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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

I' might gonna hang out at the camberley junction to the M3 for an hour.

Something sparks off in that time I will consider heading up toward Swindon or Oxford.

I do like the anticipation - but I'm not a big fan of the waiting :whistling:

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Speedway Slider Enthusiast

Speedway Slider

Posted
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
Posted
11 hours ago, matty40s said:

The cumulus tower near mkt harboro  is the same one I was watching yesterday evening, once the sun breaks through,I reckon that will explode.

The skies are far more messy than the last few days, the Midlands could be good today.

 

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Derecho Maestro

Derecho

Posted
  • Location: Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hull
Posted (edited)

The radar is looking very desolate at the moment with a few showers North of Swansea but that is it. This evening will be a disappointment I reckon, some Belgian village may get a flash of lightning or summin' like that.

Lets hope I'm wrong but I reckon if areas are going to do well tomorrow we should at least be able to break the cap today. Usually when I get my hopes up storms fail to deliver so maybe a bit of reverse psychology will work....

Edited by Quicksilver1989
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Looking on estofex, for 15:00 tomorrow if I'm reading this right, up to 4000j/kg CAPE. Hail as big as 6.0cm, equilibrium level (cloud tops) as low as -60 (promotes lightning activity) and reasonable wind shear. 

Without over-egging this, tomorrow could be a very extreme day for some. All the ingredients seem to be there, apart from as mentioned earlier, a sufficient trigger I.e a cold front/trough. All of this will be moving NE. 

Also worth noting, is that some more residual storm activity could well pop up during Thursday morning too over the Midlands. What an unusual setup this is. 

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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted

Here's another snap of the 2015 Supercell taken from my home.

20150701_224225.thumb.jpg.97513da0d5065368ee06d583f7638a0e.jpg

 

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toggerob Veteran

toggerob

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

I was just learning about long-exposure and ISO compensation so it's a little grainy, but here's my shot of the 01/07/15 supercell as it was somewhere close to Skipton, some 2hr after it had passed through here.

13.thumb.JPG.f134af87788104c3bd6e228386d279a5.JPG

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

i think there's a storm about to kick off over cardiff

How do you know this? Where?

All I know is a convergence zone is setting up over the M4/SE Wales.

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
9 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Remove that pixel immediately I'm setting of in 2 hours :nonono:

This one would take some shifting:rofl:

pixels_movie-wide.jpg

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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted

My God the BBC are scared to talk about storms in Scotland. Their graphics hardly show anything for the early hours but the storm forecast on here suggests otherwise... Gonna have to wait and see but I'm not sure why they're so reluctant to mention storms

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IMP757 Apprentice

IMP757

Posted
  • Location: Waddington, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Waddington, Lincolnshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Ross Andrew Hemphill said:

My God the BBC are scared to talk about storms in Scotland. Their graphics hardly show anything for the early hours but the storm forecast on here suggests otherwise... Gonna have to wait and see but I'm not sure why they're so reluctant to mention storms

I've noticed they're always very hesitant to forecast storms. I guess they're so hard to predict where and when they're going to pop up, that they don't bother forecasting them much at all for fear of being incorrect.

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ChezWeather Experienced

ChezWeather

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
Posted (edited)

In regards to the posts about supercells, only a couple really stand out over the past few years

28th June 2012 being the recent benchmark for UK storm activity 

and July 1st 2015 which saw large hail over North Yorkshire

 

Edited by ChezWeather
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Frosty hollows Experienced

Frosty hollows

Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
Posted
18 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

How do you know this? Where?

All I know is a convergence zone is setting up over the M4/SE Wales.

I'm just north of the M4 and there's nada going on here apart from a bit of haze

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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted
16 minutes ago, RichmondWeather said:

I don't understand, hottest in the south yet the North gets the thunderstorms??? Talking about fairness...

Fairness is giving us the storms up here since we've seen zero heat whatsoever! 

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Cableguy Enthusiast

Cableguy

Posted
  • Location: West Byfleet, Surrey
  • Location: West Byfleet, Surrey
Posted
1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I'm calling bust for the south

Was there anything ever forecast?? Don't think so, South due to miss out entirely this week.

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