Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

[Had Worse]

Still no lightning across the british isles for over an hour.

[Derecho]

Isolated pockets of very heavy rain to the east of Preston and North of Sheffield look the most likely candidates to turn into storms right now.

[Had Worse]

Just now, Allseasons-si said:

I have just nearly poo'd my pants lol,this just overhead to my NW

and as it moved away

and a tower/towers going up to my south,sorry for the tele lines

The cell that skirted Glossop found its feet again near you and is back to red and white intensity

[Stephanie Starr]

Extremely humid and hot here

[P-M]

1 minute ago, Had Worse said:

Still no lightning across the british isles for over an hour.

 

There is - up near Edinburgh (a fair bit) and little bits near Preston?

[Speedway Slider]

2 hours ago, BugboyMike said:

loooooooooooooonggggg time lurker, first time poster. I love the running commentary on these forums. just been out playing footy with my lad and I can't quite believe how oppressive it is out there. The heat has built so much since 4 pm (in Hinckley) and looking to the skies I think I see the first signs of convection poking through the muck and the white clouds are darkening more every time I look to the skies. I reckon 8 pm onwards will be kick off time if it's going to happen at all.

love this place by the way! hope to become a regular (treat me gently though as I am no expert) ....yet!

Welcome fellow Leicestershirearian.. on a knife edge with regards yes/no (Thunderstorms) very, very humid, still, stagnant air, need a storm to bring the "PETRICORE" [Apologies if I have misspelled it] 

[Martin Auld]

Well I'm pretty satisfied with that storm I just had. Here's a video of it if you can be bothered watching for 10 minutes. Sorry about the voices

IMG_2276.MOV

honestly don't know if it will work or not

Edited June 21, 2017 by Martin Auld

[Villafan]

Nothing happening in Birmingham. Hot as hell, breathless almost, but now more blue sky than one hour ago

[Hodgheg]

Got a nice view of the cell over Halifax. Doesn't look too robust but it's a start 

[Harsh Climate]

look at how the sferics over scotland seem to be continually pushing further and further south, I wonder how far south this trend will go??

 

Look at the radar loop, its almost as if any major developents will appear on the southern flank of this area of rain/instability

Edited June 21, 2017 by Harsh Climate

[Derecho]

Looking at the radar there appears to be a line of precipitation emerging from the Isle of Man to the SE of Ireland, looks as though this could be our trough to set off the storms?

[P-M]

1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Looking at the radar there appears to be a line of precipitation emerging from the Isle of Man to the SE of Ireland, looks as though this could be our trough to set off the storms?

That's what I was looking at before but the sferics appear sporadic so not sure..

[Allseasons-Si]

5 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

The cell that skirted Glossop found its feet again near you and is back to red and white intensity

That second pic is it,here is the latest on it,going up nicely

but no rain touching the ground.

Edited June 21, 2017 by Allseasons-si

[Harsh Climate]

Funny how I've constantly being looking west at all the data yet, it seems to be initiating from the north!

[doctor32]

[Thunderstruck]

Just took a quick casual glance out the window, skies looking pretty unstable here too. Little bit of cumulus off to the SW but shouldn't think it will come to anything tonight. All eyes on mid/late tomorrow morning for here...

[Allseasons-Si]

New developments north of Stoke on trent,get ready

[Derecho]

1 minute ago, P-M said:

That's what I was looking at before but the sferics appear sporadic so not sure..

Yup but that isn't too surprising because CAPE values are much lower there. The trough needs to get a move on though! (if that is the trough...)

[P-M]

Just now, Quicksilver1989 said:

Yup but that isn't too surprising because CAPE values are much lower there. The trough needs to get a move on though! (if that is the trough...)

It's painful watching lol 

 

2 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

Funny how I've constantly being looking west at all the data yet, it seems to be initiating from the north!

I can see that but not sure it's going to make it this far down.  Nice to see some strikes showing though so who knows I haven't a clue right now!

[Dave Berry]

Edited June 21, 2017 by dave2010

[Had Worse]

2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

New developments north of Stoke on trent,get ready

Also building to my wsw quicky too

[toggerob]

Took some time to appear but I believe this is the trough now starting to form with vertical placement of the cells and more of a easterly movement in them. Wind-vectors shows a convergence taking place over Cheshire into Mersyside aswell which is indicative of it. Going to be watching this over the next hour and see what happens further north and south.

 

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, dave2010 said:

Thats the Harthead pub if i'm not mistaken

[matt_in_dudley]

So sticky...no air flow at all. This is my sky currently. 

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Took some time to appear but I believe this is the trough now starting to form with vertical placement of the cells and more of a easterly movement in them. Wind-vectors shows a convergence taking place over Cheshire into Mersyside aswell which is indicative of it. Going to be watching this over the next hour and see what happens further north and south.

 

I looked left and saw that black line appear in the sky, wondered what it was