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Here's a few pics from round here last Autumn to get us in the mood.    

Storm Aileen was so bad York blew into the North Sea !!

Up at my normal 4:30am start today - no sunrise !! Lights on in the kitchen, here we go ........#NearlyAutumn Conkers swelling, crab apples abound, blackberries on the turn, a bumper crop of sloe

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On 24 July 2017 at 22:21, Boba fett said:

Just watched BBC news and they had a report about a 1 in 3 chance for extreme wet weather like 2014 this is for late Autumn and in to winter, they mentioned the Super computer predicting this?

what are people's thoughts?

This was what was reported 10 years ago. We had to wait to 2013 for the next decent summer.

 

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On 22/07/2017 at 12:09, markyo said:

I suspect you may have missed your vocation in life,not everyone can take such photos....including me! Best season of the year coming up,can't wait:)

 

On 22/07/2017 at 22:27, seaside 60 said:

As long as it doesn't rain the whole autumn lol..

Your right he does take a lovely photo.

 

On 23/07/2017 at 12:17, draztik said:

What a charming thread to walk into, with amazing photography. Autumn has always been my favourite season, and the above illustrates why.

Can i just say thank you to everyone for you kind comments about my photos :good:

Anyway, to avoid going off topic, I see that Gavin over on 'Gavs Weather Vids' has just released his second model round up for autumn 2017... Lets just say that there is a VERY strong trend appeared in this video. 

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/
 

 

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On 24/07/2017 at 14:16, Azazel said:

I can't decide if i like Autumn or not.

 

It's definitely the best season for photography, but I can't decide if I like the sights/colours/smells of Autumn or if they're simply evocative/nostalgic.

 

Modern winters down here can absolutely do one though. Dire.

Morning @Azazel :)
I see where you are coming from, personally I love the sights, colours and smells of autumn, it is certainly the best time of year for photography and getting out and about and just enjoying... But whatever happens, my advice to to go out and enjoy it :good:
 

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2 hours ago, Dangerous55019 said:

Anyway, to avoid going off topic, I see that Gavin over on 'Gavs Weather Vids' has just released his second model round up for autumn 2017... Lets just say that there is a VERY strong trend appeared in this video. 

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/
 

 

 

Quick summary basically a warmer and wetter than average Autumn

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Evening everyone :)
Well, I have to say that the weather over the past few days has been (early) autumnal feeling to say the least! Rain over night and early on giving way to that heavy wet dampness on everything (especially the car when you get to it first thing in the morning), along with the strong gusty winds, and then followed by an afternoon of strong sunshine, but not too hot. :good:
But today I noticed a couple of steps towards the coming season...
1. I heard the autumn song of the robin for the first time this year as they mark out there feeding grounds.
2. I saw this tree!! :shok:
Now I know its an Acer, and yes they do have a tendency to go very red or have red tipped leaves, but this does seem early to me... Not complaining mind. :D

... And before anyone says about it being stress through lack of water, that's one thing that hasn't lacked around these parts. Lol :laugh:

IMG_3866.JPG

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Autumn started here over 3 weeks ago with an October feel to the weather with all the wind, cloud and rain. A few leaves on some Japanese cherries turning bright red already. Earliest I've seen.

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10 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

already in autumn and will be until next may

There's unsettling signs of a warm up on the cards. How long and how bad it'll get I don't know. This season and all to do with it cannot end soon enough.

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Just now, Ice Man 85 said:

There's unsettling signs of a warm up on the cards. How long and how bad it'll get I don't know. This season and all to do with it cannot end soon enough.

As far as I'm concerned, the weather can do what it wants as August progresses. Summer is on the wane regardless with nights drawing in. It cannot go back to its prime now. It's like Cold showing for mid February when January was mild and wet- as far as I'm concerned, the best of winter would already have passed in that scenario.

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1 minute ago, Ice Man 85 said:

There's unsettling signs of a warm up on the cards. How long and how bad it'll get I don't know. This season and all to do with it cannot end soon enough.

Not an august heat wave:bad:

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18 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Not an august heat wave:bad:

I'm not sure. Several Control runs on the GFS show a spike around the 14/15th which worryingly coincides with something the ECM clusters were toying with the other day. All I know is we cannot have settled weather without heat in this country during the summer. Its either settled and too warm or pouring down with comfortable temps. I know which I'd choose.

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15 hours ago, Ice Man 85 said:

I'm not sure. Several Control runs on the GFS show a spike around the 14/15th which worryingly coincides with something the ECM clusters were toying with the other day. All I know is we cannot have settled weather without heat in this country during the summer. Its either settled and too warm or pouring down with comfortable temps. I know which I'd choose.

My point exactly, thats why autumn has progressed to be more to my liking these days, as its still often nice and warm but normally with cooler nights and early morning apart from the extremes like last year.

However the one thing I dont like about autumn is the start to much worse weather and all the dark early nights.

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The shortening of the days is quite notable now and I love it especially in the morning. Late spring and early summer disturbs my sleep due to the extremely early sunrise and often the heat. I am looking forward to even darker mornings and better sleep from now on.

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33 minutes ago, karyo said:

Last month people here posted the Autumn outlook from various seasonal models. Do we have an August update yet?

Not as yet. This is the link I use:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/ens-mean

Last updated on the 11th of July, so I suppose it will be around about the same date in August.

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12 minutes ago, Yarmy said:

Not as yet. This is the link I use:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/ens-mean

Last updated on the 11th of July, so I suppose it will be around about the same date in August.

Thanks Yarmy. The 2 m temperature map gives me a nauseating feeling with all the orange and the red.

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8 minutes ago, karyo said:

Thanks Yarmy. The 2 m temperature map gives me a nauseating feeling with all the orange and the red.

If that makes you feel ill, don't look at the 500hPa anomaly for months 4-6. :shok: 

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5 minutes ago, Yarmy said:

If that makes you feel ill, don't look at the 500hPa anomaly for months 4-6. :shok: 

Horrid stuff!

Back to the 2 m temperatures, what strikes me the most is that at least 80% of the planet is shown as above average. 

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23 minutes ago, karyo said:

Horrid stuff!

Back to the 2 m temperatures, what strikes me the most is that at least 80% of the planet is shown as above average. 

At least climate change won't happen in Trumpton,so we should be ok......

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