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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

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Temperature is mid 20s now and rising here in Swindon, it looks like the storm in Cambridge was spawned around Swindon if you look on the radar loop.Hopefully as the temps increase the more widespread storms in the south will become.

 

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Some form of brewing happening over the isle of wight associated with the couple of showers there. You never know!

14993408300681295103071.jpg

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57 minutes ago, karyo said:

Good to see some towers forming at long last.

Nice view by the way :-)

Thank you @karyo :)... T'is the view from my front garden.

Things are frothing up even more now. :good:

Very hot and humid around here now.:bomb:

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18 minutes ago, STORMGUY said:

some signs of cloud development along wales/england border.

 

16 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Yep ive noticed that.  certainly warm here temps of 26.3  with a DP of 17.1   all seems good at the moment.

Yes....There`s a nice CZ over that way which is forecast to develop over our area this afternoon

already seeing signs of bulkier cauliflowers forming to my far West

plenty of time yet

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1 minute ago, steve86 said:

Some form of brewing happening over the isle of wight associated with the couple of showers there. You never know!

14993408300681295103071.jpg

I can see the cloud tops from here, they were going up, but then they started flattening out quickly  - weak updrafts.

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Just now, Mapantz said:

I can see the cloud tops from here, they were going up, but then they started flattening out quickly  - weak updrafts.

Ah bummer! There seems to be a fair bit formed since I've been here which is only 5 minutes. 

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Manchester latest TAF still go for the threat

30% :

Temporary
from 06 at 12 UTC to 06 at 18 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the Southwest with gusts up to 25 kt

Visibility: 3500 m

heavy rain showers, thunderstorm, hail

 

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7 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Sky to my north :

 

IMG_0033.JPG

Looks nice - but it's not quite like the convective stuff I've seen in the distance here in Kent, it's a lot more hazy and the cumulus have that really sharp edge on them which screams 'developing situation'!

Looking good by my reckoning as there is a lot of sun hitting a lot of the surface at the mo in the south around London and off to the west. There is a lot of unstable air about and I think it's just a matter of time, probably 4 or 5 ish we'll be seeing real things kicking off - which is *hopefully* when I'll be heading up towards Essex (or staying put!)

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high level cloud here right now, thinking this is going to hamper our chances of something developing later, and now just checked the met office forecast and no storms are now forecast, bugger, guess i will be going circuit training instead

 

Edited by sparky1972

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Just now, Dangerous55019 said:

So I've decided to pack some of my home made lasagna and head out across the fields to see what's happening... I can think of worse places to have lunch, whilst this lot hopefully develops. :bomb::D

IMG_2895.JPG

IMG_2897.JPG

Nice good luck :) Netweather predicting 20mm of rain here from 1 till 4 they clearly think things are going to brew over here.

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1 minute ago, steve86 said:

Ah bummer! There seems to be a fair bit formed since I've been here which is only 5 minutes. 

They're giving it another go, it's changing all of the time.

Can you see them?

20170706_124020.thumb.jpg.e4b6b817fb3e6874371c38beb76b1b88.jpg

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The clouds in the distance have that hazy faint yellowish colour to them what ive seen a few times before, during a day when thunderstorms were forecast.

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Just now, Mapantz said:

They're giving it another go, it's changing all of the time.

Can you see them?

20170706_124020.thumb.jpg.e4b6b817fb3e6874371c38beb76b1b88.jpg

Er I think I can to my Southwest 

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It's definitely going to be a day where selective areas are going to get a battering but many guys n girls are going to be very disappointed I think... as with any storm situation. But we'll see. 

My gut feel is the best place to be for storms today is the South East and EA, according to what the charts and recent developments say

 

Edited by Matt Ralph

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The 06Z NetWx SR looks a bit drab this evening, compared to the 00Z anyway..

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South Downs doing its thing with Surface winds creating convergence for Storms - A few earlier impacted the Maidstone area before drifting ENE out into the Estuary expect a few more to develop in roughly the same area and again following the same track

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can see acas clouds over towards the west here now

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Things beginning to get underway here on the western side of the Peaks now aswell, nice cumulus towers beginning to build up.

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Much stronger cap on the SE side of the convergence line, towers trying hard to make a go of it, gonna take some to get through it, London UHI may come into play later.

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7 minutes ago, Dangerous55019 said:

So I've decided to pack some of my home made lasagna and head out across the fields to see what's happening... I can think of worse places to have lunch, whilst this lot hopefully develops. :bomb::D

IMG_2895.JPG

IMG_2897.JPG

1

Good development there, showing the surface based convection :)

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4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

South Downs doing its thing with Surface winds creating convergence for Storms - A few earlier impacted the Maidstone area before drifting ENE out into the Estuary expect a few more to develop in roughly the same area and again following the same track

Yep towers keep building very quickly, some thunder and then they quite quickly move ENE. Then repeat. Every now and then we get a minute of big fat rain drops. It feels tropical :) almost like Central Florida.

Edited by seb

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Skies over the east of Manchester 15 minutes ago

CAM00521.jpg

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