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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 8th July onwards


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Posted
  • Location: North Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms / Sunshine / Snow
  • Location: North Bristol

    Surface pressure chart for 0100hrs Wedsnesday - but to be honest, I am a bit confused - this is a lot further South and East than I would expect and with regards to what this mornings charts showed....

    You can see the shape of the trough on the lightning maps quite clearly, I feel?

    Untitled2.thumb.png.0072fcebf6af9751a316771496def5f3.pngUntitled3.thumb.png.28ec422737463315665d740af0465e46.png

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    Holy crap not bad eh ? Am well chuffed with this

    That was amazing. The closest to lightning i've ever been....this was Warlingham area (Just oustide Croydon)...    

    What a night it was, one of the best storms I have ever seen, maybe even better than July 3rd 2015! I some many great pictures on here today, so I thought I would share some of mine.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
    3 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

    sorry to put a spanner in the works lol 

    To be fair, the forecast has always gone for a bit CIN for the far SE (Heathrow)

    skew-t.thumb.gif.292dc2127709b732f16c56b2374d3a3e.gif

    However, this is imported stuff, and all the forecasts are for elevated storms where the CIN may not be relevant.

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    Posted
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL

    V concerned about that area just south of Falma that storm look like it has become surface based and stationary could lead to be server flash flooding 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedworth
  • Weather Preferences: No Extremes Of Any Kind
  • Location: Bedworth
    9 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

    Lightning activity over France appears to be waning, looking like an organised weather front instead of some big convective storms.... though Cornwall seems to be doing ok at least.

    Wouldn't an organised weather front be the opposite of what most would want

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    Posted
  • Location: Redruth, Cornwall
  • Location: Redruth, Cornwall
    23 minutes ago, philglossop said:

    Looking at the strikes map that's a storm towards Falmouth and Roseland Peninsula. Tracking N very slowly 

    That storm has been in the same position for over an hour now. Don't want to move inland. Can hear thunder from where I am, 10 miles away , but it is sunny and warm at present 

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    Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury
    2 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

    V concerned about that area just south of Falma that storm look like it has become surface based and stationary could lead to be server flash flooding 

    This is the area your talking about (think you need to log into twitter) - First two vid of the area show hail. 

    https://twitter.com/search?q=coverack&src=typd

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Cottingham
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Cottingham
    Just now, Gordon Webb said:

    Wouldn't an organised weather front be the opposite of what most would want

    Yup it's becoming more of a consolidated rain band but its still producing lightning at least, hopefully it will become more active again as it crosses the channel.

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

    TR12 is the postcode where the caravan site is, reliably informed that the field-flooding has now made it's way onto the main caravan site the family are staying on. For now it's just up to the first step of 3 leading to the door.

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    Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

    Just got home from school, can't really be bothered to read through all the pages that have spawned since this morning, however, I do notice that those storms in the Channel seem to be heading my way!! :D 

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    Posted
  • Location: Coney Hall Village 260ft asl, North West Kent
  • Location: Coney Hall Village 260ft asl, North West Kent
    33 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

    Post copied from another UK weather forum, please delete if forbidden. 

     

     

    "GFS 06Z upper air pattern for 00Z Wednesday (this is wind and divergence at 250 hPa) supports the idea of two main focii of supportive environments- one moving northwards over the West Country into Wales, the second moving ~NE across SE England. However, the MCS over NW France/Channel now spewing moisture and -ve vorticity aloft might be a big spanner in the works for the SE.
    "

    This Storm is starting to falter now so hopefully wont be much of a spanner for later on.

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    Posted
  • Location: Redruth, Cornwall
  • Location: Redruth, Cornwall
    3 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

    TR12 is the postcode where the caravan site is, reliably informed that the field-flooding has now made it's way onto the main caravan site the family are staying on. For now it's just up to the first step of 3 leading to the door.

    This webcam not too far from TR12  http://www.camsecure.co.uk/lizard_atlantic_house.html

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    Posted
  • Location: Home - Bexley, London/Kent border. Work - Cannon Street, C London
  • Location: Home - Bexley, London/Kent border. Work - Cannon Street, C London
    10 minutes ago, VillagePlank said:

    To be fair, the forecast has always gone for a bit CIN for the far SE (Heathrow)

    skew-t.thumb.gif.292dc2127709b732f16c56b2374d3a3e.gif

    However, this is imported stuff, and all the forecasts are for elevated storms where the CIN may not be relevant.

    Indeed.

    If you read the Estofex MD, for example, the CIN is the reason why there could be more organised potentially severe thunderstorms later. I.e CIN allows energy to build up under the cap, for the trough to remove it and boooom!!

    Echo earlier concerns earlier re the MCS - these aren't always helpful. They could make it a bit yuk later.

    What I would say however is the path of the MCS is now more favourable. About an hour ago it was making a track towards C/E Kent. Now its heading more towards London.

    Edited by Harry
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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

    Looks like South Wales is gonna miss out!

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
    1 minute ago, Harry said:

    Indeed.

    If you read the Estofex MD, for example, the CIN is the reason why there could be more organised potentially severe thunderstorms later. I.e CIN allows energy to build up under the cap, for the trough to remove it and boooom!!

    Echo earlier concerns earlier re the MCS - these aren't always helpful. They could make it a bit yuk later.

    Crapvection I think is the technical term :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
    59 minutes ago, pinkertonsurly said:

    Sure does. I hate thunderstorms. Glad I don't live in the line of fire... Oh, wait a minute.

     

    Don't worry sweetheart it's all cloudy out there LOL! :-D Split in 2 at the isle of wight!

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
    3 minutes ago, redphil57 said:

    This webcam not too far from TR12  http://www.camsecure.co.uk/lizard_atlantic_house.html

    Hoping my older bro took my advice of covering up his brand-new Toyota Hilux with whatever bed-sheets and cardboard on the outside that they could find. I'm guessing it's around 1'in sized hail within the precip?

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    Posted
  • Location: North Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms / Sunshine / Snow
  • Location: North Bristol
    1 minute ago, Marcus_surfer said:

    Looks like South Wales is gonna miss out!

    South Wales looks in the firing line to me from the storm over Exeter and other parts of Devon?

    Nice gap opening for Bristol though...

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    Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury

    The stuff heading up the M5 now over Exeter is on the last few radar grabs starting to intensifying and is producing lightening. Here is where South Wales should be looking. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
    2 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

    Hoping my older bro took my advice of covering up his brand-new Toyota Hilux with whatever bed-sheets and cardboard on the outside that they could find. I'm guessing it's around 1'in sized hail within the precip?

    I doubt there's hail big enough to cause bodywork damage! 1 inch hail wouldn't be enough to cause bodywork damage, you're looking at golfball size for that. His Hilux should be fine! :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
    1 minute ago, Chris K said:

    South Wales looks in the firing line to me from the storm over Exeter and other parts of Devon?

    Nice gap opening for Bristol though...

    You know what, up until this morning it looked a shoe in for storms to track from Bristol up the Welsh border/W Midlands and to my humble abode. Now it looks like a lot of the midlands might be in a dry zone!

    Could not make this up. Can't buy a storm round here.

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    Posted
  • Location: warminster Wiltshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and snow
  • Location: warminster Wiltshire

    Warminster in Wiltshire has got a yellow weather Waring for thunderstroms and I am still wait for one to come  my way 

    Edited by tomdewey
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