July 2017 C.E.T. Forecasts

[DAVID SNOW]

2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

17.0 to the 30th

1.0 above the 61 to 90 average

0.3 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.0 on the 9th

17.1 to the 30th.

[Summer Sun]

3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

17.0 to the 30th

1.0 above the 61 to 90 average

0.3 above the 81 to 10 average

_____________________________________

Current high this month 18.0 on the 9th

 

Should be 17.1 to the 30th

0.4 above the 81 to 10 average

[Radiating Dendrite]

Feels like it has been 17.1c for weeks! Personally I think the CET paints a better picture for this month than the reality. It's been mostly cloudy and cool to average. The warmish start has prevented an average to slightly below average CET.

[The PIT]

Well Sunny Sheffield is going to finish on 16.4C -0.4C below average

Average max 20.7C -0.5C

Average min 12.1C +0.1C

[snowray]

3 hours ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

Feels like it has been 17.1c for weeks! Personally I think the CET paints a better picture for this month than the reality. It's been mostly cloudy and cool to average. The warmish start has prevented an average to slightly below average CET.

Yes we have held up remarkably well. Think the night temps have been the main factor here, 12, 13, 14c mins widely in spite of the cooler day temps and rainy days.

[damianslaw]

Will be good to compare average maxes against average mins, I suspect the average max in the CET zone will end up very close to the 61-90 average even, but mins appreciably above.

Another month with a marked north-south divide as well. For the north despite some brief heat in second week, its been preety cool/average temp wise, and notably wet and cloudy, the last 10 days have been preety poor - not as bad as July 2015 mind.

My own guess will for once be too high this year, makes a change.

 

[NorthYorksWeather]

Finished 16.4c here, 0.6c above the 1981-2010 average.

Mean Max: 21.0c (+0.5c)

Mean Min: 11.7c (+0.6c)

[cheeky_monkey]

July finished on exactly 19.0c here in Edmonton which is 3.0c above the long term average.

Mean Max = 25.2c

Mean Min = 12.8c 

There were 5 days above 30c during the month.

[JeffC]

Looks like the Tempfinder Gerneral has gone on his hollibobs again...

[Dancerwithwings]

9 minutes ago, JeffC said:

Looks like the Tempfinder Gerneral has gone on his hollibobs again...

Met Check as it at 16.96 °c

http://www.metcheck.com/WEATHER/cet.asp

[JeffC]

4 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Met Check as it at 16.96 °c

http://www.metcheck.com/WEATHER/cet.asp

wonder where they get their figures from

 

[Dancerwithwings]

6 minutes ago, JeffC said:

wonder where they get their figures from

 

Met Check in the help and info towards the bottom of the page 'It takes into account 5 stations which are geographically spread around the UK' where they are.... your guess is as good as mine.

Surely when Hadley let us know, it'll change

[Summer Sun]

Still waiting for the July CET hadley hasn't updated since Monday

[Roger J Smith]

As we await the Hadley verdict on July, noting that estimated value stood at 17.06 on 30th, suggests final to be revised from 17.0, so most likely to finish 16.7 to 17.1 (16.9 my guess on it).

From the table of entries, our median was 17.2, the two recent normals being scored are 16.7. 

These forecasts will be likely to score best:

17.1 _______ CONGLETON HEAT, DON (+1d)

17.0 _______ HAMMER, DANCERWITHWINGS

16.9 _______ BORN FROM THE VOID, REEF, RADIATING DENDRITE, MIDLANDS ICE AGE, CARL46WREXHAM

16.8 _______ WEATHER26, DANIEL*, SIMSHADY, GODBER.1 (+1d)

16.7 _ 1981-2010*_ VIRTUALSPHERE, GAEL_FORCE

[Radiating Dendrite]

I shall prepare a victory speech

[Dancerwithwings]

18 hours ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

I shall prepare a victory speech

You won't need it

[Midlands Ice Age]

5 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:

You won't need it

Don't squabble guys....

I'll do it then!

 

[Roger J Smith]

The only 16.9 person who needs a speech is Born From the Void, I list them in order of entries, the same way J10 scores them. So if 16.9 wins, the first entry is high score. If 17.0 wins, then it's Hammer, and if it's 16.8, it would be Weather 26. 

[Weather26]

(Immediately gets to work on his speech)

[alexisj9]

Wow has July's CET still not come in?

[Summer Sun]

8 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Wow has July's CET still not come in?

Not yet Hadley hasn't updated for a week now

[reef]

Confirmed as 16.8C, 0.1C above the 1981-2010 average:

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

August only needs to be 16.4C (equal to the 1981-2010 average) for this to be the warmest summer since 2006.

Edited August 7, 2017 by reef

[Dancerwithwings]

Dog ate the speech anyway   http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Happy with being 0.2c off 16.8c

[Don]

Just 0.3C out for July and at 17.1C, the first time this year I have guessed too high!  

[Godber 1]

16.8c was my guess, would have been ok if it wasn't a day late.