Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

[Carl46Wrexham]

5 minutes ago, karyo said:

How does the sky look where you are? 

Line of cumulus to the west (moving W-E fairly quickly) - apart from that...not much to see.

[Rob Walker]

Just now, Mapantz said:

MetO warnings updated:

Well, guess I'll be enjoying the heat and sunshine then!

Just seen my first clouds of the day to the west heading near north too

[A.J]

3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

MetO warnings updated:

the inevitable shift eastwards continues from an IMBY perspective....What an abysmal convective season it has been so far for these parts *sigh*

[Chris101]

Big strike to my North curling right round to my West, slowly getting more frequent.

Edited July 6, 2017 by Chris101
East to West

[karyo]

2 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Line of cumulus to the west (moving W-E fairly quickly) - apart from that...not much to see.

Thanks. The fast movement is not what we want.

[Sparkiee storm]

9 minutes ago, StormChaseUK said:

The setup is perfect for Midlands surface based storms PM. 

About 6 or 7pm

All the Midlands, or a certain area e.g. West or East? 

[Sparkiee storm]

9 minutes ago, STORMGUY said:

il say first signs for east wales/midlands storms from 2pm onwards.

Hoping to get something as we have had not even a rumble of thunder this year yet 

[Gordon Webb]

2 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

All the Midlands, or a certain area e.g. West or East? 

by that time I would have thought the E that's if they haven't already cleared by then , I don't know what the expected speed of showers / storms will be but nobody have mentioned slow moving so a fair rate of movement should be expected (he says with the appearance of knowledge)

Edited July 6, 2017 by Gordon Webb
My usual spelling errors

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

All the Midlands, or a certain area e.g. West or East? 

East I would say, West normally misses out, storms and snow, East is always best

[Thunderstruck]

Uneventful morning so far, but it's darkening to the South. Feels pretty ripe, with a nice breeze every now and then

Met O updated and saying 60% chance of thunder at 12:00 and then again at 16:00

I'll give an update at lunchtime in just over 2 hours time...

[STORMGUY]

1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

East I would say, West normally misses out, storms and snow, East is always best

i would look from east wales area.

[tomp456]

Shoreham TAF, where we are supposed to be outside of the zone for action

 

TAF: EGKA 060804Z 0609/0618 09010KT CAVOK PROB30 TEMPO 0609/0615 11015G25KT 5000 TSRAGS

Forecast valid from 06 at 09 UTC to 06 at 18 UTC

Wind 10 kt from the East

Visibility 10 km or more

no clouds below 1500 m and no cumulonimbus

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 06 at 09 UTC to 06 at 15 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the East/Southeast with gusts up to 25 kt

Visibility: 5000 m

thunderstorm, rain, small hail or snow pellets

 

 

[Frosty.]

Speaking of T-storms, there have already been some this morning but more being triggered this afternoon..radar should be very interesting!

[weirpig]

2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

East I would say, West normally misses out, storms and snow, East is always best

What!  West midlands does well for snow  and thunder compared to other parts.  El Brumo  etc  i have also seen snow every year for the past 10 years. 

[Sparkiee storm]

4 minutes ago, Gordon Webb said:

by that time I would have thought the E that's if they haven't already cleared by then , I don't know what the expected speed or showers / storms will be but nobody have mentioned slow moving so a fair rate of movement should be expected (he says with the appearance of knowledge)

Okay thank you, just hope to get at least one rumble and a flash with a brief downpour, that how  storm staved we are here in Central Midlands haha 

[Dami]

Shower near me, wind has gotten up. just about missing me, whats the betting it turns into a storm once out of harms way?

Edited July 6, 2017 by Dami

[Sparkiee storm]

3 minutes ago, STORMGUY said:

i would look from east wales area.

If they do develop from East Wales, and some rapid development occurs, we would get something quite noticeable still I would think.

[toggerob]

I'm just about in the middle of the Met Office warning for rain, not holding my breath too much for today though considering this morning's bust. Not giving up on defeat but staying cautiously optimistic.

[Summer Sun]

3 radar images of the storm that's tracked just north of Ipswich and how it's developed

[STORMGUY]

the showers over south/east ireland is the cold front which will kick things of in the west later. 

[Chris101]

Cell moving away to the N/E now lots of distant cg's coming every 10/15 seconds now, a very lively cell.

[Carl46Wrexham]

27 minutes ago, Dangerous55019 said:

Very warm and humid here now, and in the past ten minutes or so, this little beauty has appeared out of nowhere to my west and is rising. 

 

Met office app (don't know how much stall you set by it) shows you having a 50% chance of thunderstorm 2-3pm

[Norfolk Sheep]

22 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

the inevitable shift eastwards continues from an IMBY perspective....What an abysmal convective season it has been so far for these parts *sigh*

Abysmal here too, and I'm not far from Norwich!

[SenlacJack]

Very faint distant rumble of thunder here from sferics just off the coast of Hastings.

Hastings pier live webcam link:

https://www.beaming.co.uk/company/hastings-pier-webcam/

 

[StormChaseUK]

22 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

All the Midlands, or a certain area e.g. West or East? 

Depends on cold front timing.

Longer the front stalls the further west showers will initiate