Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

[TJS1998Tom]

I'm just sat here waiting for what will hopefully be my turn later lol

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

9 minutes ago, sparky1972 said:

high level cloud here right now, thinking this is going to hamper our chances of something developing later, and now just checked the met office forecast and no storms are now forecast, bugger, guess i will be going circuit training instead

 

I've decided to stay put. I think somewhere around here will cop for a good one later this evening. The current elevated blanket of cloud looks to be giving way to a clear sector, always keep an eye on the clear sectors as this is where most of the energy builds up from insolation. 

[sparky1972]

3 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

I'm just sat here waiting for what will hopefully be my turn later lol

im hoping with you, think this cloud cover is not helping though

[Weather-history]

Cumulus clouds below the altocumulus castellanus level are starting  to get a little bit oomph to them now. Looks like development towards North Wales through the haze.

[TJS1998Tom]

1 minute ago, sparky1972 said:

im hoping with you, think this cloud cover is not helping though

Yeah, hoping it clears up a bit

[weirpig]

Just looking at the radar again  and there is quite a big mass heading towards wales  was that forecast?.  because in the next hour or so Wales could experience quite a bit of rainfall.

[Summerstorm]

This is how it is looking here deffo some towers going up at the moment. Also feeling very warm and humid out there. 

[Harry]

IPhone app now saying it's currently 29C with storm risk of 70%/80%/50% at 17z/18z/19z respectively 

[Carl46Wrexham]

Much more in the way of cloud now with a change of wind direction SE to SW.

[Gordon Webb]

1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Just looking at the radar again  and there is quite a big mass heading towards wales  was that forecast?.  because in the next hour or so Wales could experience quite a bit of rainfall.

you referring to the stuff coming across from Ireland

[Tempest]

Hoping everyone stays safe today if its going to go bang like they forecast 

[weirpig]

Just now, Gordon Webb said:

you referring to the stuff coming across from Ireland

Yes.  It seem to be growing in size as it makes its way.  Met office warnings exclude most of Wales i believe 

[Chris K]

36 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:

Whats this feature heading into Wales? It was not forecast. Only a few clouds here and very warm though. 26C

Looks like that is a weakening cold front moving in across the country later on. Wind convergence zones are due to form ahead of this, which is the main trigger I believe that is meant to spark scattered thunderstorms later on this evening across some parts of the Midlands and E/NE/SE areas later. 

If it was an active slow moving cold front I assume we could have been looking at something more widespread.

Checking the most recent met office surface pressure chart the corresponding symbol:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/guide/weather/symbols 

 

Edited July 6, 2017 by Chris K

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

8 minutes ago, sparky1972 said:

im hoping with you, think this cloud cover is not helping though

Very promising BBC forecast update for here. It mentioned East Midlands and Lincs in particular for hail and lightning. Should be some developments over the Midlands in the next couple of hours going by the forecast. Estofex also issuing the level 2 for what they seem to be on about too. It ain't looking bad. 

Edited July 6, 2017 by East_England_Stormchaser91

[Super_Uwe]

Tropical here in the South Hams, a few wisps of cloud and nice and hot. 

No storms here but there's always the hope!

All the best to the more favourable parts of the country, I think it could be quite spectacular later on...

[titchjuicy]

Do people think that London will miss out? The current radar is showing nothing. I am a complete novice,to bear with my stupid questions.

Is it possible for things to bubble up from nowhere later on?>

 

[Gordon Webb]

5 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Very promising BBC forecast update for here. It mentioned East Midlands and Lincs in particular for hail and lightning. Should be some developments over the Midlands in the next couple of hours going by the forecast. Estofex also issuing the level 2 for what they seem to be in about too. It ain't looking bad. 

Estofex level 2 is specifically for E England and mainly for strong wind gusts and hail and to a lesser extent precipitation away from that it's a level 1 but no specific mention in their forecast

Edited July 6, 2017 by Gordon Webb

[Storm999]

Hi Im in Manchester does anyone have any recommendations for the best website to see lightning activity , I hate lightning but still fascinates me , however in lightning storms  I get palapertations lol , but like tracking them any suggestions thanks

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

1 minute ago, Gordon Webb said:

Estofex level 2 is specifically for E England and main for strong wind gusts and hail and to a lesser extent precipitation

Yep. In the description though, it says during the later period (evening) is when the main threat will arise. The level one covers much of the Midlands too. 

[Gordon Webb]

Euro 4 Not Very Inspiring

[Chris101]

Cell moving away from here towards Southwold earlier.

[karyo]

The updated euro 4 has storms for northern england this pm.

[Dangerous55019]

Towers starting to go up now...

The sky is very unstable looking around here... Very warm, but a most pleasant cooling breeze has picked up out of nowhere.

... Now time for a spot of lunch and watch how this develops. 

[Delka]

woah just noticed the estofex level 2.. thats my second estofex warning this year, and my first level 2 in years!

[Daniel*]

We'll see...