannot work out where the feed is from though 

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted
Just now, Summer Sun said:

Irma has increased to 155mph sustained winds pressure 925mb

Irma will probably restrenghen to Cat 5. Bad news. :(

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cowdog Enthusiast

cowdog

Posted
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but Rain!
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Barking_Mad said:

What's the track according to the European model? 

Its a HOLY **** track. Its going Gulf according to it.


That is going to send people in the US into a mad panic, god knows what speeds it would get up to if it went in there.


Specifically it hits Cuba and its forced significantly further West. Key will be where it ends up but odds are its going to put it to run along the west coast of Florida. This is really all up in the air even at 12h mark i.e. in 6 hours time.

Edited by cowdog
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cowdog Enthusiast

cowdog

Posted
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but Rain!
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
Posted

ECM at 72 hours still has going over Central Florida, but making landfall at about Tampa, very different from GFS and UKMO, all due to that track over Cuba in the near term.

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snowsummer Aficionado

snowsummer

Posted
  • Location: South ockendon essex
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and HEAVY snow
  • Location: South ockendon essex
Posted
11 minutes ago, cowdog said:

Its a HOLY **** track. Its going Gulf according to it.


That is going to send people in the US into a mad panic, god knows what speeds it would get up to if it went in there.


Specifically it hits Cuba and its forced significantly further West. Key will be where it ends up but odds are its going to put it to run along the west coast of Florida. This is really all up in the air even at 12h mark i.e. in 6 hours time.

Where do i find this please? Can you put a link up? Thanks 

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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted
1 minute ago, Barking_Mad said:

 

Meaningless? 

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted (edited)

Waters of 30C+ west of Bahamas may strengthen Irma again after its slight weakening during eye wall replacement - which has now completed.

 

Edited by Nick F
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