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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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doctor32 Community Regular

doctor32

Posted
  • Location: Newton Aycliffe, County Durham... 90m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow and thunderstorms :)
  • Location: Newton Aycliffe, County Durham... 90m asl
Posted

Some big clouds just to my south, plus just heard rumble of thunder.

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted

look at that cell go in N France! if only it was in our channel.

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted (edited)

A bust for me but to give others hope. From clear to this in minutes.

FORUMCLOUDYPIC.jpg

Edited by Dami
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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted

Well I have managed to get out of work before anything happens. Now I just need to figure out if anything is going to happen. If I believe Euro4 then it is a bit fat "NO".

It is hot and humid, the sun is out albeit hazy at times and a fair amount of cumulus clouds developing. Storms are breaking out in the north, earlier forecasts had inferred they would move SE but they seem to be moving NE. Intense storm now near Northallerton.

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Delka Community Regular

Delka

Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
Posted

:oops:Decided to check how much rain had fallen under that train of storms further south into Norfolk and Wymondham had 199mm according to Wunderground

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Derecho Maestro

Derecho

Posted
  • Location: Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hull
Posted (edited)

I may end up being badly wrong but I call this a bust anywhere to the south of the M62. The telltale sign of a forthcoming bust is the forecast radar substantially overplaying the actual outcome. Just look at the difference between the two from a forecast at 3pm!! This is exactly what happened over the channel last night, it seems as though there is a cap holding things back at the moment.

I think the North York Moors could do well, maybe parts of East Yorkshire but this is looking decidedly tame now,

 

plume gone bust.png

Edited by Quicksilver1989
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Clouds building west

DSC01431.thumb.JPG.a244742508e00b75582e07664d534f69.JPG

and north of here now

DSC01432.thumb.JPG.83d2b4b1547c427b842b7e241538541c.JPG

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Delka Community Regular

Delka

Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
Posted

Rainfall accumulation south of Norwich where the train seemed to follow seem to have had between 14-36mm in a few hours, so less then i expected but still alot of rain!

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Thunderstruck Community Regular

Thunderstruck

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
Posted

Ac cas rapidly forming again here. Might not be over just yet, still feeling ripe

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Arnie Pie Accomplished

Arnie Pie

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
Posted (edited)

Plenty of mid level convection around but no ommff......looking at the local wind vectors a bit of a convergance zone may be setting itself up.....Maybe a trigger (more likely to be 30 miles to the East though:nonono:)

IMG_2035.thumb.JPG.4b85dd9c8320640ea3cbc0c7fbca8dd7.JPG

Edited by Arnie Pie
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chrisbell-nottheweatherman Accomplished

chrisbell-nottheweatherman

Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
Posted
Just now, Delka said:

Rainfall accumulation south of Norwich where the train seemed to follow seem to have had between 14-36mm in a few hours, so less then i expected but still alot of rain!

UEA weather station on Wunderground shows 28 mm, though they probably had more than where I am.

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Delka Community Regular

Delka

Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
Posted
4 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

I may end up being badly wrong but I call this a bust anywhere to the south of the M62. The ultimate telltale sign of a forthcoming bust is the forecast radar substantially overplaying the actual outcome. Just look at the difference between the two from a forecast at 3pm!! This is exactly what happened over the channel last night.

I think the North York Moors could do well, maybe parts of East Yorkshire but this is looking decidedly tame now,

 

plume gone bust.png

can you clarify where the M64 is?

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted

Well this is the best it's managed down here today. 

IMG_0547.JPG

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted
1 minute ago, Delka said:

can you clarify where the M64 is?

OP said M62. It runs Manchester to Hull approximately.

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

Something is inhibiting development into storms. Only 1 shower in the NE is currently electrified. One did for a bit, now has stopped. I thought the inhibiting factors for storms were greatly diminished today?

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TJS1998Tom Seasoned

TJS1998Tom

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

I think us here in Lincolnshire wont be getting anything tonight, typical how were in the warning area as well lol, another oppurtunity missed

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GeordieX9v Aficionado

GeordieX9v

Posted
  • Location: North Tyneside
  • Location: North Tyneside
Posted
Just now, Darren Bown said:

Something is inhibiting development into storms. Only 1 shower in the NE is currently electrified. One did for a bit, now has stopped. I thought the inhibiting factors for storms were greatly diminished today?

The sun only just got out at 3:30 here in Northumberland. Been cloudy all day.

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Derecho Maestro

Derecho

Posted
  • Location: Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hull
Posted
3 minutes ago, Delka said:

can you clarify where the M64 is?

M62 from Manchester to Hull, maybe some storms may form over the North of the peak district as an optimistic punt.

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
2 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

M62 from Manchester to Hull, maybe some storms may form over the North of the peak district as an optimistic punt.

And if they do, the other side of the Pennines gets the show:wallbash:

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted
2 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

I think us here in Lincolnshire wont be getting anything tonight, typical how were in the warning area as well lol, another oppurtunity missed

If Lincolnshire is to get anything then it will be this evening, and there is a higher chance there than there is here. In fact, I am contemplating driving into Lincolnshire as I cannot find a single reliable forecast that shows a storm here now.

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Boro Snow Seasoned

Boro Snow

Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
Posted

Just had a rumble of thunder round 2 maybe 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
1 minute ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Kinder Scout is triggering this beefy CU currently..

DSC_0006.thumb.JPG.cd09f62c7ce68d99ad63f55189b5ecf8.JPG

Yes i can see it and growing:D

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