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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Basildon, Essex, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Severe thunderstorms
  • Location: Basildon, Essex, UK

    Keep an eye on the northern France cells though, as the met office stated that it was continental fed storms. Hopefully we can get some nice imports. That's just my little prediction of where the best sferics would be. I think these are just lunchtime rain with thunder showers. The main risk is later on at 4pm onwards as that's the met offices weather warning start time.

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    Popped out with the camera after finishing work yesterday at 5:45pm. Got onto the storm which passed through Malton when it was near Sledmere in the Yorkshire Wolds. Visually, it appeared supercellula

    A few shots of the storm tonight using iLightningCam app.

    BIG storm went over here earlier, only just got power back on. Trees down and roads flooded in the Malton area, never seen anything quite like it, absolute carnage. Unfortunately my weather stati

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    A very messy radar. Still, at least some have had a few rumbles! :)

    Screenshot_2017-06-27-12-48-25.thumb.png.88154649cc67ee44567be70c687f5aa5.png

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    Posted
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent (Border of North West Kent and South East London)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados, funnel clouds and the northern lights (space weather)
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent (Border of North West Kent and South East London)
    1 minute ago, Justin123 said:

    Keep an eye on the northern France cells though, as the met office stated that it was continental fed storms. Hopefully we can get some nice imports. That's just my little prediction of where the best sferics would be. I think these are just lunchtime rain with thunder showers. The main risk is later on at 4pm onwards as that's the met offices weather warning start time.

    image.jpeg

    I agree with this, but I personally think if we get any imports they will be late evening. Happy to be proved wrong though!  

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
    2 minutes ago, Justin123 said:

    Keep an eye on the northern France cells though, as the met office stated that it was continental fed storms. Hopefully we can get some nice imports. That's just my little prediction of where the best sferics would be. I think these are just lunchtime rain with thunder showers. The main risk is later on at 4pm onwards as that's the met offices weather warning start time.

    image.jpeg

    How about us here in Lincoln? Seeing as we're just in the warning area 

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    Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk

    Moderate rain atm, can hear the odd rumble from the strikes further into Suffolk. Got soaked trying to finish topping a field, can't believe I'm having hot chocolate in June!

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    Posted
  • Location: Basildon, Essex, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Severe thunderstorms
  • Location: Basildon, Essex, UK
    4 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

    How about us here in Lincoln? Seeing as we're just in the warning area 

    Well it is hard to say, but it depends how far northwards they reach before dispersing, but you may be lucky. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Basildon, Essex, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Severe thunderstorms
  • Location: Basildon, Essex, UK
    6 minutes ago, Windblade said:

    I agree with this, but I personally think if we get any imports they will be late evening. Happy to be proved wrong though!  

    It's a good sign if there's sferics before the warning time, but yes you probably are correct, but anything special would be 4pm onwards into late evening night time.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire

    Strong rumbles in Longstanton, Cambs. Not far from the very active cells moving through East Anglia.

    Very angry looking skies too... could be an interesting day. Looking good

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    Posted
  • Location: warminster Wiltshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and snow
  • Location: warminster Wiltshire

    Will Warminster in Wiltshire get a thunderstorm because it feels humid here

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Salisbury, Wilts
  • Location: Nr Salisbury, Wilts
    14 minutes ago, tomdewey said:

    Will Warminster in Wiltshire get a thunderstorm because it feels humid here

    As somebody said earlier, you might be too far west. You certainly are at the moment. There's possibly a small chance later this evening.

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent (Border of North West Kent and South East London)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados, funnel clouds and the northern lights (space weather)
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent (Border of North West Kent and South East London)
    14 minutes ago, Justin123 said:

    It's a good sign if there's sferics before the warning time, but yes you probably are correct, but anything special would be 4pm onwards into late evening night time.

    Lets hope my friend.

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.

    Is this what I think it is (over Essex on N-W radar)?

    169.png

    Edited by chrisbell-nottheweatherman
    Correcting typo.
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    Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
    2 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

    Is this what I think it is (over Essex on N-W radar)?

    169.png

    I was also thinking what you were thinking... maybe someone can clarify? Interesting activity indeed 

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
    1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

    916 strikes recorded between 11:17 and 13:17

    465464.thumb.png.f268eed36ca835b7209ee2573e827a54.png

    I wonder if that will increase later 

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    Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire

    We're probably too far west for any sferics, but blimey you can literally feel the warm, humid air being drawn up. Skies just look greay and murky..not especially unstable, but I have a stormy headache which is usually as good as guide to storms as any forecast!!

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
    1 minute ago, Matt Ralph said:

    I was also thinking what you were thinking... maybe someone can clarify? Interesting activity indeed 

    Seems similar in form to this one:

    11187347_10205794517733861_8529517405842

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
    3 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

    Is this what I think it is (over Essex on N-W radar)?

    169.png

    Unlikely to be a hook because of a mesocyclone in that storm (that can produce tornadoes) - as storms are elevated today and also deep layer shear is fairly weak and unsupportive of rotating storms.

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
    Just now, Nick F said:

    Unlikely to be a hook because of a mesocyclone in that storm (that can produce tornadoes) - as storms are elevated today and also deep layer shear is fairly weak and unsupportive of rotating storms.


    Cheers Nick - I'm not surprised given the storm forecast on the site, where you discussed the inversion.  I just wondered what you thought might be causing that interesting signal - you can see I think why an idiot like me might have wondered!

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
    Just now, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

    Seems similar in form to this one:

    11187347_10205794517733861_8529517405842

    May look similar on radar, but that's where any similarity ends, very unlikely to be a mesocyclone, shear too weak, CAPE in the mid-levels and storms too elevated today.

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
    Just now, Nick F said:

    May look similar on radar, but that's where any similarity ends, very unlikely to be a mesocyclone, shear too weak, CAPE in the mid-levels and storms too elevated today.

    Thanks Nick - I posted that just prior to your first reply.  Should I delete that post?

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
    Just now, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:


    Cheers Nick - I'm not surprised given the storm forecast on the site, where you discussed the inversion.  I just wondered what you thought might be causing that interesting signal - you can see I think why an idiot like me might have wondered!

     

    Think it's just co-incidence more than anything more sinister :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

    Been dry and overcast here all day so far. Must say it doesn't feel stormy at all, but we shall see

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    Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire

    I'm just west of the main line of storms but getting pelted with sudden downpours of rain and hearing constant rumbles on and off. Definitely the most interesting day of the year so far for me! Looking great for this afternoon.... fingers crossed. As Nick said the set up isn't great for anything too severe (according to the charts) but certainly looking good for some decent thunder and lightning... and flooding rain 

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