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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 8th July onwards


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Holy crap not bad eh ? Am well chuffed with this

That was amazing. The closest to lightning i've ever been....this was Warlingham area (Just oustide Croydon)...    

What a night it was, one of the best storms I have ever seen, maybe even better than July 3rd 2015! I some many great pictures on here today, so I thought I would share some of mine.  

Posted Images

Posted
  • Location: Woodley (East Reading)
  • Location: Woodley (East Reading)

    How reliable is Accuweather, they are saying Reading will get a thunderstorm between 8-10pm? also says rain is coming in around 7:30pm. 

    They got it spot on with the storm two years ago, even the point of acceleration and landfall, the rain fell almost like clockwork and ended on the same time too. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
    23 minutes ago, AWD said:

    12z AROME shows a lot of the current PPN fizzling out overnight with anything that does remain affecting predominately the home counties area;

    8908_gqk3.thumb.png.cb9268a63c4aff1a9e0a3e563efbe05c.png5513_cwv2.thumb.png.c7381b87cc7af6ef14f850a2552c4c1c.png3611_dbq9.thumb.png.d086c14e397d2a064d317c2ac0796287.png7157_bqs7.thumb.png.a905fb3cde0cd9dc067f2520c1f4ec86.png

    Yep noticed that. Can almost smell a bust! Will be infuriating if that is the case.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms, heatwaves, extreme weather
  • Location: Sheffield
    Just now, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

    Does nobody on here read forecasts anymore?

    Yes it's good to be able to do a spot of nowcasting here and there but can people please stop moaning that it's fizzling out when it's been covered many times now that the main storms aren't gonna be from that rain splodge over the channel!

    Rant over!

    Fully agree. Let's hope this thread doesn't get clogged up with doom and gloom before the event has even got going! :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

    Wales could stay bone dry at this rate

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
    3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

    Does nobody on here read forecasts anymore?

    Yes it's good to be able to do a spot of nowcasting here and there but can people please stop moaning that it's fizzling out when it's been covered many times now that the main storms aren't gonna be from that rain splodge over the channel!

    Rant over!

    Pretty sure I've seen pretty much this said about every single potential event we've seen over the past few years. 

    Then as the night wears on it begins to dawn on people that things aren't developing as they expected. Then reality hits. Then we start the cycle all over again with the next bit of potential.

    Been around the weather block far too many times.

    Edited by CreweCold
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    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    Rapid intensification to the west of the IOW around Bournemouth and plenty more in the SW approaches. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
    3 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

    Pretty sure I've seen pretty much this said about every single potential event we've seen over the past few years. 

    Then as the night wears on it begins to dawn on people that things aren't developing as they expected. Then reality hits. Then we start the cycle all over again with the next bit of potential.

    Been around the weather block far too many times.

    That's fine - if that happens this time round please PM me and say I told you so :)

    until then though - save your words and energy for the storms!

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    Posted
  • Location: North Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms / Sunshine / Snow
  • Location: North Bristol
    9 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

    Does nobody on here read forecasts anymore?

    Yes it's good to be able to do a spot of nowcasting here and there but can people please stop moaning that it's fizzling out when it's been covered many times now that the main storms aren't gonna be from that rain splodge over the channel!

    Rant over!

    Can someone then please explain where they are meant to come from? From my understanding the storms would form along the trough as it pushes up? It's not over by any means and whilst I am an amateur, what else will be triggering the storms away from this feature? Am I misinterpreting its current position?

    Cheers.

    Edited by Chris K
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    Posted
  • Location: Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Hull

    Met office has the first line fizzling out and then not much until midnight. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    A few very large rain drops starting to fall. 

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  • Location: Wellingborough, Northants
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and thunderstorms, snow in winter
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northants

    Wish I was on Swanage beach right now.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Thunder audible now! neo.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Funny just listened the forecast and the storms you see now are the ones that are going to move north. Another batch moving north across the south east into Norfolk and East Anglia into the north sea. A hot day tomorrow and dry to start GFS says otherwise one or two hit or miss showers in the north then in the west showers moving in and spreading slowly to the east later in the day.

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
    1 minute ago, Chris K said:

    Can someone then please explain where they are meant to come from? From my understanding the storms would form along the trough as it pushes up? It's not over by any means and whilst I am an amateur, what else will be triggering the storms away from this feature?

    Cheers.

    There is nothing to trigger storms away from this.

    The next 'trigger' is the cold front later tomorrow which could see storms forming ahead- though these are likely to be fairly isolated and surface based (but potentially more severe).

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    Posted
  • Location: warminster Wiltshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and snow
  • Location: warminster Wiltshire

    The new thunderstorm start kick from bay of Biscay and I wonder which way they are going 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    This one of the rare times when storms have actually managed to get across the channel. In recent years that's been the killer.

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    Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

    Come on guys, still ages to go yet.

    Not over till it's over.

    In fact, I'm wondering if something is trying to spawn over Essex/Kent way. Those clouds near Rochester look interesting, and I'm only 13 miles away as the crow flies, and there's cloud building up pretty quickly here. 

    By no means a bust just yet

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    Thunder getting louder and more frequent. 

    Edited by matt111
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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    My attention has been drawn to early Friday. 

    Active cold front looks to swing in from the west and at the moment looks potentially more severe than anything we'll see over the next 24 hours.

    ukprec.png

    Could be some damaging wind gusts and locally severe weather within that.

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