Chase Day 44 - Slight Risk Kansas

[Paul Sherman]

Day 6 of Tour 4 sees us in Kansas yet again, this is more like a May pattern than mid to end of June but we will take it.

Low 60 dewpoints and slow moving supercell structures along a boundary will be the focus for tomorrow, slim chance at a spinny thing but much better chance on Wednesday further North East

[nsrobins]

It's been an effort this season for sure Paul.
I was thinking Weds (today) would be a decent opportunity but I see the 09Z HRRR has dropped pretty much all initiation in far E NE later (where the sig tor is greatest).

Hope you get something to round off the trip.

[Dorsetbred]

Does make you wonder having come out of the La Nina surge from last year and in to NEUTRAL conditions just how much of that came into play.

It's also interesting to note that the number of reports over previous years is above the 75th percentile, and the year is very front end loaded, with a major decrease in June numbers. I do wonder if numbers will see increases yearly as more and more people get out into the field, and report the smaller EF0 & EF1 events. I know they need to be ratified and that takes time, yet viewing the number of chasers out in the field the numbers are still growing annual, so it would (one would think) suggest that number of sightings should increase annually. Like I said until they are verified by the maybe all of this is conjecture.