Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

[Harsh Climate]

1 minute ago, inghams85 said:

Rotherham, Sheffield, Leeds too far West. Convection flaring up here to hit further East im afraid

.  Unless I'm looking wrong it seems to be flaring up to the far west, we should be fine

Edited June 21, 2017 by Harsh Climate

[The PIT]

Well we got some rain from broken skies.

[The PIT]

2 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

.  Unless I'm looking wrong it seems to be flaring up to the far west, we should be fine

Thats fizzled out the bad news is after this lot there isn't any activity to the west. I suspect whats going over now will do the honors 50 or 60 miles to east of us.

[inghams85]

3 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

.  Unless I'm looking wrong it seems to be flaring up to the far west, we should be fine

Where?!? I'm watching the convection flaring overhead from the garden!!

[inghams85]

Just now, The PIT said:

Thats fizzled out the bad news is after this lot there isn't any activity to the west. I suspect whats going over now will do the honors 50 or 60 miles to east of us.

Exactly what I just said PIT

[toggerob]

Moderate rain here with that fresh smell of ozone

[cheese]

Glad I didn't get my hopes up too much. No storms for Leeds. Sorry @Harsh Climate but it's a bust.

Edited June 21, 2017 by cheese

[Harsh Climate]

Just now, The PIT said:

Thats fizzled out the bad news is after this lot there isn't any activity to the west. I suspect whats going over now will do the honors 50 or 60 miles to east of us.

The thing is it hasn't even started yet, anything of any significance anyway.  Anything now could just explode in the north sea/north wales or north west england and spread to us. Nor has the expected convergance zone set up yet for central northern england.

 

This will probably be like those massive manchester storms a few years back, where we went from nothing to 100strikes a min in 15 mins

[Harsh Climate]

Pit/ingham we will see

[Allseasons-Si]

CZ  welsh border

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

Edited June 21, 2017 by Allseasons-si

[tomdewey]

I wishing for a thunderstorm to brew out in this part of country and I want one come my way to night

[tomdewey]

I wishing for a thunderstorm to brew out in this part of country and I want one come my way to night

[sparky1972]

24 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Working tonight. However, these storms are zipping past at a rate of knots, so chasing them would be a nightmare! Don't think you'd have a successful one without bending some of the rules with speed limits!! Be careful, those who catch a lucky one, some big hail likely, which was estofex' main concern. 

See, patience is a virtue folks! It's a waiting game half the time. 

look north forecast says you are in a good place to see storms tomorrow, we are due to miss them here

[inghams85]

1 minute ago, Harsh Climate said:

Pit/ingham we will see

I hope your right but the Met Office have now changed there forecast for us to show NO storms tonight

[IanR]

well that was boring, 4 or 5 very very distant rumbles , which were hardly noticable over the ambient noise , and few spots of rain added to the excitement 

[Convective]

Great fun watching it develop, especially all around!

Looking east:

Looking south:

Looking west:

[Harsh Climate]

1 minute ago, inghams85 said:

I hope your right but the Met Office have now changed there forecast for us to show NO storms tonight

''

This Evening and Tonight:

Risk of thunderstorms this evening, some may be accompanied by gusty winds, large hail, torrential rain and frequent lightening. After midnight fresher conditions will gradually spread across the region from the west. Minimum temperature 16 °C.''

 

 Seems alright to me, dont look at the graphics, there not worth ****

[White Clouds]

Just now, IanR said:

well that was boring, 4 or 5 very very distant rumbles , which were hardly noticable over the ambient noise , and few spots of rain added to the excitement 

Not even a rumble in Chapel!

[inghams85]

1 minute ago, Harsh Climate said:

''

This Evening and Tonight:

Risk of thunderstorms this evening, some may be accompanied by gusty winds, large hail, torrential rain and frequent lightening. After midnight fresher conditions will gradually spread across the region from the west. Minimum temperature 16 °C.''

 

 Seems alright to me, dont look at the graphics, there not worth ****

I bet you £100. I will send you my bank details of im wrong. We're too far West

[Harsh Climate]

This wind map is worth keeping an eye on two, for central northern england we are nearly in the predicted convergance zone with warm air from the south east meating cooler air from the west. We want those SW arrows to line up against the SE arrows.

 

 

[Luke Best]

Time for a bit of mackerel 

[Harsh Climate]

5 minutes ago, inghams85 said:

I bet you £100. I will send you my bank details of im wrong. We're too far West

I respect your opinion but I think you are calling it far too early. It's not like we have big storms over us orjust to the east, about to batter east yorkshire is it?? Pretty much peanuts has developed so far and I remain quietly confident.

[Martin Auld]

Come on please activate

[P-M]

Well all of the sferics have all but disappeared now from the lightning detector.  Appears to have died a death!  Can anything else initiate?  We'll see...

[tomdewey]

Met office South and west forecast summary  This Evening and Tonight:
A fine and very warm evening for many, although low cloud and coastal fog will gradually move in from the west overnight. Some patchy rain will also develop, with the risk of some thunderstorms by dawn in the east. Minimum temperature 14 °C.

Thursday:
A rather cloudy morning with some outbreaks of rain, however it will turn drier and brighter by the afternoon, with some sunshine developing. Feeling much fresher than of late. Maximum temperature 22 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:
Friday will stay mostly dry and bright, but cooler and breezier. Some rain is possible later. It will stay fairly cloudy over the weekend but mostly dry with bright spells.