Hurricane Irma

[karyo]

5 minutes ago, Iceberg said:

Irma is current travelling a little north of track, not good for the islands. 

Compared to which model though? Further north should mean less interaction with the mountains of Cuba but also better news for southeast Florida as she may curve northwards earlier.

[Badgers01]

51 minutes ago, MattTarrant said:

Perhaps we are just presuming he is doing the forecasting work, perhaps general reporting? Perhaps going to help at shelter etc?

don't think he's is going to do volunteer work ! quite clear he is going out as part of the reporting team - i think he is fully qualified meto

[BurntFishTrousers]

 

[cheese]

8 minutes ago, karyo said:

Compared to which model though? Further north should mean less interaction with the mountains of Cuba but also better news for southeast Florida as she may curve northwards earlier.

I think it's just a general straight line track, probably by NHC, but of course hurricanes don't go in straight lines, they go up and down. 

[Iceberg]

13 minutes ago, karyo said:

Compared to which model though? Further north should mean less interaction with the mountains of Cuba but also better news for southeast Florida as she may curve northwards earlier.

Yep it's the nhc forecast points. 

[Iceberg]

Ec has stuck to its guns. 

[cowdog]

3 minutes ago, Iceberg said:

Ec has stuck to its guns. 

If anything its moved towards what the UKMO was showing at 0Z very similar track, skirts along the top of Cuba then spins up in too South Western Florida. Its probably the worst possible track as its going over the warmest seas, and hitting the part of Florida less able to cope with a hit of this power.

Edited September 7, 2017 by cowdog

[Iceberg]

Ec just tracks it up Florida. Close enough to Miami to be a hit but also tampa etc. 

[Havaturkali]

Turks and Caicos Island Live:

https://www.facebook.com/livemap/#@17.612610761099077,-69.071044921875,6z

[cheese]

5 minutes ago, Iceberg said:

Ec just tracks it up Florida. Close enough to Miami to be a hit but also tampa etc. 

Yikes, that's a big jump west. Still shows how 3 days is a long time in weather terms..

[The PIT]

Well we shall see what track it takes. At least Jose it's going to bend away northwards and not follow the same track.

[alexisj9]

2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

 

wow Tomasz, rather you than me for this one, stay safe over there.

[Mokidugway]

3 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

wow Tomasz, rather you than me for this one, stay safe over there.

Might be better to take this if the storm surge is high 

 

 

and its not fetish wear ....

 

Edited September 7, 2017 by Mokidugway

[wellington boot]

 

Good tweet there. Or rather, good charts. Not good news for Florida obviously.

[Ice Day]

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue  40m40 minutes ago

If Hurricane #Irma takes ECMWF 12z slightly west track, huge wind gusts for Florida from Keys to Miami, Tampa & Orlando, Tallahassee & Jax.

 

 

[Ice Day]

This tweet just goes to show the size and intensity of this storm!

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue  49m49 minutes ago

More

Replying to @RyanMaue @ECMWF

This plausible track scenario highlights extreme inland wind gusts well in excess of 70-90 mph all the way to Atlanta

[chillyblast]

Not sure if this is actually live or not.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkZ8AlzX7e0

 

Unbelievable "wall of rain" just hit there.

Edited September 7, 2017 by chillyblast

[Havaturkali]

1 hour ago, Havaturkali said:

Turks and Caicos Island Live:

https://www.facebook.com/livemap/#@17.612610761099077,-69.071044921875,6z

True link 

 

[knocker]

 

[Had Worse]

 

Edited September 7, 2017 by Had Worse

[Ice Day]

12 minutes ago, knocker said:

 

Sobering stuff and very similar to what the ECM is showing.  Given the very high SST's south of Florida and apparent low wind shear, significant weakening is highly unlikely and I would imagine further intensification can't be ruled out?

Edited September 7, 2017 by Ice Day

[Lowestoft Weather]

Absolute horror live footage. Solar panels and cars being blown along........ poor Turks and Caicos

[Had Worse]

He is mounting phone on a tripod and said that he will still be broadcasting in 2 hours... this is from Grace bay in the T&C's, apparently the eye is heading for this part.

[The PIT]

11 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

He is mounting phone on a tripod and said that he will still be broadcasting in 2 hours... this is from Grace bay in the T&C's, apparently the eye is heading for this part.

Well the tripod won't last long. I presume it's mounted inside and filming from there.

[Had Worse]

Every FB live goes off line after i've posted apart from the one a bout 5 pots above.